Binghamton Bearcats at Duquesne Dukes: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 14, 7:30 PM ETUPMC Cooper Fieldhouse · at Duquesne

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Binghamton and Duquesne
BING	This season	DUQ
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUQ 84–66 · win probability DUQ 94%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 149.6

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

BING 1, DUQ 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

Context

Schedule so far

BING has played the 350th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less

DUQBig

DUQ offense vs BING defense

Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 273rd, on the model’s ratings

DUQBig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: BING 18.7%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: BING 13.3%, DUQ 18.4%

DUQBig

BING offense vs DUQ defense

Offense 274th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: BING plays 66.5 a game (294th fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points

BINGSmall

Free throws

Free throw rate: BING 41.5, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: BING 34.6, DUQ 39.9

DUQSmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: BING 50.0 and allows 54.3; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5

DUQSmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: BING 20.9%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: BING 70.6%, DUQ 70.4%

DUQSmall

Home court

DUQ at home. This season: DUQ 0-0 at home, BING 0-0 away

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: BING 65%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: BING 4, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

Three-pointers

BING hits 32.5% and allows 35.8%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 30.9% and 44.4% of their shots

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	DUQ -17.7	—
Total	—	149.6	—
Projected score	—	BING 66 · DUQ 83.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	DUQ -10.4	—
1H total	70.0	—
1H projected score	BING 29.8 · DUQ 40.2	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
BING WWLWW	13-15	46%	6-9	—
DUQ LLLWW	14-17	45%	5-11	—

Venue/role: BING away; DUQ home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
BING OOOUO	16-12	57%	5-23
DUQ OUOUU	16-15	52%	16-15

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
BING	4-6 40%	6-4 60%	7-3 70%
DUQ	5-5 50%	4-6 40%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Binghamton

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 18	@ LAF	W82–81WO
Nov 21	vs ARMY	L85–95WO
Nov 24	@ LEH	W80–71WO

Duquesne

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 18	vs HOW	No recent meeting
Nov 22	vs WYO	No recent meeting
Nov 24	vs HPU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Binghamton

28 games played

Straight up

5-23

18% wins

Against the spread

13-15

46% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-12

57% overs · avg +5.4 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-2318%

L L L L L L W L L L L L L L L L L L L W L L L L W L W W

2 straight wins3 of last 4 won

Against the spread

13-1546%

L L W W L L W L L L L W L W W L L W L W L L W W W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1257%

U U O O U O O U O O O O U U U U U O O U O U O O O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SYR	L 47-85	+21.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	vsNIA	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 12	@GTWN	L 70-83	+27.5	W +14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	@LONG	L 82-90	+15.5	W +7.5	147.5	O 172
Nov 22	vsUMES	L 52-63	-5.5	L −16.5	125.5	U 115
Nov 23	@CAN	L 66-75	+2.5	L −6.5	129.5	O 141
Dec 2	vsLEH	W 80-71	+3.5	W +12.5	139.5	O 151
Dec 6	vsLEM	L 63-78	+2.5	L −12.5	144.5	U 141
Dec 13	vsCCSU	L 67-84	+7.5	L −9.5	133.5	O 151
Dec 17	@PITT	L 63-103	+24.5	L −15.5	134.5	O 166
Dec 20	@MERC	L 61-82	+7.5	L −13.5	132.5	O 143
Dec 23	@ARMY	L 85-95	+12.5	W +2.5	140.5	O 180
Jan 3	vsNJIT	L 65-73	-3.5	L −11.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 8	@UVM	L 59-60	+20.5	W +19.5	140.5	U 119
Jan 10	vsUML	L 68-73	+6.5	W +1.5	146.5	U 141
Jan 15	@UALB	L 53-69	+8.5	L −7.5	138.5	U 122
Jan 19	vsUMBC	L 60-78	+4.5	L −13.5	140.5	U 138
Jan 22	@UNH	L 82-88	+9.5	W +3.5	135.5	O 170
Jan 24	@ME	L 63-79	+5.5	L −10.5	124.5	O 142
Jan 29	vsBRY	W 63-60	+2.5	W +5.5	130.5	U 123
Feb 5	@UMBC	L 62-79	+11.5	L −5.5	138.5	O 141
Feb 7	@NJIT	L 64-73	+8.5	L −0.5	140.5	U 137
Feb 12	vsUVM	L 65-73	+11.5	W +3.5	136.5	O 138
Feb 14	vsUALB	L 74-77	+4.5	W +1.5	136.5	O 151
Feb 19	@BRY	W 79-67	+4.5	W +16.5	134.5	O 146
Feb 21	@UML	L 79-92	+9.5	L −3.5	146.5	O 171
Feb 26	vsUNH	W 65-63	+2.5	W +4.5	141.5	U 128
Feb 28	vsME	W 74-67	+1.5	W +8.5	133.5	O 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−16.5

