McCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech · Conference game
Closing line
UVA -13.5✓ UVA covered by 12.5
Closing total150.5Over by 11.5
| This season | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-3 | Record | 11-15 |
| 13-12 | ATS | 11-15 |
| 9-16 | O/U | 16-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVA 81–69 GT · ✓ UVA (85%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVA | 59 | 35 | 94 |
| GT | 27 | 41 | 68 |
1st half: UVA 59, GT 27 (UVA by 32). The model had UVA by 7.2 and a total of 70.2 (actual 86).
Team stats
| UVA | GT | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-79 46% | Field goals | 24-64 38% |
| 14-37 38% | 3-pointers | 4-19 21% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 51 20 off | Rebounds | 34 10 off |
| 23 | Assists | 14 |
| 12 | Steals | 8 |
| 9 | Blocks | 3 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 28 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall G | 28 | 12 | 3 | 10 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Thijs De Ridder F | 22 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 9-13 | 1-3 |
| Sam Lewis G | 22 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 21 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Malik Thomas G | 19 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 6-11 | 5-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Mallory G | 23 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Jacari White G | 18 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 17 | 6 | 9 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Devin Tillis F | 11 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-3 |
| Martin Carrere G | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Gertrude G | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Carter Lang F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Desmond Roberts G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Owen Odom G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Silas Barksdale
| GT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaeden Mustaf G | 35 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6-13 | 1-2 |
| Kowacie Reeves Jr. F | 29 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 4-11 | 1-3 |
| Baye Ndongo F | 25 | 13 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Lamar Washington G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Akai Fleming G | 16 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eric Chatfield Jr. F | 23 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Kam Craft G | 22 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 1-6 |
| Cole Kirouac C | 21 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Chas Kelley III G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Dyllan Thompson, Mouhamed Sylla, Brandon Stores Jr., Peyton Marshall, Davi Remagen
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -13.5
no move
CloseUVA -13.5
No change since the open
Total
Open146.5
▲ 4
Close150.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
UVA -1100 · GT +700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -13.5 · unchangedmodel UVA -12
model UVA -12
Opened 146.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 4 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UVA -13.5 | UVA -11.8 | GT +1.7 | L UVA covered |
| Total | 150.5 | 149.9 | Under 0.6 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | UVA 80.9 · GT 69 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UVA -7.2 | UVA -32.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 86 |
| 1H projected score | UVA 38.7 · GT 31.5 | UVA 59 · GT 27 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | |
| 1-9 10% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UVA 5–1 GTUVA leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · UVA 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | UVA 60 vs GT 66 | GT -1.5 | GT W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | GT 61 @ UVA 75 | UVA -2.5 | UVA W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | GT 57 @ UVA 72 | UVA -9.5 | UVA W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | UVA 75 @ GT 66 | GT +1.5 | UVA W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | UVA 74 @ GT 56 | GT +9.5 | UVA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Virginia
25 games played
Straight up
22-3
88% wins
Against the spread
13-12
52% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-16
36% overs · avg −1.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 87-53 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 81-62 | -34.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 91-53 | -24.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 104-78 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 73-80 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @ | W 88-69 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 86-73 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 9 | vs | W 84-60 | -36.5 | L −12.5 | 134.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 80-72 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 95-51 | -27.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 85-95 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ | W 76-61 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 151.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 7 | vs | W 84-60 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 13 | @ | W 79-70 | +4.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 72-68 | -2.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 80-85 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 27 | @ | W 100-97 | -9.5 | L −6.5 | 145.5 | O 197 |
