1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Nov 28
  3. MORE vs CHSO
NCAAB · Sat, Nov 28

Morehead State Eagles vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Freedom Hall (TN) · Neutral site
#350MOREMorehead St
vs
#326CHSOCharleston So
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
MOREThis seasonCHSO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CHSO 77–74 · win probability CHSO 61%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CHSO has more of the edges

MORE 2, CHSO 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CHSOBig
Three-pointers
MORE hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%; CHSO hits 35.6% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 30.5% and 49.5% of their shots
MOREBig
Free throws
Free throw rate: MORE 37.7, CHSO 30.5. Allowed: MORE 35.6, CHSO 43.3
CHSOBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: MORE 49.1 and allows 50.2; CHSO 54.1 and allows 47.0
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: MORE plays 67.4 a game (262nd fastest), CHSO 75.1 (5th). Faster games mean more points
MORESmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: MORE 18.1%, CHSO 18.6%. Forced: MORE 15.4%, CHSO 12.8%
CHSOSmall
CHSO offense vs MORE defense
Offense 268th of 366 against a defense 333rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
MORE has played the 346th-hardest schedule, CHSO the 297th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MORE 29%, CHSO 22%. Transfers in: MORE 0, CHSO 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MORE 35.8%, CHSO 29.4%. Defensive: MORE 64.2%, CHSO 69.7%
Even
MORE offense vs CHSO defense
Offense 349th of 366 against a defense 358th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CHSO -3.1—
Total—150.8—
Projected score—MORE 73.8 · CHSO 76.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCHSO -1.7—
1H total70.5—
1H projected scoreMORE 34.4 · CHSO 36.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Morehead St has the better starters

Position by position: Morehead St 1, Charleston So 0, even 4
Morehead StBetterCharleston So
G C. Dawson8.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 22
MORESmall
G J. Taylor4.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 2
G V. Dawson3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7
No call
G N. Errica TR1.3 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G J. Winkleman1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
F L. Olalere4.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 26
G I. Day NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F D. Brafford1.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F C. Parker2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 1
No call
F M. Majok TR2.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
Morehead StBetterCharleston So
MORE offense349th of 366 · -12.3
Even
CHSO defense358th of 366 · -10.2
MORE defense333rd of 366 · -8.7
CHSOSmall
CHSO offense268th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-3.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-2.7 · 1 player
CHSOSmall
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench+0.0 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestMORE betterCHSO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Morehead St
Guards
C. Dawson26 minV. Dawson16 minJ. Winkleman1 minI. DayNewK. CarbonNewK. ShawNew
Forwards
C. Parker16 minD. AlexanderNewL. BassNewT. TangioraNewJ. PriesterNew
Charleston So
Guards
J. Taylor21 minN. Errica4 min · TRJ. McLambNewJ. CrawfordNewA. RuffoloNewR. BrooksNew
Forwards
L. Olalere16 minD. Brafford7 minM. Majok5 min · TRT. Deng1 min · TRM. LeslieNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
MORECHSO
Scoring
72.0 #243Points per game80.9 #44
1.07 #202Points per possession1.08 #188
67.4 #262Pace (possessions)75.1 #5
Shooting
49.1 #285Effective FG%54.1 #66
32.0 #2813-point %35.6 #78
30.5 #3493-point attempt rate49.5 #16
37.7 #109Free throw rate30.5 #296
Possessions
18.1 #275Turnover rate18.6 #302
35.8 #27Offensive rebound rate29.4 #223
12.0 #285Assists per game15.7 #57
Defense
75.5 #205Points allowed81.0 #332
1.12 #264Points allowed per possession1.08 #150
50.2 #109Opponent effective FG%47.0 #21
34.5 #221Opponent 3-point %31.9 #58
15.4 #259Turnovers forced12.8 #362
64.2 #351Defensive rebound rate69.7 #174
6.0 #234Steals per game4.9 #339
3.0 #213Blocks per game4.9 #21
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Morehead St

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St67–93
  • Wvs SE Missouri66–61
  • W@ Little Rock76–70
  • Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–63
  • W@ W Illinois81–59

A week or more of rest.

Charleston So

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-11 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Winthrop81–86
  • W@ UNC Asheville92–75
  • Wvs Winthrop86–84
  • Lvs Longwood96–107
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb75–66

A week or more of rest.