NIA

L 59-67

−10.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+14.5

LONG

L 82-90

+7.5

UMES

L 52-63

−16.5

CAN

L 66-75

−6.5

LEH

W 80-71

+12.5

LEM

L 63-78

−12.5

CCSU

L 67-84

−9.5

PITT

L 63-103

−15.5

MERC

L 61-82

−13.5

ARMY

L 85-95

+2.5

NJIT

L 65-73

−11.5

UVM

L 59-60

+19.5

UML

L 68-73

+1.5

UALB

L 53-69

−7.5

UMBC

L 60-78

−13.5

UNH

L 82-88

+3.5

L 63-79

−10.5

BRY

W 63-60

+5.5

UMBC

L 62-79

−5.5

NJIT

L 64-73

−0.5

UVM

L 65-73

+3.5

UALB

L 74-77

+1.5

BRY

W 79-67

+16.5

UML

L 79-92

−3.5

UNH

W 65-63

+4.5

W 74-67

+8.5

covered 13didn’t cover 15avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−21.5

NIA

L 59-67

−12.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+11.5

LONG

L 82-90

+24.5

UMES

L 52-63

−10.5

CAN

L 66-75

+11.5

LEH

W 80-71

+11.5

LEM

L 63-78

−3.5

CCSU

L 67-84

+17.5

PITT

L 63-103

+31.5

MERC

L 61-82

+10.5

ARMY

L 85-95

+39.5

NJIT

L 65-73

−2.5

UVM

L 59-60

−21.5

UML

L 68-73

−5.5

UALB

L 53-69

−16.5

UMBC

L 60-78

−2.5

UNH

L 82-88

+34.5

L 63-79

+17.5

BRY

W 63-60

−7.5

UMBC

L 62-79

+2.5

NJIT

L 64-73

−3.5

UVM

L 65-73

+1.5

UALB

L 74-77

+14.5

BRY

W 79-67

+11.5

UML

L 79-92

+24.5

UNH

W 65-63

−13.5

W 74-67

+7.5

over 16under 12avg +5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Duquesne

31 games played

Straight up

16-15

52% wins

Against the spread

14-17

45% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-15

52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

16-1552%

W W W L W L L W L L W W L L L W L W L W W W W W L L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1745%

W L L W L L L L L W W W L L L W W W L W W W W L L L L L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1552%

