West Georgia Wolves at Charleston Southern Buccaneers: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 14, 7:00 PM ETBuccaneer Fieldhouse · at Charleston So

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: West Georgia and Charleston So
WGA	This season	CHSO
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CHSO 78–75 · win probability CHSO 62%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 153.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CHSO has more of the edges

WGA 3, CHSO 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

CHSOBig

Shooting

Effective FG%: WGA 49.6 and allows 53.4; CHSO 54.1 and allows 47.0

WGABig

Turnovers

Turnover rate: WGA 15.9%, CHSO 18.6%. Forced: WGA 14.7%, CHSO 12.8%

CHSOSmall

Three-pointers

WGA hits 33.1% and allows 33.1%; CHSO hits 35.6% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 33.0% and 49.5% of their shots

WGASmall

WGA offense vs CHSO defense

Offense 278th of 366 against a defense 358th, on the model’s ratings

WGASmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: WGA 31.5%, CHSO 29.4%. Defensive: WGA 71.0%, CHSO 69.7%

CHSOSmall

Home court

CHSO at home. This season: CHSO 0-0 at home, WGA 0-0 away

CHSOSmall

CHSO offense vs WGA defense

Offense 268th of 366 against a defense 312th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: WGA 29.2, CHSO 30.5. Allowed: WGA 36.9, CHSO 43.3

Context

Tempo

About 73 possessions: WGA plays 71.0 a game (75th fastest), CHSO 75.1 (5th). Faster games mean more points

Context

Schedule so far

WGA has played the 270th-hardest schedule, CHSO the 297th. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: WGA 31%, CHSO 22%. Transfers in: WGA 5, CHSO 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	CHSO -3.4	—
Total	—	153.3	—
Projected score	—	WGA 74.9 · CHSO 78.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	CHSO -1.9	—
1H total	71.6	—
1H projected score	WGA 34.9 · CHSO 36.8	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WGA WWWWW	20-10	67%	9-6	—
CHSO LLWWW	14-15	48%	6-5	—

Venue/role: WGA away; CHSO home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
WGA OOUOU	16-14	53%	13-17
CHSO UOOOO	19-10	66%	12-17

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WGA	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	6-4 60%
CHSO	4-6 40%	4-6 40%	7-3 70%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

West Georgia

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 24	@ TNTC	L59–87LU
Nov 29	@ UPST	W72–64WU
Dec 1	vs USI	No recent meeting

Charleston So

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 18	vs WOF	No recent meeting
Nov 21	@ MER	No recent meeting
Nov 24	@ JMU	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

West Georgia

30 games played

Straight up

13-17

43% wins

Against the spread

20-10

67% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1743%

L L W W W L W L L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W L L L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

20-1067%

L W W W W W W L L W W W W L L L L W L W L W W L W W W W W W

6 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O O O O U U O O U U U O U O O U O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@NEB	L 53-86	+24.5	L −8.5	153.5	U 139
Nov 10	@UCLA	L 62-83	+30.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 145
Nov 14	vsCIT	W 100-92	-6.5	W +1.5	150.5	O 192
Nov 17	@TNTC	W 61-59	+4.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 21	vsUPST	W 72-64	-2.5	W +5.5	153.5	U 136
Nov 23	@GT	L 66-82	+18.5	W +2.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 1	@TROY	W 93-89	+17.5	W +21.5	150.5	O 182
Dec 6	vsTNTC	L 59-87	-1.5	L −29.5	150.5	U 146
Dec 13	vsGASO	L 85-91	+3.5	L −2.5	154.5	O 176
Dec 22	@UGA	L 74-103	+36.5	W +7.5	173.5	O 177
Jan 1	vsBELL	W 87-85	+1.5	W +3.5	151.5	O 172
Jan 3	vsEKU	W 88-76	+1.5	W +13.5	156.5	O 164
Jan 8	@UNF	W 85-73	-2.5	W +9.5	164.5	U 158
Jan 10	@JAX	L 43-75	+1.5	L −30.5	141.5	U 118
Jan 15	@STET	L 86-95	-1.5	L −10.5	151.5	O 181
Jan 17	@FGCU	L 72-90	+9.5	L −8.5	152.5	O 162
Jan 22	vsCARK	L 65-86	+3.5	L −17.5	154.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsQUC	W 74-66	+7.5	W +15.5	162.5	U 140
Jan 28	@BELL	L 74-77	+2.5	L −0.5	151.5	U 151
Jan 31	vsAPSU	L 78-81	+7.5	W +4.5	150.5	O 159
Feb 5	vsUNF	L 73-81	-5.5	L −13.5	166.5	U 154
Feb 7	vsJAX	W 87-73	+1.5	W +15.5	138.5	O 160
Feb 11	@UNA	W 82-73	+1.5	W +10.5	145.5	O 155
Feb 14	@CARK	L 62-79	+10.5	L −6.5	150.5	U 141
Feb 18	@EKU	L 80-81	+7.5	W +6.5	154.5	O 161
Feb 21	@QUC	L 84-91	+11.5	W +4.5	161.5	O 175
Feb 25	vsLIP	W 84-78	+5.5	W +11.5	153.5	O 162
Feb 28	vsUNA	W 75-63	-4.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 138
Mar 4	vsUNF	W 93-85	-3.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 178
Mar 6	vsQUC	L 63-71	+8.5	W +0.5	164.5	U 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−8.5

