1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. FAMU @ TLSA
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Florida A&M Rattlers at Tulsa Golden Hurricane

Reynolds Center · at Tulsa
#327FAMUFlorida A&M
@
#108TLSATulsa
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
FAMUThis seasonTLSA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TLSA 84–65 · win probability TLSA 95%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 149.4
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TLSA has more of the edges

FAMU 1, TLSA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
FAMU has played the 323rd-hardest schedule, TLSA the 111th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TLSABig
TLSA offense vs FAMU defense
Offense 99th of 366 against a defense 303rd, on the model’s ratings
TLSABig
Three-pointers
FAMU hits 32.6% and allows 34.9%; TLSA hits 38.5% and allows 32.4%. Threes are 37.7% and 46.7% of their shots
TLSABig
FAMU offense vs TLSA defense
Offense 326th of 366 against a defense 133rd, on the model’s ratings
TLSABig
Shooting
Effective FG%: FAMU 49.2 and allows 51.2; TLSA 55.4 and allows 49.5
TLSABig
Free throws
Free throw rate: FAMU 37.4, TLSA 41.4. Allowed: FAMU 39.6, TLSA 32.0
TLSASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: FAMU 30.9%, TLSA 32.8%. Defensive: FAMU 69.1%, TLSA 71.0%
TLSASmall
Home court
TLSA at home. This season: TLSA 0-0 at home, FAMU 0-0 away
FAMUSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: FAMU 43%, TLSA 18%. Transfers in: FAMU 3, TLSA 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: FAMU 21.5%, TLSA 15.6%. Forced: FAMU 19.1%, TLSA 15.4%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: FAMU plays 70.6 a game (92nd fastest), TLSA 70.1 (115th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—TLSA -19.2—
Total—149.4—
Projected score—FAMU 65.1 · TLSA 84.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTLSA -11.3—
1H total69.9—
1H projected scoreFAMU 29.3 · TLSA 40.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Tulsa has the better starters

Position by position: Florida A&M 1, Tulsa 2, even 2
Florida A&MBetterTulsa
G J. Kempson TR10.7 pts · 4.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 33
Even
G K. Williams TR14.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1.4 ast Score 46
G J. Sanders12 pts · 3.2 reb · 3.8 ast Score 42
TLSASmall
G J. Johnson TR15 pts · 3.5 reb · 2 ast Score 69
G A. Baker9.6 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 35
TLSASmall
G B. Moss TR9.6 pts · 4.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 54
G R. Martino6.5 pts · 2.2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 44
FAMUSmall
F M. Emory TR11.3 pts · 6.4 reb · 1.2 ast Score 27
F D. Williford TR2.2 pts · 0.8 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F C. Loofe TR7.1 pts · 6.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 26
Florida A&MBetterTulsa
FAMU offense326th of 366 · -10.6
TLSABig
TLSA defense133rd of 366 · -2.5
FAMU defense303rd of 366 · -7.8
TLSABig
TLSA offense99th of 366 · -0.8
Backcourt-5.5 · 4 players
TLSABig
Backcourt-0.9 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.3 · 1 player
FAMUBig
Frontcourt-3.8 · 2 players
Bench-0.2 · 2 players
TLSASmall
Bench+1.3 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestFAMU betterTLSA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Florida A&M
Guards
J. Kempson32 min · TRJ. Sanders32 minA. Baker27 minR. Martino22 minC. DavisNewA. WilliamsNew
Forwards
D. Williford6 min · TRT. Onuoha5 minM. StijovicNewJ. LomickaNewB. NdourNew
Centers
A. Mbaye1 min · TRJ. MokwezaNew
Tulsa
Guards
K. Williams36 min · TRJ. Johnson33 min · TRB. Moss27 min · TRM. Williams21 min · TRM. Rigsby19 minJ. Lawal13 min
Forwards
M. Emory37 min · TRC. Loofe26 min · TRK. Banks16 min · TRD. DesireNewA. DimitrijevicNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
FAMUTLSA
Scoring
70.0 #285Points per game83.9 #20
0.99 #334Points per possession1.20 #16
70.6 #92Pace (possessions)70.1 #115
Shooting
49.2 #283Effective FG%55.4 #29
32.6 #2493-point %38.5 #10
37.7 #2193-point attempt rate46.7 #37
37.4 #116Free throw rate41.4 #39
Possessions
21.5 #359Turnover rate15.6 #109
30.9 #168Offensive rebound rate32.8 #95
12.7 #236Assists per game15.1 #79
Defense
75.1 #192Points allowed74.4 #172
1.06 #114Points allowed per possession1.06 #111
51.2 #171Opponent effective FG%49.5 #82
34.9 #243Opponent 3-point %32.4 #85
19.1 #43Turnovers forced15.4 #260
69.1 #198Defensive rebound rate71.0 #108
8.1 #35Steals per game6.6 #170
3.0 #220Blocks per game2.5 #306
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Florida A&M

13-16 in 2025-26 overall · 12-8 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Southern70–73
  • Wvs Jackson St70–60
  • Wvs Bethune81–77
  • W@ Grambling66–59
  • W@ Southern82–71

A week or more of rest.

Tulsa

28-8 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Auburn86–92
  • Wvs New Mexico74–69
  • Wvs Wichita St83–79
  • Wvs UNLV77–66
  • Wvs SF Austin89–84

A week or more of rest.