United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech · Conference game
Closing line
TTU -12.5✓ TTU covered by 15.5
Closing total158.5Over by 13.5
| This season | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 11-15 | Record | 19-7 |
| 11-15 | ATS | 13-13 |
| 13-13 | O/U | 11-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KSU 72–86 TTU · ✓ TTU (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| TTU | 49 | 51 | 100 |
1st half: KSU 35, TTU 49 (TTU by 14). The model had TTU by 8.3 and a total of 73.9 (actual 84).
Team stats
| KSU | TTU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-64 44% | Field goals | 34-62 55% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 13-28 46% |
| 10-17 59% | Free throws | 19-23 83% |
| 28 9 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 8 | Assists | 19 |
| 3 | Steals | 1 |
| 3 | Blocks | 8 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 36 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 7-17 | 1-3 |
| David Castillo G | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Nate Johnson G | 34 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 1-2 |
| Taj Manning F | 25 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 23 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Jones G | 23 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 18 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Dorin Buca C | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Johnson F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Elias Rapieque, Exavier Wilson, Stephen Osei, Mobi Ikegwuruka, Abdi Bashir Jr.
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 38 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 38 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 8-11 | 6-9 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 31 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3-11 | 2-7 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 27 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 6-11 | 1-2 |
| Luke Bamgboye F | 21 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marial Akuentok F | 16 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Josiah Moseley F | 14 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Nolan Groves G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jazz Henderson Jr. G | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Francis G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Leon Horner G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JT Toppin, LaTrell Hoover
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTTU -16.5
4 → KSU
CloseTTU -12.5
4 pts toward KSU
Total
Open159.5
▼ 1
Close158.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
KSU +625 · TTU -950
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TTU -16.5 · closed TTU -12.5 · moved 4 toward KSUmodel TTU -14
model TTU -14
Opened 159.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 1 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | TTU -12.5 | TTU -14.1 | TTU +1.6 | W TTU covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 158.0 | Under 0.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | KSU 71.9 · TTU 86.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TTU -8.3 | TTU -14.0 |
| 1H total | 73.9 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | KSU 32.8 · TTU 41.1 | KSU 35 · TTU 49 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | |
| 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
KSU 2–4 TTUTTU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · TTU has won the last 3 meetings · KSU 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2024-25 | TTU 61 @ KSU 57 | KSU +6.5 | KSU W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | KSU 59 @ TTU 60 | TTU -5.5 | KSU W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | KSU 63 @ TTU 71 | TTU -1.5 | TTU W |
| Jan 21, 2022-23 | TTU 58 @ KSU 68 | KSU -3.5 | KSU W |
| Feb 28, 2021-22 | KSU 68 @ TTU 73 | TTU -13 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas St
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-13
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 93-64 | -18.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 98-71 | -28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 13 | vs | W 99-96 | -6.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 84-83 | -12.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 98-77 | +2.5 | W +23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 85-86 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | @ | L 69-86 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 1 | vs | L 66-82 | -12.5 | L −28.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 8 | vs | W 108-49 | -38.5 | W +20.5 | 160.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 83-76 | +4.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 106-76 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 176.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 94-85 | -32.5 | L −23.5 | 169.5 | O 179 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 73-83 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 174.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 76-101 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 171.5 | O 177 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 84-87 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 169.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 73-82 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 170.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 83-84 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 175.5 | U 167 |
