Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Neutral site · NIT
Closing line
AUB -5.5✓ AUB covered by 0.5
AUB -5.5✓ AUB covered by 0.5Closing total158.5Over by 19.5
 TLSA | This season | AUB |
|---|---|---|
| 28-7 | Record | 21-16 |
| 19-16 | ATS | 15-22 |
| 23-12 | O/U | 21-16 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TLSA 77–86 AUB · ✓ AUB (79%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 31 | 47 | 8 | 86 |
| AUB | 48 | 30 | 14 | 92 |
1st half: TLSA 31, AUB 48 (AUB by 17). The model had AUB by 5.3 and a total of 76.1 (actual 79).
Team stats
| TLSA | AUB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-62 44% | Field goals | 30-67 45% |
| 6-26 23% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 26-32 81% | Free throws | 21-28 75% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 39 13 off |
| 12 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| TLSA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Green F | 42 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 8-17 | 1-7 |
| Miles Barnstable G | 41 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Tylen Riley G | 40 | 20 | 3 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-3 |
| Ade Popoola G | 37 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 4-13 | 2-9 |
| Tyler Behrend F | 24 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ian Smikle F | 19 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Myles Rigsby G | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Lawal G | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Romad Dean F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| KJ Martin Jr. F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leon Sifferlin, Carter Benton, Cal Conroy, Terrance Ford Jr., Doryan Onwuchekwa
| AUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tahaad Pettiford G | 43 | 24 | 2 | 8 | 8-22 | 4-11 |
| Kevin Overton G | 42 | 26 | 1 | 3 | 7-13 | 5-8 |
| Elyjah Freeman G | 33 | 6 | 14 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Keyshawn Hall F | 27 | 11 | 12 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Filip Jovic C | 26 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Williams-Adams F | 36 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Blake Muschalek G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Magwood G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jeremiah Bowman, Emeka Opurum, Bradley Pearson, Abdul Bashir, KeShawn Murphy, Drake Cardwell, Joah Shay, Simon Walker, Reed Trapp, CJ Williams
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAUB -5.5
ModelAUB -9.1
Model edgeAUB +3.6
W AUB covered
Total
Market158.5
Model163.0
Model edgeOver 4.5
W Over
Projected score
TLSA 77 · AUB 86.1
TLSA 86 · AUB 92
Win probability
AUB 79%
1st half
Spread
AUB -5.3
AUB -17.0
Total
76.1
79 points
Projected score
TLSA 35.4 · AUB 40.7
TLSA 31 · AUB 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAUB -5.5
no move
CloseAUB -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
TLSA +220 · AUB -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened AUB -5.5 · unchangedmodel AUB -9
model AUB -9
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 163
model 163
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TLSA | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| AUB | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulsa
35 games played
Straight up
28-7
80% wins
Against the spread
19-16
54% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
23-12
66% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs URI | W 82-65 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 12 | @ ORU | W 88-87 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 17 | @ KSU | L 83-84 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs APSU | W 84-75 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs SJSU | W 81-51 | -5.5 | W +24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs UNI | W 63-60 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs MOST | W 98-74 | -7.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | vs UAPB | W 117-84 | -25.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 201 |
| Dec 13 | vs NMSU | W 83-70 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 19 | @ WKU | W 82-81 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 22 | vs DEN | W 90-85 | -16.5 | L −11.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 31 | vs RICE | W 97-48 | -12.5 | W +36.5 | 152.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ UNT | L 67-72 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 10 | vs USF | L 78-93 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 14 | @ CLT | W 86-74 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 18 | @ UAB | W 99-77 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 21 | vs MEM | W 83-66 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @RICE | W 87-81 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 28 | vsUNT | W 82-66 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 1 | vs WICH | W 93-83 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 4 | @ FAU | W 78-76 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 162.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 8 | @USF | L 74-80 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 170.5 | U 154 |
