KFC Yum! Center · at Louisville · Conference game
Closing line
LOU -23.5✓ GT covered by 6.5
LOU -23.5✓ GT covered by 6.5Closing total167.5Under by 10.5
 GT | This season | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-16 | Record | 19-7 |
| 11-16 | ATS | 13-13 |
| 17-10 | O/U | 11-15 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GT 69–91 LOU · ✓ LOU (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 31 | 39 | 70 |
| LOU | 42 | 45 | 87 |
1st half: GT 31, LOU 42 (LOU by 11). The model had LOU by 12.9 and a total of 74.5 (actual 73).
Team stats
| GT | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-61 46% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 3-18 17% | 3-pointers | 14-31 45% |
| 11-12 92% | Free throws | 19-20 95% |
| 29 10 off | Rebounds | 30 6 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 11 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 16 | Fouls | 13 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baye Ndongo F | 37 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 7-14 | 0-2 |
| Lamar Washington G | 35 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Akai Fleming G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 7-13 | 1-4 |
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 20 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Kirouac C | 28 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Chas Kelley III G | 16 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kam Craft G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Brandon Stores Jr., Dyllan Thompson, Eric Chatfield Jr., Mouhamed Sylla, Davi Remagen, Peyton Marshall
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikel Brown Jr. G | 31 | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Ryan Conwell G | 30 | 15 | 1 | 4 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| J'Vonne Hadley G | 27 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 6-11 | 1-5 |
| Isaac McKneely G | 23 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Sananda Fru F | 17 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Aly Khalifa C | 17 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Khani Rooths F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Adrian Wooley G | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Kobe Rodgers G | 10 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kasean Pryor F | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vangelis Zougris F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Cole Sherman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Spencer Legg G | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Will Hanke G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mouhamed Camara, London Johnson
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLOU -23.5
no move
CloseLOU -23.5
No change since the open
Total
Open163.5
▲ 4
Close167.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
GT +1800 · LOU -5000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LOU -23.5 · unchangedmodel LOU -22
model LOU -22
Opened 163.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 4 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LOU -23.5 | LOU -21.8 | GT +1.7 | W GT covered |
| Total | 167.5 | 159.5 | Under 8.0 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | GT 68.8 · LOU 90.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LOU -12.9 | LOU -11.0 |
| 1H total | 74.5 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | GT 30.8 · LOU 43.7 | GT 31 · LOU 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GT | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| LOU | 7-3 70% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
GT 2–4 LOULOU leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · GT 2-3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | LOU 70 @ GT 77 | GT +9.5 | GT W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | GT 67 @ LOU 79 | LOU -1.5 | LOU W |
| Feb 25, 2022-23 | LOU 67 @ GT 83 | GT -6.5 | GT W |
| Feb 1, 2022-23 | GT 58 @ LOU 68 | LOU +1.5 | LOU W |
| Mar 8, 2021-22 | GT 74 vs LOU 84 | LOU -1 | LOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia Tech
27 games played
Straight up
11-16
41% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UMES | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs BRY | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs SELA | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ UGA | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs GASO | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs WGA | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs DEP | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs DRKE | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs MSST | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONM | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs MRST | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs LAF | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs FAMU | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ DUKE | L 79-85 | +27.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs BC | W 65-53 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs SYR | L 72-82 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ MIA | L 81-91 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | vs PITT | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ NCSU | W 78-74 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 24 | vs CLEM | L 63-77 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 27 | @ VT | L 65-71 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vs UNC | L 75-91 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 4 | @ CAL | L 85-90 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 7 | @ STAN | L 72-95 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | vs WAKE | L 67-83 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ ND | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 18 | vs UVA | L 68-94 | +13.5 | L −12.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−24.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
+13.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−4.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+10.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−8.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
−2.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−12.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
−14.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