O O O O O O U O U O O O O O U U U U O U U O U U U U O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsNIA	W 83-63	-17.5	W +2.5	139.5	O 146
Nov 7	vsSHU	W 92-80	-12.5	L −0.5	157.5	O 172
Nov 11	vsQUC	W 87-81	-12.5	L −6.5	162.5	O 168
Nov 15	@VILL	L 77-87	+10.5	W +0.5	151.5	O 164
Nov 19	vsL-MD	W 92-78	-14.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 170
Nov 22	vsNE	L 86-93	-7.5	L −14.5	147.5	O 179
Dec 2	vsW&M	L 79-83	-5.5	L −9.5	170.5	U 162
Dec 6	vsSTBK	W 84-75	-9.5	L −0.5	150.5	O 159
Dec 10	@BOIS	L 64-86	+14.5	L −7.5	150.5	U 150
Dec 13	@NEV	L 75-78	+5.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 153
Dec 22	vsCAN	W 103-59	-19.5	W +24.5	143.5	O 162
Dec 30	@DAV	W 89-83	+2.5	W +8.5	150.5	O 172
Jan 3	vsVCU	L 80-93	+5.5	L −7.5	165.5	O 173
Jan 7	@JOES	L 90-97	-1.5	L −8.5	149.5	O 187
Jan 13	vsDAY	L 65-71	+2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 136
Jan 17	@FOR	W 74-63	-1.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 137
Jan 20	vsSLU	L 77-81	+8.5	W +4.5	165.5	U 158
Jan 24	@LUC	W 71-59	-5.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 130
Jan 28	vsSBU	L 79-87	-3.5	L −11.5	150.5	O 166
Feb 1	vsURI	W 76-61	-2.5	W +12.5	146.5	U 137
Feb 4	@GMU	W 71-65	+8.5	W +14.5	143.5	U 136
Feb 7	vsGW	W 88-86	+1.5	W +3.5	158.5	O 174
Feb 14	@SBU	W 78-73	+1.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 151
Feb 18	vsLAS	W 62-61	-11.5	L −10.5	145.5	U 123
Feb 21	@DAY	L 66-78	+6.5	L −5.5	148.5	U 144
Feb 25	vsDAV	L 56-67	-3.5	L −14.5	142.5	U 123
Feb 28	@SLU	L 76-91	+13.5	L −1.5	160.5	O 167
Mar 4	@URI	L 52-64	+2.5	L −9.5	143.5	U 116
Mar 7	vsRICH	W 79-77	-4.5	L −2.5	147.5	O 156
Mar 12	vsURI	W 67-61	-1.5	W +4.5	138.5	U 128
Mar 13	vsVCU	L 66-71	+6.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 137

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+2.5

SHU

W 92-80

−0.5

QUC

W 87-81

−6.5

VILL

L 77-87

+0.5

L-MD

W 92-78

−0.5

L 86-93

−14.5

W&M

L 79-83

−9.5

STBK

W 84-75

−0.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−7.5

NEV

L 75-78

+2.5

CAN

W 103-59

+24.5

DAV

W 89-83

+8.5

VCU

L 80-93

−7.5

JOES

L 90-97

−8.5

DAY

L 65-71

−3.5

FOR

W 74-63

+9.5

SLU

L 77-81

+4.5

LUC

W 71-59

+6.5

SBU

L 79-87

−11.5

URI

W 76-61

+12.5

GMU

W 71-65

+14.5

W 88-86

+3.5

SBU

W 78-73

+6.5

LAS

W 62-61

−10.5

DAY

L 66-78

−5.5

DAV

L 56-67

−14.5

SLU

L 76-91

−1.5

URI

L 52-64

−9.5

RICH

W 79-77

−2.5

URI

W 67-61

+4.5

VCU

L 66-71

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NIA

W 83-63

+6.5

SHU

W 92-80

+14.5

QUC

W 87-81

+5.5

VILL

L 77-87

+12.5

L-MD

W 92-78

+19.5

L 86-93

+31.5

W&M

L 79-83

−8.5

STBK

W 84-75

+8.5

BOIS

L 64-86

−0.5

NEV

L 75-78

+1.5

CAN

W 103-59

+18.5

DAV

W 89-83

+21.5

VCU

L 80-93

+7.5

JOES

L 90-97

+37.5

DAY

L 65-71

−16.5

FOR

W 74-63

−8.5

SLU

L 77-81

−7.5

LUC

W 71-59

−22.5

SBU

L 79-87

+15.5

URI

W 76-61

−9.5

GMU

W 71-65

−7.5

W 88-86

+15.5

SBU

W 78-73

−1.5

LAS

W 62-61

−22.5

DAY

L 66-78

−4.5

DAV

L 56-67

−19.5

SLU

L 76-91

+6.5

URI

L 52-64

−27.5

RICH

W 79-77

+8.5

URI

W 67-61

−10.5

VCU

L 66-71

−16.5

over 16under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Duquesne has the better starters