| Feb 11 | vsUAB | L 63-68 | -10.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 14 | @WICH | L 77-81 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 18 | vsCLT | W 79-74 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 22 | vs UTSA | W 100-74 | -21.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 25 | @ TULN | W 90-56 | -5.5 | W +28.5 | 156.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 5 | @ ECU | W 93-66 | -8.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 8 | vs TEM | W 78-76 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 13 | vsUNT | W 90-84 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 174 |
| Mar 14 | vsWICH | L 68-81 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 17 | vs SFA | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 173 |
| Mar 22 | vs UNLV | W 77-66 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 24 | vsWICH | W 83-79 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 162 |
| Apr 2 | vs UNM | W 74-69 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 161.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
+20.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
−4.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+11.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+0.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
+24.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
+5.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+16.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+7.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+8.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
−1.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
−11.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
+36.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
−7.5
10
vsUSF
USFL 78-93
−16.5
14
@CLT
CLTW 86-74
+8.5
18
@UAB
UABW 99-77
+23.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 83-66
+10.5
24
@RICE
RICEW 87-81
−2.5
28
vsUNT
UNTW 82-66
+7.5
1
vsWICH
WICHW 93-83
+4.5
4
@FAU
FAUW 78-76
−1.5
8
@USF
USFL 74-80
−1.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 63-68
−15.5
14
@WICH
WICHL 77-81
−2.5
18
vsCLT
CLTW 79-74
−7.5
22
vsUTSA
UTSAW 100-74
+4.5
25
@TULN
TULNW 90-56
+28.5
5
@ECU
ECUW 93-66
+18.5
8
vsTEM
TEMW 78-76
−9.5
13
vsUNT
UNTW 90-84
−1.5
14
vsWICH
WICHL 68-81
−14.5
17
vsSFA
SFAW 89-84
−0.5
22
vsUNLV
UNLVW 77-66
+6.5
24
vsWICH
WICHW 83-79
−0.5
2
vsUNM
UNMW 74-69
+7.5
covered 19didn’t cover 16avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsURI
URIW 82-65
−6.5
12
@ORU
ORUW 88-87
+14.5
17
@KSU
KSUL 83-84
+6.5
21
vsAPSU
APSUW 84-75
+10.5
25
vsSJSU
SJSUW 81-51
−17.5
26
vsUNI
UNIW 63-60
−14.5
6
vsMOST
MOSTW 98-74
+29.5
10
vsUAPB
UAPBW 117-84
+45.5
13
vsNMSU
NMSUW 83-70
+6.5
19
@WKU
WKUW 82-81
+4.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 90-85
+14.5
31
vsRICE
RICEW 97-48
−7.5
4
@UNT
UNTL 67-72
+0.5
10
vsUSF
USFL 78-93
+7.5
14
@CLT
CLTW 86-74
+13.5
18
@UAB
UABW 99-77
+16.5
21
vsMEM
MEMW 83-66
−4.5
24
@RICE
RICEW 87-81
+15.5
28
vsUNT
UNTW 82-66
+6.5
1
vsWICH
WICHW 93-83
+21.5
4
@FAU
FAUW 78-76
−8.5
8
@USF
USFL 74-80
−16.5
11
vsUAB
UABL 63-68
−30.5
14
@WICH
WICHL 77-81
+5.5
18
vsCLT
CLTW 79-74
+1.5
22
vsUTSA
UTSAW 100-74
+14.5
25
@TULN
TULNW 90-56
−10.5
5
@ECU
ECUW 93-66
+2.5
8
vsTEM
TEMW 78-76
+4.5
13
vsUNT
UNTW 90-84
+32.5
14
vsWICH
WICHL 68-81
−3.5
17
vsSFA
SFAW 89-84
+23.5
22
vsUNLV
UNLVW 77-66
−18.5
24
vsWICH
WICHW 83-79
+7.5
2
vsUNM
UNMW 74-69
−18.5
over 23under 12avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Auburn
37 games played
Straight up
21-16
57% wins
Against the spread
15-22
41% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-16
57% overs · avg +3.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BCU | W 95-90 | -24.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 6 | vs MRMK | W 95-57 | -23.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 11 | vs WOF | W 93-62 | -27.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 16 | vs HOU | L 72-73 | +7.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 19 | vs JKST | W 112-66 | -30.5 | W +15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | vs ORE | W 84-73 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 25 | vs MICH | L 72-102 | +4.5 | L −25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs SJU | W 85-74 | +4.5 | W +15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 3 | vs NCSU | W 83-73 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 162.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ ARIZ | L 68-97 | +11.5 | L −17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTC | W 92-78 | -19.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 20 | vs PUR | L 60-88 | +7.5 | L −20.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs QUC | W 106-65 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 3 | @ UGA | L 100-104 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | vs TA&M | L 88-90 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 168.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 10 | vs ARK | W 95-73 | -2.5 | W +19.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Jan 14 | @ MIZ | L 74-84 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 17 | vs SC | W 71-67 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ MISS | W 78-66 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ FLA | W 76-67 | +11.5 | W +20.5 | 159.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 28 | vs TEX | W 88-82 | -6.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 31 | @ TENN | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 146 |