UCLA

L 62-83

+9.5

CIT

W 100-92

+1.5

TNTC

W 61-59

+6.5

UPST

W 72-64

+5.5

L 66-82

+2.5

TROY

W 93-89

+21.5

TNTC

L 59-87

−29.5

GASO

L 85-91

−2.5

UGA

L 74-103

+7.5

BELL

W 87-85

+3.5

EKU

W 88-76

+13.5

UNF

W 85-73

+9.5

JAX

L 43-75

−30.5

STET

L 86-95

−10.5

FGCU

L 72-90

−8.5

CARK

L 65-86

−17.5

QUC

W 74-66

+15.5

BELL

L 74-77

−0.5

APSU

L 78-81

+4.5

UNF

L 73-81

−13.5

JAX

W 87-73

+15.5

UNA

W 82-73

+10.5

CARK

L 62-79

−6.5

EKU

L 80-81

+6.5

QUC

L 84-91

+4.5

LIP

W 84-78

+11.5

UNA

W 75-63

+7.5

UNF

W 93-85

+4.5

QUC

L 63-71

+0.5

covered 20didn’t cover 10avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−14.5

UCLA

L 62-83

−1.5

CIT

W 100-92

+41.5

TNTC

W 61-59

−32.5

UPST

W 72-64

−17.5

L 66-82

+3.5

TROY

W 93-89

+31.5

TNTC

L 59-87

−4.5

GASO

L 85-91

+21.5

UGA

L 74-103

+3.5

BELL

W 87-85

+20.5

EKU

W 88-76

+7.5

UNF

W 85-73

−6.5

JAX

L 43-75

−23.5

STET

L 86-95

+29.5

FGCU

L 72-90

+9.5

CARK

L 65-86

−3.5

QUC

W 74-66

−22.5

BELL

L 74-77

−0.5

APSU

L 78-81

+8.5

UNF

L 73-81

−12.5

JAX

W 87-73

+21.5

UNA

W 82-73

+9.5

CARK

L 62-79

−9.5

EKU

L 80-81

+6.5

QUC

L 84-91

+13.5

LIP

W 84-78

+8.5

UNA

W 75-63

−8.5

UNF

W 93-85

+17.5

QUC

L 63-71

−30.5

over 16under 14avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Charleston So

29 games played

Straight up

12-17

41% wins

Against the spread

14-15

48% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-10

66% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

12-1741%

L W L L W W L L W W L W W W L L L L L L L L W L W L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

