Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Binghamton Bearcats: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 2, 7:00 PM ETEvents Center (Binghamton) · at Binghamton

#216LEHLehigh71final

Final

#272BINGBinghamton80▲ winner

Closing lineLEH -3.5✓ BING covered by 12.5

Closing total139.5Over by 11.5

Season records: Lehigh and Binghamton
LEH	This season	BING
2-6	Record	0-6
5-3	ATS	2-4
4-4	O/U	3-3

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: LEH 75–70 BING · ✗ LEH (65%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	OT	T
LEH	38	29	4	71
BING	38	29	13	80

1st half: LEH 38, BING 38 (tied). The model had LEH by 2.8 and a total of 67.8 (actual 76).

Team stats

LEH		BING
27-67 40%	Field goals	27-46 59%
9-31 29%	3-pointers	4-10 40%
8-12 67%	Free throws	22-33 67%
35 12 off	Rebounds	35 4 off
8	Assists	10
6	Steals	11
1	Blocks	2
11	Turnovers	14
24	Fouls	16
30	Points in paint	40
11	Fast-break points	21

Players

LEH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Joshua Ingram G	41	25	6	0	10-17	4-9
Nasir Whitlock G	35	21	5	5	8-18	3-10
Caleb Thomas G	34	9	1	1	4-9	1-3
Peter Kramer G	27	5	6	0	1-8	1-5
Hank Alvey C	22	5	4	1	1-4	0-0
Bench
Jake Pike F	17	0	4	0	0-2	0-1
Andrew Urosevic G	15	4	0	0	2-5	0-2
Tommy Conniff C	12	2	2	1	1-1	0-0
Jalen Vazquez G	11	0	2	0	0-2	0-1
Alfredo Addesa F	9	0	1	0	0-1	0-0
Henri Adiassa C	2	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Brendan Reed, Caesar Burrows, Bube Momah, Edouard Benoit

BING	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jeremiah Quigley G	45	22	5	4	7-10	1-1
Demetrius Lilley C	44	15	10	2	4-8	0-2
Zyier Beverly F	42	25	8	1	9-11	1-1
Jackson Benigni G	34	13	3	0	5-8	2-5
Bryson Wilson G	21	3	3	1	1-5	0-1
Bench
Wes Peterson Jr. G	39	2	4	2	1-4	0-0

Did not play: Jayden Lemond, Jake Blackburn, Ryan Richardson, Jayden Kelsey, Sayerr Senghore, Stephan Snagg, Nevin Ibroci, Evan Ashe

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	LEH -3.5	LEH -4.4	LEH +0.9	L BING covered
Total	139.5	144.8	Over 5.3	W Over
Projected score	—	LEH 74.6 · BING 70.2

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	LEH -2.8	PK
1H total	67.8	76
1H projected score	LEH 35.3 · BING 32.5	LEH 38 · BING 38

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LEH WLLWW	5-3	63%	2-2	1-0
BING LWWLL	2-4	33%	0-1	2-2

Venue/role: LEH away, as favorite; BING home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
LEH UOOUO	4-4	50%	2-6
BING UOOUO	3-3	50%	0-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LEHlast 8	2-6 25%	5-3 63%	4-4 50%
BINGlast 6	0-6 0%	2-4 33%	3-3 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Lehigh

8 games played

Straight up

2-6

25% wins

Against the spread

5-3

63% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-4

50% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

2-625%

L L L W L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

5-363%

W L W W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-450%

U U O U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@HOU	L 57-75	+36.5	W +18.5	136.5	U 132
Nov 9	@WVU	L 47-69	+17.5	L −4.5	139.5	U 116
Nov 14	@RUTG	L 72-84	+18.5	W +6.5	136.5	O 156
Nov 18	vsSFPA	W 79-62	-10.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 141
Nov 21	vsCOLU	L 67-82	+2.5	L −12.5	143.5	O 149
Nov 25	@MRST	L 55-78	+7.5	L −15.5	132.5	O 133
Nov 28	vsUCSB	L 70-72	+10.5	W +8.5	146.5	U 142
Nov 29	vsTXST	W 78-74	+6.5	W +10.5	135.5	O 152

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HOU

L 57-75

+18.5

WVU

L 47-69

−4.5

RUTG

L 72-84

+6.5

SFPA

W 79-62

+6.5

COLU

L 67-82

−12.5

MRST

L 55-78

−15.5

UCSB

L 70-72

+8.5

TXST

W 78-74

+10.5

covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HOU

L 57-75

−4.5

WVU

L 47-69

−23.5

RUTG

L 72-84

+19.5

SFPA

W 79-62

−10.5

COLU

L 67-82

+5.5

MRST

L 55-78

+0.5

UCSB

L 70-72

−4.5

TXST

W 78-74

+16.5

over 4under 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Binghamton

6 games played

Straight up

0-6

0% wins

Against the spread

2-4

33% covers · avg −4.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-3

50% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-60%

L L L L L L

6 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-433%

L L W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

3-350%

U U O O U O

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SYR	L 47-85	+21.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	vsNIA	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 12	@GTWN	L 70-83	+27.5	W +14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	@LONG	L 82-90	+15.5	W +7.5	147.5	O 172
Nov 22	vsUMES	L 52-63	-5.5	L −16.5	125.5	U 115
Nov 23	@CAN	L 66-75	+2.5	L −6.5	129.5	O 141

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−16.5

NIA

L 59-67

−10.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+14.5

LONG

L 82-90

+7.5

UMES

L 52-63

−16.5

CAN

L 66-75

−6.5

covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−21.5

NIA

L 59-67

−12.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+11.5

LONG

L 82-90

+24.5

UMES

L 52-63

−10.5

CAN

L 66-75

+11.5

over 3under 3avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Binghamton Bearcats

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Lehigh

Binghamton

Lehigh

Binghamton