West Georgia Wolves at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Nov 24, 12:00 AM ETHooper Eblen Center · at Tennessee Tech

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: West Georgia and Tennessee Tech
WGA	This season	TNTC
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TNTC 77–71 · win probability TNTC 69%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 148.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WGA has more of the edges

WGA 3, TNTC 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

TNTCBig

Free throws

Free throw rate: WGA 29.2, TNTC 35.5. Allowed: WGA 36.9, TNTC 31.3

WGABig

Three-pointers

WGA hits 33.1% and allows 33.1%; TNTC hits 31.1% and allows 35.8%. Threes are 33.0% and 36.5% of their shots

WGASmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: WGA 15.9%, TNTC 19.1%. Forced: WGA 14.7%, TNTC 15.0%

Context

Schedule so far

WGA has played the 271st-hardest schedule, TNTC the 353rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: WGA plays 71.0 a game (75th fastest), TNTC 68.3 (214th). Faster games mean more points

TNTCSmall

Home court

TNTC at home. This season: TNTC 0-0 at home, WGA 0-0 away

WGASmall

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: WGA 31.5%, TNTC 31.3%. Defensive: WGA 71.0%, TNTC 69.3%

Even

TNTC offense vs WGA defense

Offense 276th of 366 against a defense 312th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: WGA 49.6 and allows 53.4; TNTC 48.9 and allows 51.5

Even

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: WGA 31%, TNTC 18%. Transfers in: WGA 5, TNTC 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

WGA offense vs TNTC defense

Offense 278th of 366 against a defense 288th, on the model’s ratings

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	TNTC -5.6	—
Total	—	148.3	—
Projected score	—	WGA 71.4 · TNTC 76.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	TNTC -3.2	—
1H total	69.4	—
1H projected score	WGA 33.1 · TNTC 36.3	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WGA WWWWW	20-10	67%	9-6	—
TNTC WWWLL	14-14	50%	5-6	—

Venue/role: WGA away; TNTC home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
WGA OOUOU	16-14	53%	13-17
TNTC OUUUO	14-14	50%	10-18

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WGA	5-5 50%	8-2 80%	6-4 60%
TNTC	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

West Georgia

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 29	@ UPST	W72–64WU
Dec 1	vs USI	No recent meeting
Dec 12	@ VAN	No recent meeting

Tennessee Tech

Date	Game	Last meeting
Nov 28	@ EKU	No recent meeting
Dec 1	@ MTSU	No recent meeting
Dec 5	vs SAM	No recent meeting

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

WGA 2–2 TNTCSeries tied · 4 games since 2021-22 · WGA 3-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 6, 2025-26	TNTC 87 @ WGA 59	WGA -1.5	TNTC W
Nov 17, 2025-26	WGA 61 @ TNTC 59	TNTC -4.5	WGA W
Dec 7, 2024-25	TNTC 73 @ WGA 78	WGA +2.5	WGA W
Nov 12, 2024-25	WGA 73 @ TNTC 76	TNTC -6.5	WGA W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

West Georgia

30 games played

Straight up

13-17

43% wins

Against the spread

20-10

67% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-14

53% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

13-1743%

L L W W W L W L L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W L L L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