14-1548%

L W L L W W W L W W W W L L W W L L L L L L W L L L W W W

3 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

19-1066%

O O U O O U U U U O O U O O U O O O O U U O O O U O O O O

4 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@VT	L 67-98	+18.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 165
Nov 10	@CIT	W 96-86	-2.5	W +7.5	145.5	O 182
Nov 13	@AAMU	L 64-68	+1.5	L −2.5	152.5	U 132
Nov 14	vsLIN	L 77-83	+2.5	L −3.5	155.5	O 160
Nov 18	vsIUIN	W 103-91	+1.5	W +13.5	188.5	O 194
Nov 21	@ECU	W 77-65	+13.5	W +25.5	157.5	U 142
Nov 28	@SC	L 62-74	+17.5	W +5.5	150.5	U 136
Dec 2	@UTM	L 56-73	+3.5	L −13.5	147.5	U 129
Dec 8	vsSCST	W 84-44	-12.5	W +27.5	156.5	U 128
Dec 18	vsUNF	W 113-90	-10.5	W +12.5	163.5	O 203
Dec 21	@FUR	L 76-84	+10.5	W +2.5	155.5	O 160
Dec 28	@RICH	W 77-72	+11.5	W +16.5	159.5	U 149
Dec 31	@GWEB	W 89-79	-12.5	L −2.5	163.5	O 168
Jan 3	vsUNCA	W 86-83	-4.5	L −1.5	151.5	O 169
Jan 7	@WIN	L 77-81	+8.5	W +4.5	166.5	U 158
Jan 10	vsHPU	L 82-84	+8.5	W +6.5	163.5	O 166
Jan 14	vsUPST	L 81-86	-6.5	L −11.5	155.5	O 167
Jan 21	@PRES	L 83-87	-1.5	L −5.5	147.5	O 170
Jan 23	@LONG	L 79-81	+1.5	L −0.5	156.5	O 160
Jan 29	vsRAD	L 75-84	+1.5	L −7.5	162.5	U 159
Feb 4	@HPU	L 55-80	+14.5	L −10.5	162.5	U 135
Feb 7	@UPST	L 94-100	-1.5	L −7.5	150.5	O 194
Feb 12	vsPRES	W 84-67	-1.5	W +15.5	146.5	O 151
Feb 14	@RAD	L 80-90	+4.5	L −5.5	161.5	O 170
Feb 17	vsGWEB	W 75-66	-16.5	L −7.5	161.5	U 141
Feb 21	vsLONG	L 96-107	-2.5	L −13.5	154.5	O 203
Feb 26	vsWIN	W 86-84	+8.5	W +10.5	164.5	O 170
Feb 28	@UNCA	W 92-75	+4.5	W +21.5	148.5	O 167
Mar 6	vsWIN	L 81-86	+6.5	W +1.5	164.5	O 167

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 67-98

−12.5

CIT

W 96-86

+7.5

AAMU

L 64-68

−2.5

LIN

L 77-83

−3.5

IUIN

W 103-91

+13.5

ECU

W 77-65

+25.5

L 62-74

+5.5

UTM

L 56-73

−13.5

SCST

W 84-44

+27.5

UNF

W 113-90

+12.5

FUR

L 76-84

+2.5

RICH

W 77-72

+16.5

GWEB

W 89-79

−2.5

UNCA

W 86-83

−1.5

WIN

L 77-81

+4.5

HPU

L 82-84

+6.5

UPST

L 81-86

−11.5

PRES

L 83-87

−5.5

LONG

L 79-81

−0.5

RAD

L 75-84

−7.5

HPU

L 55-80

−10.5

UPST

L 94-100

−7.5

PRES

W 84-67

+15.5

RAD

L 80-90

−5.5

GWEB

W 75-66

−7.5

LONG

L 96-107

−13.5

WIN

W 86-84

+10.5

UNCA

W 92-75

+21.5

WIN

L 81-86

+1.5

covered 14didn’t cover 15avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 67-98