−10.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+4.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
−2.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+4.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+21.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
+5.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
−7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+5.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
−21.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
+21.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−5.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
+3.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
−6.5
4
@CAL
CALL 85-90
+2.5
7
@STAN
STANL 72-95
−13.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEL 67-83
−12.5
14
@ND
NDL 74-89
−9.5
18
vsUVA
UVAL 68-94
−12.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUMES
UMESW 56-52
−31.5
7
vsBRY
BRYW 74-45
−19.5
10
vsSELA
SELAW 70-60
−3.5
14
@UGA
UGAL 87-92
+23.5
18
vsGASO
GASOW 68-66
−30.5
23
vsWGA
WGAW 82-66
+3.5
28
vsDEP
DEPL 61-75
−11.5
29
vsDRKE
DRKEL 74-84
+20.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 73-85
+7.5
6
vsMONM
MONMW 79-67
+1.5
16
vsMRST
MRSTW 87-76
+21.5
20
vsLAF
LAFW 95-81
+28.5
28
vsFAMU
FAMUW 89-65
+7.5
31
@DUKE
DUKEL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsBC
BCW 65-53
−27.5
6
vsSYR
SYRL 72-82
+7.5
10
@MIA
MIAL 81-91
+15.5
14
vsPITT
PITTL 66-89
+9.5
17
@NCSU
NCSUW 78-74
−2.5
24
vsCLEM
CLEML 63-77
−2.5
27
@VT
VTL 65-71
−19.5
31
vsUNC
UNCL 75-91
+5.5
4
@CAL
CALL 85-90
+22.5
7
@STAN
STANL 72-95
+15.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEL 67-83
−8.5
14
@ND
NDL 74-89
+12.5
18
vsUVA
UVAL 68-94
+11.5
over 17under 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisville
26 games played
Straight up
19-7
73% wins
Against the spread
13-13
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-15
42% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SCST | W 104-45 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 6 | vs JKST | W 106-70 | -38.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 11 | vs UK | W 96-88 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 15 | vs OHIO | W 106-81 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 21 | vs CIN | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs EMU | W 87-46 | -33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs NJIT | W 104-47 | -44.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ARK | L 80-89 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 6 | vs IU | W 87-78 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs MEM | W 99-73 | -16.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | @ TENN | L 62-83 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 20 | vs MONT | W 94-54 | -30.5 | W +9.5 | 166.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 30 | @CAL | W 90-70 | -7.5 | W +12.5 | 159.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 2 | @STAN | L 76-80 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 6 | vsDUKE | L 73-84 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 10 | vsBC | W 75-62 | -21.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 13 | vsUVA | L 70-79 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @PITT | W 100-59 | -7.5 | W +33.5 | 152.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 24 | vsVT | W 85-71 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 26 | @DUKE | L 52-83 | +8.5 | L −22.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 31 | vs SMU | W 88-74 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 162 |
| Feb 4 | vsND | W 76-65 | -19.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 7 | @WAKE | W 88-80 | -9.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 9 | vsNCSU | W 118-77 | -6.5 | W +34.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Feb 14 | vs BAY | W 82-71 | -7.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 17 | @SMU | L 85-95 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
−2.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+2.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
−6.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
+1.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
+7.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
+12.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
−10.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+5.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−16.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
+9.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+12.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−11.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−9.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−8.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−13.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+33.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−0.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
31
vsSMU
SMUW 88-74
+4.5
4
vsND
NDW 76-65
−8.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 88-80
−1.5
9
vsNCSU
NCSUW 118-77
+34.5
14
vsBAY
BAYW 82-71
+3.5
17
@SMU
SMUL 85-95
−14.5
covered 13didn’t cover 13avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
+10.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+10.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
+12.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
−25.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
−29.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
−7.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
+2.5
6
vsIU
IUW 87-78
+2.5
13
vsMEM
MEMW 99-73
+9.5
16
@TENN
TENNL 62-83
−11.5
20
vsMONT
MONTW 94-54
−18.5
30
@CAL
CALW 90-70
+0.5
2
@STAN
STANL 76-80
−1.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 73-84
−4.5
10
vsBC
BCW 75-62
−13.5
13
vsUVA
UVAL 70-79
−5.5
17
@PITT
PITTW 100-59
+6.5
24
vsVT
VTW 85-71
−4.5
26
@DUKE
DUKEL 52-83
−22.5
31
vsSMU
SMUW 88-74
−1.5
4
vsND
NDW 76-65
−14.5
7
@WAKE
WAKEW 88-80
+5.5
9
vsNCSU
NCSUW 118-77
+33.5
14
vsBAY
BAYW 82-71
−9.5
17
@SMU
SMUL 85-95
+11.5
over 11under 15avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia Tech
11-16 overall · 2-12 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Virginia68–94
- L@ Notre Dame74–89
- Lvs Wake Forest67–83
- L@ Stanford72–95
- L@ California85–90
3 days since their last game.
Louisville
19-7 overall · 8-5 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ SMU85–95
- Wvs Baylor82–71
- Wvs NC State118–77
- W@ Wake Forest88–80
- Wvs Notre Dame76–65
4 days since their last game.