20-1067%

L W W W W W W L L W W W W L L L L W L W L W W L W W W W W W

6 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1453%

U U O U U O O U O O O O U U O O U U U O U O O U O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@NEB	L 53-86	+24.5	L −8.5	153.5	U 139
Nov 10	@UCLA	L 62-83	+30.5	W +9.5	146.5	U 145
Nov 14	vsCIT	W 100-92	-6.5	W +1.5	150.5	O 192
Nov 17	@TNTC	W 61-59	+4.5	W +6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 21	vsUPST	W 72-64	-2.5	W +5.5	153.5	U 136
Nov 23	@GT	L 66-82	+18.5	W +2.5	144.5	O 148
Dec 1	@TROY	W 93-89	+17.5	W +21.5	150.5	O 182
Dec 6	vsTNTC	L 59-87	-1.5	L −29.5	150.5	U 146
Dec 13	vsGASO	L 85-91	+3.5	L −2.5	154.5	O 176
Dec 22	@UGA	L 74-103	+36.5	W +7.5	173.5	O 177
Jan 1	vsBELL	W 87-85	+1.5	W +3.5	151.5	O 172
Jan 3	vsEKU	W 88-76	+1.5	W +13.5	156.5	O 164
Jan 8	@UNF	W 85-73	-2.5	W +9.5	164.5	U 158
Jan 10	@JAX	L 43-75	+1.5	L −30.5	141.5	U 118
Jan 15	@STET	L 86-95	-1.5	L −10.5	151.5	O 181
Jan 17	@FGCU	L 72-90	+9.5	L −8.5	152.5	O 162
Jan 22	vsCARK	L 65-86	+3.5	L −17.5	154.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsQUC	W 74-66	+7.5	W +15.5	162.5	U 140
Jan 28	@BELL	L 74-77	+2.5	L −0.5	151.5	U 151
Jan 31	vsAPSU	L 78-81	+7.5	W +4.5	150.5	O 159
Feb 5	vsUNF	L 73-81	-5.5	L −13.5	166.5	U 154
Feb 7	vsJAX	W 87-73	+1.5	W +15.5	138.5	O 160
Feb 11	@UNA	W 82-73	+1.5	W +10.5	145.5	O 155
Feb 14	@CARK	L 62-79	+10.5	L −6.5	150.5	U 141
Feb 18	@EKU	L 80-81	+7.5	W +6.5	154.5	O 161
Feb 21	@QUC	L 84-91	+11.5	W +4.5	161.5	O 175
Feb 25	vsLIP	W 84-78	+5.5	W +11.5	153.5	O 162
Feb 28	vsUNA	W 75-63	-4.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 138
Mar 4	vsUNF	W 93-85	-3.5	W +4.5	160.5	O 178
Mar 6	vsQUC	L 63-71	+8.5	W +0.5	164.5	U 134

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−8.5

UCLA

L 62-83

+9.5

CIT

W 100-92

+1.5

TNTC

W 61-59

+6.5

UPST

W 72-64

+5.5

L 66-82

+2.5

TROY

W 93-89

+21.5

TNTC

L 59-87

−29.5

GASO

L 85-91

−2.5

UGA

L 74-103

+7.5

BELL

W 87-85

+3.5

EKU

W 88-76

+13.5

UNF

W 85-73

+9.5

JAX

L 43-75

−30.5

STET

L 86-95

−10.5

FGCU

L 72-90

−8.5

CARK

L 65-86

−17.5

QUC

W 74-66

+15.5

BELL

L 74-77

−0.5

APSU

L 78-81

+4.5

UNF

L 73-81

−13.5

JAX

W 87-73

+15.5

UNA

W 82-73

+10.5

CARK

L 62-79

−6.5

EKU

L 80-81

+6.5

QUC

L 84-91

+4.5

LIP

W 84-78

+11.5

UNA

W 75-63

+7.5

UNF

W 93-85

+4.5

QUC

L 63-71

+0.5

covered 20didn’t cover 10avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NEB

L 53-86

−14.5

UCLA

L 62-83

−1.5

CIT

W 100-92

+41.5

TNTC

W 61-59

−32.5

UPST

W 72-64

−17.5

L 66-82

+3.5

TROY

W 93-89

+31.5

TNTC

L 59-87

−4.5

GASO

L 85-91

+21.5

UGA

L 74-103

+3.5

BELL

W 87-85

+20.5

EKU

W 88-76

+7.5

UNF

W 85-73

−6.5

JAX

L 43-75

−23.5

STET

L 86-95

+29.5

FGCU

L 72-90

+9.5

CARK

L 65-86

−3.5

QUC

W 74-66

−22.5

BELL

L 74-77

−0.5

APSU

L 78-81

+8.5

UNF

L 73-81

−12.5

JAX

W 87-73

+21.5

UNA

W 82-73

+9.5

CARK

L 62-79

−9.5

EKU

L 80-81

+6.5

QUC

L 84-91

+13.5

LIP

W 84-78

+8.5

UNA

W 75-63

−8.5

UNF

W 93-85

+17.5

QUC

L 63-71

−30.5

over 16under 14avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Tennessee Tech

28 games played

Straight up

10-18

36% wins

Against the spread

14-14

50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

14-14

50% overs · avg −0.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

10-1836%

L L L W L L L W W L L L L W L L L L W W W L L W W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

14-1450%

W W L W L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W W W L L W W W L L