| Jan 20 | vs | W 81-78 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 168.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 62-86 | +4.5 | L −19.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 54-59 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | U 113 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 61-95 | +12.5 | L −21.5 | 156.5 | U 156 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 82-84 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 62-91 | +2.5 | L −26.5 | 147.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 64-78 | +22.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 17 | vs | W 90-74 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+10.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
−1.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
−3.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
−11.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+23.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+0.5
25
@
IU
L 69-86
−6.5
1
vs
BGSU
L 66-82
−28.5
6
vs
HALL
L 67-78
−13.5
8
vs
MVSU
W 108-49
+20.5
13
@
CREI
W 83-76
+11.5
20
vs
SDAK
W 106-76
+8.5
28
vs
ULM
W 94-85
−23.5
3
vs
BYU
L 73-83
−2.5
7
@
ARIZ
L 76-101
−7.5
10
@
ASU
L 84-87
−1.5
14
vs
UCF
L 73-82
−11.5
17
@
OKST
L 83-84
+1.5
20
vs
UTAH
W 81-78
−7.5
24
vs
KU
L 62-86
−19.5
27
@
WVU
L 54-59
+2.5
1
vs
ISU
L 61-95
−21.5
7
@
TCU
L 82-84
+7.5
11
vs
CIN
L 62-91
−26.5
14
@
HOU
L 64-78
+8.5
17
vs
BAY
W 90-74
+19.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+8.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
+0.5
13
vs
CAL
W 99-96
+30.5
17
vs
TLSA
W 84-83
+6.5
20
vs
MSST
W 98-77
+10.5
21
vs
NEB
L 85-86
+2.5
25
@
IU
L 69-86
−9.5
1
vs
BGSU
L 66-82
−11.5
6
vs
HALL
L 67-78
−3.5
8
vs
MVSU
W 108-49
−3.5
13
@
CREI
W 83-76
−0.5
20
vs
SDAK
W 106-76
+5.5
28
vs
ULM
W 94-85
+9.5
3
vs
BYU
L 73-83
−18.5
7
@
ARIZ
L 76-101
+5.5
10
@
ASU
L 84-87
+1.5
14
vs
UCF
L 73-82
−15.5
17
@
OKST
L 83-84
−8.5
20
vs
UTAH
W 81-78
−9.5
24
vs
KU
L 62-86
−10.5
27
@
WVU
L 54-59
−33.5
1
vs
ISU
L 61-95
−0.5
7
@
TCU
L 82-84
+10.5
11
vs
CIN
L 62-91
+5.5
14
@
HOU
L 64-78
−2.5
17
vs
BAY
W 90-74
+4.5
over 13under 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas Tech
26 games played
Straight up
19-7
73% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg −2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 6 | @ | L 65-69 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 73-71 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 88-74 | -17.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 84-71 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 20 | @ | W 92-73 | -1.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 24 | vs | W 90-86 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 31 | @ | L 80-88 | -5.5 | L −13.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 2 | vs | L 61-64 | -3.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 8 | @ | W 70-63 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 11 | vs | W 78-44 | -13.5 | W +20.5 | 155.5 | U 122 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 78-75 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 67-72 | -7.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
LIN
W 98-60
+8.5
7
vs
SHSU
W 98-77
−10.5
11
@
ILL
L 77-81
−0.5
14
vs
MILW
W 80-63
−10.5
20
vs
WAKE
W 84-83
−8.5
21
vs
PUR
L 56-86
−26.5
26
vs
NOLA
W 82-50
+2.5
30
vs
WYO
W 76-72
−15.5
7
vs
LSU
W 82-58
+18.5
13
vs
ARK
L 86-93
−9.5
16
vs
UNCO
W 101-90
−14.5
20
vs
DUKE
W 82-81
+10.5
28
vs
WIN
W 87-57
+12.5
3
vs
OKST
W 102-80
+9.5
6
@
HOU
L 65-69
+3.5
10
@
COLO
W 73-71
−3.5
14
vs
UTAH
W 88-74
−3.5
17
vs
BYU
W 84-71
+10.5
20
@
BAY
W 92-73
+17.5
24
vs
HOU
W 90-86
+5.5
31
@
UCF
L 80-88
−13.5
2
vs
KU
L 61-64
−6.5
8
@
WVU
W 70-63
+2.5
11
vs
COLO
W 78-44
+20.5
14
@
ARIZ
W 78-75
+11.5
17
@
ASU
L 67-72
−12.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
LIN
W 98-60
+11.5
7
vs
SHSU
W 98-77
+18.5
11
@
ILL
L 77-81
−10.5
14
vs
MILW
W 80-63
−22.5
20
vs
WAKE
W 84-83
+6.5
21
vs
PUR
L 56-86
−11.5
26
vs
NOLA
W 82-50
−25.5
30
vs
WYO
W 76-72
−4.5
7
vs
LSU
W 82-58
−14.5
13
vs
ARK
L 86-93
+23.5
16
vs
UNCO
W 101-90
+38.5
20
vs
DUKE
W 82-81
+10.5
28
vs
WIN
W 87-57
−19.5
3
vs
OKST
W 102-80
+14.5
6
@
HOU
L 65-69
−8.5
10
@
COLO
W 73-71
−17.5
14
vs
UTAH
W 88-74
+2.5
17
vs
BYU
W 84-71
−10.5
20
@
BAY
W 92-73
+10.5
24
vs
HOU
W 90-86
+34.5
31
@
UCF
L 80-88
+8.5
2
vs
KU
L 61-64
−30.5
8
@
WVU
W 70-63
−6.5
11
vs
COLO
W 78-44
−33.5
14
@
ARIZ
W 78-75
−3.5
17
@
ASU
L 67-72
−17.5
over 11under 15avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas St
11-15 overall · 2-11 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Baylor90–74
- L@ Houston64–78
- Lvs Cincinnati62–91
- L@ TCU82–84
- Lvs Iowa State61–95
4 days since their last game.
Texas Tech
19-7 overall · 9-4 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arizona St67–72
- W@ Arizona78–75
- Wvs Colorado78–44
- W@ West Virginia70–63
- Lvs Kansas61–64
4 days since their last game.