Position by position: Binghamton 0, Duquesne 3, even 2

BinghamtonBetterDuquesne

G J. Quigley14.6 pts · 4.9 reb · 6.3 ast Score 68

DUQSmall

G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93

G K. Robinson TR10.4 pts · 1.6 reb · 2.2 ast Score 40

DUQSmall

G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63

G J. Kelsey0 pts · 1 reb · 2 ast Not ranked

No call

G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6

F S. Snagg3.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.3 ast Score 4

DUQSmall

G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31

C D. Lilley14.5 pts · 9.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 51

Even

F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49

BinghamtonBetterDuquesne

BING offense274th of 366 · -8.3

DUQBig

DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8

BING defense273rd of 366 · -6.9

DUQBig

DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6

Backcourt-2.1 · 3 players

DUQSmall

Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players

Frontcourt-2.3 · 2 players

DUQSmall

Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player

Bench-2.8 · 5 players

DUQSmall

Bench-0.1 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestBING betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Binghamton

Guards

J. Quigley37 minK. Robinson26 min · TRJ. Kelsey21 minJ. Blackburn16 minB. Montgomery4 min · TRN. Ibroci3 min

Forwards

S. Snagg20 minD. Godfrey9 min · TRS. SenghoreNew

Centers

D. Lilley33 minJ. Karram4 min · TR

Duquesne

Guards

T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min

Forwards

Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew

Centers

E. Demir9 min · TR

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

BING66.8 #338

DUQ76.9 #118

Points per possession

BING1.00 #328

DUQ1.09 #164

Pace (possessions)

BING66.5 #294

DUQ70.4 #99

Shooting

Effective FG%

BING50.0 #235

DUQ52.3 #131

3-point %

BING32.5 #254

DUQ33.1 #223

3-point attempt rate

BING30.9 #340

DUQ44.4 #81

Free throw rate

BING41.5 #37

DUQ38.3 #94

Possessions

Turnover rate

BING18.7 #308

DUQ17.6 #243

Offensive rebound rate

BING20.9 #361

DUQ30.4 #184

Assists per game

BING11.1 #331

DUQ14.7 #107

Defense

Points allowed

BING76.6 #233

DUQ75.9 #214

Points allowed per possession

BING1.16 #333

DUQ1.08 #171

Opponent effective FG%

BING54.3 #309

DUQ52.5 #241

Opponent 3-point %

BING35.8 #294

DUQ36.2 #314

Turnovers forced

BING13.3 #349

DUQ18.4 #83

Defensive rebound rate

BING70.6 #128

DUQ70.4 #142

Steals per game

BING5.0 #333

DUQ7.6 #71

Blocks per game

BING2.8 #256

DUQ3.0 #214

BING		DUQ
Scoring
66.8 #338	Points per game	76.9 #118
1.00 #328	Points per possession	1.09 #164
66.5 #294	Pace (possessions)	70.4 #99
Shooting
50.0 #235	Effective FG%	52.3 #131
32.5 #254	3-point %	33.1 #223
30.9 #340	3-point attempt rate	44.4 #81
41.5 #37	Free throw rate	38.3 #94
Possessions
18.7 #308	Turnover rate	17.6 #243
20.9 #361	Offensive rebound rate	30.4 #184
11.1 #331	Assists per game	14.7 #107
Defense
76.6 #233	Points allowed	75.9 #214
1.16 #333	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #171
54.3 #309	Opponent effective FG%	52.5 #241
35.8 #294	Opponent 3-point %	36.2 #314
13.3 #349	Turnovers forced	18.4 #83
70.6 #128	Defensive rebound rate	70.4 #142
5.0 #333	Steals per game	7.6 #71
2.8 #256	Blocks per game	3.0 #214

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Binghamton

5-23 in 2025-26 overall · 4-12 in conference · America East Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Wvs Maine74–67
Wvs New Hampshire65–63
L@ UMass Lowell79–92
W@ Bryant79–67
Lvs UAlbany74–77

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs VCU66–71
Wvs Rhode Island67–61
Wvs Richmond79–77
L@ Rhode Island52–64
L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.

Binghamton Bearcats at Duquesne Dukes

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Binghamton

Duquesne

Duquesne has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Binghamton

Duquesne