2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

14-1450%

U U U O O O O U O O O U U U U O O U O O O U U O U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@WKU	L 70-82	+14.5	W +2.5	153.5	U 152
Nov 7	@CLT	L 65-70	+12.5	W +7.5	146.5	U 135
Nov 17	vsWGA	L 59-61	-4.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 120
Nov 19	@UPST	W 88-84	+2.5	W +6.5	150.5	O 172
Nov 26	@UK	L 54-104	+37.5	L −12.5	157.5	O 158
Nov 29	@UGA	L 81-123	+34.5	L −7.5	160.5	O 204
Dec 3	@LIP	L 80-83	+10.5	W +7.5	152.5	O 163
Dec 6	@WGA	W 87-59	+1.5	W +29.5	150.5	U 146
Dec 18	vsSEMO	W 85-74	+2.5	W +13.5	155.5	O 159
Dec 20	vsUTM	L 62-86	+2.5	L −21.5	145.5	O 148
Dec 30	vsTNST	L 76-88	+1.5	L −10.5	155.5	O 164
Jan 1	@LR	L 58-77	+1.5	L −17.5	144.5	U 135
Jan 8	@EIU	L 61-71	-1.5	L −11.5	140.5	U 132
Jan 10	@WIU	W 59-54	-3.5	W +1.5	143.5	U 113
Jan 15	vsUSI	L 54-71	-5.5	L −22.5	142.5	U 125
Jan 17	vsMORE	L 70-76	-1.5	L −7.5	141.5	O 146
Jan 22	@LIN	L 68-89	+8.5	L −12.5	151.5	O 157
Jan 24	@SIUE	L 58-62	+7.5	W +3.5	135.5	U 120
Jan 31	vsLR	W 87-77	+1.5	W +11.5	141.5	O 164
Feb 2	@TNST	W 90-85	+7.5	W +12.5	153.5	O 175
Feb 5	vsWIU	W 97-72	-9.5	W +15.5	143.5	O 169
Feb 7	vsEIU	L 54-60	-4.5	L −10.5	140.5	U 114
Feb 12	@MORE	L 66-73	+4.5	L −2.5	143.5	U 139
Feb 14	@USI	W 82-74	-1.5	W +6.5	140.5	O 156
Feb 19	vsSIUE	W 62-52	+1.5	W +11.5	134.5	U 114
Feb 21	vsLIN	W 72-57	+1.5	W +16.5	151.5	U 129
Feb 26	@UTM	L 49-64	+7.5	L −7.5	134.5	U 113
Feb 28	@SEMO	L 73-89	+7.5	L −8.5	141.5	O 162

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

+2.5

CLT

L 65-70

+7.5

WGA

L 59-61

−6.5

UPST

W 88-84

+6.5

L 54-104

−12.5

UGA

L 81-123

−7.5

LIP

L 80-83

+7.5

WGA

W 87-59

+29.5

SEMO

W 85-74

+13.5

UTM

L 62-86

−21.5

TNST

L 76-88

−10.5

L 58-77

−17.5

EIU

L 61-71

−11.5

WIU

W 59-54

+1.5

USI

L 54-71

−22.5

L 70-76

−7.5

LIN

L 68-89

−12.5

SIUE

L 58-62

+3.5

W 87-77

+11.5

TNST

W 90-85

+12.5

WIU

W 97-72

+15.5

EIU

L 54-60

−10.5

L 66-73

−2.5

USI

W 82-74

+6.5

SIUE

W 62-52

+11.5

LIN

W 72-57

+16.5

UTM

L 49-64

−7.5

SEMO

L 73-89

−8.5

covered 14didn’t cover 14avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WKU

L 70-82

−1.5

CLT

L 65-70

−11.5

WGA

L 59-61

−32.5

UPST

W 88-84

+21.5

L 54-104

+0.5

UGA

L 81-123

+43.5

LIP

L 80-83

+10.5

WGA

W 87-59

−4.5

SEMO

W 85-74

+3.5

UTM

L 62-86

+2.5

TNST

L 76-88

+8.5

L 58-77

−9.5

EIU

L 61-71

−8.5

WIU

W 59-54

−30.5

USI

L 54-71

−17.5

L 70-76

+4.5

LIN

L 68-89

+5.5

SIUE

L 58-62

−15.5

W 87-77

+22.5

TNST

W 90-85

+21.5

WIU

W 97-72

+25.5

EIU

L 54-60

−26.5

L 66-73

−4.5

USI

W 82-74

+15.5

SIUE

W 62-52

−20.5

LIN

W 72-57

−22.5

UTM

L 49-64

−21.5

SEMO

L 73-89

+20.5

over 14under 14avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Tennessee Tech has the better starters

Position by position: West Georgia 0, Tennessee Tech 3, even 2

West GeorgiaBetterTennessee Tech

G C. Lewless12.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.6 ast Score 37

TNTCSmall

G T. Mosquera TR13.8 pts · 5.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 55

G L. Hutchinson TR3.9 pts · 1.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 6

Even

G T. Owens7.4 pts · 2.8 reb · 3.5 ast Score 17

G J. Redmond TR6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.1 ast Score 26