| Jan 31 | @ | W 73-66 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Feb 3 | vs | W 67-47 | -12.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 114 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 72-59 | -13.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 10 | @ | W 61-58 | -8.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 70-66 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
RID
W 87-53
+7.5
7
vs
NCCU
W 81-62
−15.5
11
vs
HAMP
W 91-53
+13.5
15
vs
MRSH
W 104-78
+5.5
21
vs
NU
W 83-78
+0.5
23
vs
BTLR
L 73-80
−13.5
28
vs
QUC
W 94-69
−0.5
3
@
TEX
W 88-69
+22.5
6
vs
DAY
W 86-73
+7.5
9
vs
UMES
W 84-60
−12.5
20
vs
MD
W 80-72
−8.5
22
vs
AMER
W 95-51
+16.5
31
@
VT
L 85-95
−15.5
3
@
NCSU
W 76-61
+19.5
7
vs
CAL
W 84-60
+9.5
10
vs
STAN
W 70-55
+2.5
13
@
LOU
W 79-70
+13.5
17
@
SMU
W 72-68
+1.5
24
vs
UNC
L 80-85
−11.5
27
@
ND
W 100-97
−6.5
31
@
BC
W 73-66
−6.5
3
vs
PITT
W 67-47
+7.5
7
vs
SYR
W 72-59
−0.5
10
@
FSU
W 61-58
−5.5
14
vs
OSU
W 70-66
−1.5
covered 13didn’t cover 12avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
RID
W 87-53
−8.5
7
vs
NCCU
W 81-62
−8.5
11
vs
HAMP
W 91-53
−4.5
15
vs
MRSH
W 104-78
+26.5
21
vs
NU
W 83-78
+11.5
23
vs
BTLR
L 73-80
−2.5
28
vs
QUC
W 94-69
+2.5
3
@
TEX
W 88-69
+2.5
6
vs
DAY
W 86-73
+11.5
9
vs
UMES
W 84-60
+9.5
20
vs
MD
W 80-72
−1.5
22
vs
AMER
W 95-51
−7.5
31
@
VT
L 85-95
+26.5
3
@
NCSU
W 76-61
−14.5
7
vs
CAL
W 84-60
−4.5
10
vs
STAN
W 70-55
−18.5
13
@
LOU
W 79-70
−5.5
17
@
SMU
W 72-68
−13.5
24
vs
UNC
L 80-85
+12.5
27
@
ND
W 100-97
+51.5
31
@
BC
W 73-66
−2.5
3
vs
PITT
W 67-47
−28.5
7
vs
SYR
W 72-59
−16.5
10
@
FSU
W 61-58
−36.5
14
vs
OSU
W 70-66
−10.5
over 9under 16avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Georgia Tech
26 games played
Straight up
11-15
42% wins
Against the spread
11-15
42% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-10
62% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 56-52 | -28.5 | L −24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 74-45 | -15.5 | W +13.5 | 138.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs | W 70-60 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 87-92 | +15.5 | W +10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 68-66 | -10.5 | L −8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 82-66 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 28 | vs | L 61-75 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 74-84 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 3 | vs | L 73-85 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 79-67 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 16 | vs | W 87-76 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 95-81 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 176 |
| Dec 28 | vs | W 89-65 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 31 | @ | L 79-85 | +27.5 | W +21.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 65-53 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 6 | vs | L 72-82 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 81-91 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 14 | vs | L 66-89 | +1.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 78-74 | +17.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 63-77 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 65-71 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 75-91 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 85-90 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 72-95 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 151.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 11 | vs | L 67-83 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 14 | @ | L 74-89 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UMES
W 56-52
−24.5
7
vs
BRY
W 74-45
+13.5
10
vs
SELA
W 70-60
−4.5
14
@
UGA
L 87-92
+10.5
18
vs
GASO
W 68-66
−8.5
23
vs
WGA
W 82-66
−2.5
28
vs
DEP
L 61-75
−12.5
29
vs
DRKE
L 74-84
−14.5
3
vs
MSST
L 73-85
−10.5
6
vs
MONM
W 79-67
+1.5
16
vs
MRST
W 87-76
+4.5
20
vs
LAF
W 95-81
−2.5
28
vs
FAMU
W 89-65
+4.5
31
@
DUKE
L 79-85
+21.5
3
vs
BC
W 65-53
+5.5
6
vs
SYR
L 72-82
−7.5
10
@
MIA
L 81-91
+5.5
14
vs
PITT
L 66-89
−21.5
17
@
NCSU
W 78-74
+21.5
24
vs
CLEM
L 63-77
−5.5
27
@
VT
L 65-71
+3.5
31
vs
UNC
L 75-91
−6.5
4
@
CAL
L 85-90
+2.5
7
@
STAN
L 72-95
−13.5
11
vs
WAKE
L 67-83
−12.5
14
@
ND
L 74-89
−9.5
covered 11didn’t cover 15avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UMES
W 56-52
−31.5
7
vs
BRY
W 74-45
−19.5
10
vs
SELA
W 70-60
−3.5
14
@
UGA
L 87-92
+23.5
18
vs
GASO
W 68-66
−30.5
23
vs
WGA
W 82-66
+3.5
28
vs
DEP
L 61-75
−11.5
29
vs
DRKE
L 74-84
+20.5
3
vs
MSST
L 73-85
+7.5
6
vs
MONM
W 79-67
+1.5
16
vs
MRST
W 87-76
+21.5
20
vs
LAF
W 95-81
+28.5
28
vs
FAMU
W 89-65
+7.5
31
@
DUKE
L 79-85
+10.5
3
vs
BC
W 65-53
−27.5
6
vs
SYR
L 72-82
+7.5
10
@
MIA
L 81-91
+15.5
14
vs
PITT
L 66-89
+9.5
17
@
NCSU
W 78-74
−2.5
24
vs
CLEM
L 63-77
−2.5
27
@
VT
L 65-71
−19.5
31
vs
UNC
L 75-91
+5.5
4
@
CAL
L 85-90
+22.5
7
@
STAN
L 72-95
+15.5
11
vs
WAKE
L 67-83
−8.5
14
@
ND
L 74-89
+12.5
over 16under 10avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Virginia
22-3 overall · 10-2 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Ohio State70–66
- W@ Florida St61–58
- Wvs Syracuse72–59
- Wvs Pitt67–47
- W@ Boston College73–66
4 days since their last game.
Georgia Tech
11-15 overall · 2-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Notre Dame74–89
- Lvs Wake Forest67–83
- L@ Stanford72–95
- L@ California85–90
- Lvs North Carolina75–91
4 days since their last game.