1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 14
  3. APSU @ WICH
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 14

Austin Peay Governors at Wichita State Shockers

Charles Koch Arena · at Wichita St
#210APSUAustin Peay
@
#77WICHWichita St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
APSUThis seasonWICH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WICH 84–68 · win probability WICH 92%
Pick this game
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Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 151.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WICH has more of the edges

APSU 1, WICH 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Schedule so far
APSU has played the 318th-hardest schedule, WICH the 106th. A record against a soft schedule means less
WICHBig
WICH offense vs APSU defense
Offense 78th of 366 against a defense 240th, on the model’s ratings
WICHSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: APSU 29.7%, WICH 38.0%. Defensive: APSU 71.1%, WICH 71.2%
WICHSmall
APSU offense vs WICH defense
Offense 174th of 366 against a defense 82nd, on the model’s ratings
APSUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: APSU 15.4%, WICH 15.0%. Forced: APSU 17.9%, WICH 15.7%
WICHSmall
Home court
WICH at home. This season: WICH 0-0 at home, APSU 0-0 away
WICHSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: APSU 30%, WICH 55%. Transfers in: APSU 2, WICH 4. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: APSU 37.6, WICH 36.0. Allowed: APSU 32.8, WICH 34.3
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: APSU plays 70.1 a game (114th fastest), WICH 69.3 (164th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: APSU 53.0 and allows 52.2; WICH 49.4 and allows 47.2
Even
Three-pointers
APSU hits 35.3% and allows 33.2%; WICH hits 33.5% and allows 31.5%. Threes are 38.0% and 33.9% of their shots
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—WICH -15.9—
Total—151.1—
Projected score—APSU 67.6 · WICH 83.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadWICH -9.3—
1H total70.7—
1H projected scoreAPSU 30.7 · WICH 40—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Wichita St has the better starters

Position by position: Austin Peay 0, Wichita St 1, even 4
Austin PeayBetterWichita St
G Z. Collins13.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.2 ast Score 60
Even
G J. Long TR11.8 pts · 3.3 reb · 4 ast Score 72
G C. Love TR7.2 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 44
WICHBig
G J. Frison TR16.5 pts · 3.4 reb · 4.1 ast Score 93
G S. Hugie TR4.4 pts · 2.4 reb · 0.5 ast Score 32
Even
G M. Gray7.9 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.4 ast Score 37
G C. Ryans NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
G T. Williams8.8 pts · 5.1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 80
F R. Marshall16.3 pts · 7 reb · 1.2 ast Score 92
Even
C W. Berg8.8 pts · 8 reb · 0.7 ast Score 85
Austin PeayBetterWichita St
APSU offense174th of 366 · -5.4
WICHSmall
WICH defense82nd of 366 · +0.2
APSU defense240th of 366 · -6.3
WICHBig
WICH offense78th of 366 · +0.8
Backcourt-1.7 · 4 players
WICHBig
Backcourt+3.8 · 4 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt+2.8 · 1 player
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.8 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestAPSU betterWICH betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Austin Peay
Guards
Z. Collins30 minC. Love25 min · TRS. Hugie12 min · TRC. RyansNewP. SingletonNewT. ToddNew
Forwards
R. Marshall30 minD. BoldenNewA. DavisNew
Wichita St
Guards
J. Long34 min · TRJ. Frison31 min · TRM. Gray27 minT. Williams22 minB. Heard18 min · TRJ. IghovodjaNew
Forwards
D. Battie18 minJ. Valencia13 minN. Hill5 minH. Thengvall2 min
Centers
W. Berg22 minC. Malonga11 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
APSUWICH
Scoring
79.0 #79Points per game77.6 #105
1.13 #91Points per possession1.12 #98
70.1 #114Pace (possessions)69.3 #164
Shooting
53.0 #105Effective FG%49.4 #274
35.3 #993-point %33.5 #195
38.0 #2153-point attempt rate33.9 #300
37.6 #110Free throw rate36.0 #149
Possessions
15.4 #94Turnover rate15.0 #62
29.7 #214Offensive rebound rate38.0 #8
15.3 #76Assists per game11.3 #325
Defense
74.6 #179Points allowed70.8 #71
1.06 #119Points allowed per possession1.02 #42
52.2 #227Opponent effective FG%47.2 #24
33.2 #137Opponent 3-point %31.5 #44
17.9 #103Turnovers forced15.7 #238
71.1 #100Defensive rebound rate71.2 #93
8.4 #22Steals per game6.0 #235
2.2 #329Blocks per game3.8 #100
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Austin Peay

20-9 in 2025-26 overall · 16-4 in conference · United Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Queens University Royals83–90
  • Wvs Stetson69–60
  • L@ Bellarmine97–111
  • Lvs C Arkansas88–93
  • W@ Jacksonville65–61

A week or more of rest.

Wichita St

23-12 in 2025-26 overall · 14-6 in conference · American Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Tulsa79–83
  • W@ Oklahoma St96–70
  • Wvs Wyoming74–70
  • Lvs South Florida55–70
  • Wvs Tulsa81–68

A week or more of rest.