| Feb 7 | vs ALA | L 92-96 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 10 | vs VAN | L 76-84 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 161.5 | U 160 |
| Feb 14 | @ARK | L 75-88 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 165.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 18 | @ MSST | L 85-91 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | O 176 |
| Feb 21 | vs UK | W 75-74 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 149 |
| Feb 24 | @ OU | L 79-91 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 28 | vsMISS | L 79-85 | -10.5 | L −16.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Mar 3 | vs LSU | W 88-74 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | O 162 |
| Mar 7 | @ALA | L 84-96 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 175.5 | O 180 |
| Mar 11 | vsMSST | W 79-61 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 160.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 12 | vsTENN | L 62-72 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 17 | vs USA | W 78-67 | -18.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 22 | vs SEA | W 91-85 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 176 |
| Mar 25 | vs NEV | W 75-69 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Apr 2 | vs ILST | W 88-66 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
−19.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+14.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+3.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+6.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+15.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+6.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
−25.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
+15.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
+4.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
−17.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
−5.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−20.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
+15.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+2.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
−8.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
+19.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
−11.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−9.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
+8.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
+20.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
−0.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−2.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
−6.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−11.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−5.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
−11.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−2.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
−15.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
−16.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+3.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 84-96
−6.5
11
vsMSST
MSSTW 79-61
+9.5
12
vsTENN
TENNL 62-72
−4.5
17
vsUSA
USAW 78-67
−7.5
22
vsSEA
SEAW 91-85
−8.5
25
vsNEV
NEVW 75-69
−2.5
2
vsILST
ILSTW 88-66
+14.5
covered 15didn’t cover 22avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBCU
BCUW 95-90
+31.5
6
vsMRMK
MRMKW 95-57
+3.5
11
vsWOF
WOFW 93-62
+2.5
16
vsHOU
HOUL 72-73
+4.5
19
vsJKST
JKSTW 112-66
+21.5
24
vsORE
OREW 84-73
+1.5
25
vsMICH
MICHL 72-102
+10.5
26
vsSJU
SJUW 85-74
−7.5
3
vsNCSU
NCSUW 83-73
−6.5
6
@ARIZ
ARIZL 68-97
+2.5
13
vsUTC
UTCW 92-78
+19.5
20
vsPUR
PURL 60-88
−4.5
29
vsQUC
QUCW 106-65
−0.5
3
@UGA
UGAL 100-104
+30.5
6
vsTA&M
TA&ML 88-90
+9.5
10
vsARK
ARKW 95-73
−1.5
14
@MIZ
MIZL 74-84
+4.5
17
vsSC
SCW 71-67
−14.5
20
@MISS
MISSW 78-66
−7.5
24
@FLA
FLAW 76-67
−16.5
28
vsTEX
TEXW 88-82
+15.5
31
@TENN
TENNL 69-77
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAL 92-96
+12.5
10
vsVAN
VANL 76-84
−1.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-88
−2.5
18
@MSST
MSSTL 85-91
+20.5
21
vsUK
UKW 75-74
−4.5
24
@OU
OUL 79-91
+12.5
28
vsMISS
MISSL 79-85
+10.5
3
vsLSU
LSUW 88-74
+6.5
7
@ALA
ALAL 84-96
+4.5
11
vsMSST
MSSTW 79-61
−20.5
12
vsTENN
TENNL 62-72
−10.5
17
vsUSA
USAW 78-67
−6.5
22
vsSEA
SEAW 91-85
+30.5
25
vsNEV
NEVW 75-69
−7.5
2
vsILST
ILSTW 88-66
+4.5
over 21under 16avg +3.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulsa
28-7 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Mexico74–69
- Wvs Wichita St83–79
- Wvs UNLV77–66
- Wvs SF Austin89–84
- Lvs Wichita St68–81
3 days since their last game.
Auburn
21-16 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Illinois St88–66
- Wvs Nevada75–69
- Wvs Seattle U91–85
- Wvs South Alabama78–67
- Lvs Tennessee62–72
3 days since their last game.