TNTCBig

G D. Hackett TR13.9 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.4 ast Score 78

F K. Chime5 pts · 5.8 reb · 0.4 ast Score 34

TNTCSmall

G C. Newton TR10.5 pts · 2 reb · 1.2 ast Score 55

F D. Simon TR2.9 pts · 2 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked

No call

G C. Hollenbeck TR5 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6

West GeorgiaBetterTennessee Tech

WGA offense278th of 366 · -8.5

Even

TNTC defense288th of 366 · -7.2

WGA defense312th of 366 · -8.1

Even

TNTC offense276th of 366 · -8.4

Backcourt-5.1 · 3 players

Even

Backcourt-4.8 · 5 players

Frontcourt-1.2 · 2 players

No call

FrontcourtNo numbers yet

Bench-2.1 · 5 players

Even

Bench-1.4 · 3 players

Score, worst to bestWGA betterTNTC betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

West Georgia

Guards

C. Lewless29 minL. Hutchinson17 min · TRJ. Redmond17 min · TRC. Merritt4 minA. Williams2 min · TRM. Young1 min

Forwards

K. Chime20 minD. Simon10 min · TRX. Shegog8 minM. Destremau7 min · TRM. SmithNewA. SempereNew

Tennessee Tech

Guards

T. Mosquera32 min · TRT. Owens28 minD. Hackett28 min · TRC. Newton26 min · TRC. Hollenbeck17 min · TRC. GonzalesNew

Forwards

D. Christensen13 min · TRM. Turner8 minC. Sanders8 min · TRD. GreenNewS. ArnoldNewK. FoxNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

WGA75.3 #156

TNTC70.3 #280

Points per possession

WGA1.06 #224

TNTC1.03 #287

Pace (possessions)

WGA71.0 #75

TNTC68.3 #214

Shooting

Effective FG%

WGA49.6 #261

TNTC48.9 #293

3-point %

WGA33.1 #222

TNTC31.1 #316

3-point attempt rate

WGA33.0 #316

TNTC36.5 #238

Free throw rate

WGA29.2 #329

TNTC35.5 #164

Possessions

Turnover rate

WGA15.9 #130

TNTC19.1 #325

Offensive rebound rate

WGA31.5 #142

TNTC31.3 #151

Assists per game

WGA12.3 #265

TNTC11.0 #337

Defense

Points allowed

WGA80.5 #326

TNTC75.6 #207

Points allowed per possession

WGA1.13 #297

TNTC1.11 #231

Opponent effective FG%

WGA53.4 #281

TNTC51.5 #186

Opponent 3-point %

WGA33.1 #129

TNTC35.8 #295

Turnovers forced

WGA14.7 #312

TNTC15.0 #285

Defensive rebound rate

WGA71.0 #102

TNTC69.3 #192

Steals per game

WGA6.4 #191

TNTC5.4 #312

Blocks per game

WGA4.7 #25

TNTC2.7 #275

WGA		TNTC
Scoring
75.3 #156	Points per game	70.3 #280
1.06 #224	Points per possession	1.03 #287
71.0 #75	Pace (possessions)	68.3 #214
Shooting
49.6 #261	Effective FG%	48.9 #293
33.1 #222	3-point %	31.1 #316
33.0 #316	3-point attempt rate	36.5 #238
29.2 #329	Free throw rate	35.5 #164
Possessions
15.9 #130	Turnover rate	19.1 #325
31.5 #142	Offensive rebound rate	31.3 #151
12.3 #265	Assists per game	11.0 #337
Defense
80.5 #326	Points allowed	75.6 #207
1.13 #297	Points allowed per possession	1.11 #231
53.4 #281	Opponent effective FG%	51.5 #186
33.1 #129	Opponent 3-point %	35.8 #295
14.7 #312	Turnovers forced	15.0 #285
71.0 #102	Defensive rebound rate	69.3 #192
6.4 #191	Steals per game	5.4 #312
4.7 #25	Blocks per game	2.7 #275

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

West Georgia

13-17 in 2025-26 overall · 9-11 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Queens University Royals63–71
Wvs North Florida93–85
Wvs North Alabama75–63
Wvs Lipscomb84–78
L@ Queens University Royals84–91

A week or more of rest.

Tennessee Tech

10-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26

L@ SE Missouri73–89
L@ UT Martin49–64
Wvs Lindenwood Lions72–57
Wvs SIUE62–52
W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles82–74

A week or more of rest.

West Georgia Wolves at Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

What could decide it: WGA has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

West Georgia

Tennessee Tech

Tennessee Tech has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

West Georgia

Tennessee Tech