+18.5

CIT

W 96-86

+36.5

AAMU

L 64-68

−20.5

LIN

L 77-83

+4.5

IUIN

W 103-91

+5.5

ECU

W 77-65

−15.5

L 62-74

−14.5

UTM

L 56-73

−18.5

SCST

W 84-44

−28.5

UNF

W 113-90

+39.5

FUR

L 76-84

+4.5

RICH

W 77-72

−10.5

GWEB

W 89-79

+4.5

UNCA

W 86-83

+17.5

WIN

L 77-81

−8.5

HPU

L 82-84

+2.5

UPST

L 81-86

+11.5

PRES

L 83-87

+22.5

LONG

L 79-81

+3.5

RAD

L 75-84

−3.5

HPU

L 55-80

−27.5

UPST

L 94-100

+43.5

PRES

W 84-67

+4.5

RAD

L 80-90

+8.5

GWEB

W 75-66

−20.5

LONG

L 96-107

+48.5

WIN

W 86-84

+5.5

UNCA

W 92-75

+18.5

WIN

L 81-86

+2.5

over 19under 10avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

West Georgia has the better starters

Position by position: West Georgia 1, Charleston So 0, even 4

West GeorgiaBetterCharleston So

G C. Lewless12.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 37

WGABig

G J. Taylor4.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 2

G L. Hutchinson TR3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 6

No call

G N. Errica TR1.3 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

G J. Redmond TR6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 26

Even

F L. Olalere4.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 26

F K. Chime5 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34

No call

F D. Brafford1.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked

F D. Simon TR2.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked

No call

F M. Majok TR2.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked

West GeorgiaBetterCharleston So

WGA offense278th of 366 · -8.5

WGASmall

CHSO defense358th of 366 · -10.2

WGA defense312th of 366 · -8.1

Even

CHSO offense268th of 366 · -8.1

Backcourt-5.1 · 3 players

CHSOSmall

Backcourt-3.6 · 2 players

Frontcourt-1.2 · 2 players

Even

Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players

Bench-2.1 · 5 players

CHSOSmall

Bench+0.0 · 1 player

Score, worst to bestWGA betterCHSO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

West Georgia

Guards

C. Lewless29 minL. Hutchinson17 min · TRJ. Redmond17 min · TRC. Merritt4 minA. Williams2 min · TRM. Young1 min

Forwards

K. Chime20 minD. Simon10 min · TRX. Shegog8 minM. Destremau7 min · TRM. SmithNewA. SempereNew

Charleston So

Guards

J. Taylor21 minN. Errica4 min · TRJ. McLambNewJ. CrawfordNewA. RuffoloNewR. BrooksNew

Forwards

L. Olalere16 minD. Brafford7 minM. Majok5 min · TRT. Deng1 min · TRM. LeslieNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

WGA75.3 #156

CHSO80.9 #44

Points per possession

WGA1.06 #224

CHSO1.08 #188

Pace (possessions)

WGA71.0 #75

CHSO75.1 #5

Shooting

Effective FG%

WGA49.6 #261

CHSO54.1 #66

3-point %

WGA33.1 #222

CHSO35.6 #78

3-point attempt rate

WGA33.0 #316

CHSO49.5 #16

Free throw rate

WGA29.2 #329

CHSO30.5 #296

Possessions

Turnover rate

WGA15.9 #130

CHSO18.6 #302

Offensive rebound rate

WGA31.5 #142

CHSO29.4 #223

Assists per game

WGA12.3 #265

CHSO15.7 #57

Defense

Points allowed

WGA80.5 #326

CHSO81.0 #332

Points allowed per possession

WGA1.13 #297

CHSO1.08 #150

Opponent effective FG%

WGA53.4 #281

CHSO47.0 #21

Opponent 3-point %

WGA33.1 #129

CHSO31.9 #58

Turnovers forced

WGA14.7 #312

CHSO12.8 #362

Defensive rebound rate

WGA71.0 #102

CHSO69.7 #174

Steals per game

WGA6.4 #191

CHSO4.9 #339

Blocks per game

WGA4.7 #25

CHSO4.9 #21

WGA		CHSO
Scoring
75.3 #156	Points per game	80.9 #44
1.06 #224	Points per possession	1.08 #188
71.0 #75	Pace (possessions)	75.1 #5
Shooting
49.6 #261	Effective FG%	54.1 #66
33.1 #222	3-point %	35.6 #78
33.0 #316	3-point attempt rate	49.5 #16
29.2 #329	Free throw rate	30.5 #296
Possessions
15.9 #130	Turnover rate	18.6 #302
31.5 #142	Offensive rebound rate	29.4 #223
12.3 #265	Assists per game	15.7 #57
Defense
80.5 #326	Points allowed	81.0 #332
1.13 #297	Points allowed per possession	1.08 #150
53.4 #281	Opponent effective FG%	47.0 #21
33.1 #129	Opponent 3-point %	31.9 #58
14.7 #312	Turnovers forced	12.8 #362
71.0 #102	Defensive rebound rate	69.7 #174
6.4 #191	Steals per game	4.9 #339
4.7 #25	Blocks per game	4.9 #21

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

West Georgia

13-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Queens University Royals63–71
Wvs North Florida93–85
Wvs North Alabama75–63
Wvs Lipscomb84–78
L@ Queens University Royals84–91

A week or more of rest.

Charleston So

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-11 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Winthrop81–86
W@ UNC Asheville92–75
Wvs Winthrop86–84
Lvs Longwood96–107
Wvs Gardner-Webb75–66

A week or more of rest.

West Georgia Wolves at Charleston Southern Buccaneers

What could decide it: CHSO has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

West Georgia

Charleston So

West Georgia has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

West Georgia

Charleston So