1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 2
  3. BELL @ MORE
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 2

Bellarmine Knights at Morehead State Eagles

Ellis T. Johnson Arena · at Morehead St
#295BELLBellarmine
@
#350MOREMorehead St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
BELLThis seasonMORE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BELL 76–75 · win probability BELL 53%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.0
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BELL has more of the edges

BELL 4, MORE 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
MOREBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: BELL 22.4%, MORE 35.8%. Defensive: BELL 65.8%, MORE 64.2%
Context
Schedule so far
BELL has played the 229th-hardest schedule, MORE the 346th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BELLSmall
BELL offense vs MORE defense
Offense 239th of 366 against a defense 333rd, on the model’s ratings
BELLSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: BELL 15.4%, MORE 18.1%. Forced: BELL 15.1%, MORE 15.4%
BELLSmall
Three-pointers
BELL hits 38.1% and allows 40.4%; MORE hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 41.2% and 30.5% of their shots
MORESmall
Home court
MORE at home. This season: MORE 0-0 at home, BELL 0-0 away
BELLSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: BELL 56%, MORE 29%. Transfers in: BELL 1, MORE 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: BELL 59.4 and allows 59.4; MORE 49.1 and allows 50.2
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: BELL plays 66.7 a game (288th fastest), MORE 67.4 (262nd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: BELL 35.0, MORE 37.7. Allowed: BELL 34.3, MORE 35.6
Even
MORE offense vs BELL defense
Offense 349th of 366 against a defense 345th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BELL -0.9—
Total—150.0—
Projected score—BELL 75.5 · MORE 74.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBELL -0.7—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreBELL 35.4 · MORE 34.7—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Bellarmine has the better starters

Position by position: Bellarmine 2, Morehead St 0, even 3
BellarmineBetterMorehead St
G K. Goodin11.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Score 31
Even
G C. Dawson8.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 22
G T. Doyle10 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 35
BELLSmall
G V. Dawson3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7
F S. Donald6.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
No call
G J. Winkleman1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F J. Wassler3.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 4
No call
G I. Day NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F T. Tornatta TR3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 26
BELLSmall
F C. Parker2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 1
BellarmineBetterMorehead St
BELL offense239th of 366 · -7.3
BELLSmall
MORE defense333rd of 366 · -8.7
BELL defense345th of 366 · -9.2
Even
MORE offense349th of 366 · -12.3
Backcourt-3.8 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt-4.9 · 3 players
MORESmall
Frontcourt-2.7 · 1 player
Bench-1.5 · 3 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestBELL betterMORE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Bellarmine
Guards
K. Goodin33 minT. Doyle28 minG. Whitaker7 minG. Neal3 minT. Clark2 minJ. GizziNew
Forwards
S. Donald27 minJ. Wassler12 minT. Tornatta9 min · TRA. McAfeeNewB. KlopfensteinNewE. HarrellNew
Morehead St
Guards
C. Dawson26 minV. Dawson16 minJ. Winkleman1 minI. DayNewK. CarbonNewK. ShawNew
Forwards
C. Parker16 minD. AlexanderNewL. BassNewT. TangioraNewJ. PriesterNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
BELLMORE
Scoring
78.9 #80Points per game72.0 #243
1.18 #34Points per possession1.07 #202
66.7 #288Pace (possessions)67.4 #262
Shooting
59.4 #3Effective FG%49.1 #285
38.1 #173-point %32.0 #281
41.2 #1453-point attempt rate30.5 #349
35.0 #178Free throw rate37.7 #109
Possessions
15.4 #100Turnover rate18.1 #275
22.4 #354Offensive rebound rate35.8 #27
14.8 #98Assists per game12.0 #285
Defense
83.3 #350Points allowed75.5 #205
1.25 #365Points allowed per possession1.12 #264
59.4 #365Opponent effective FG%50.2 #109
40.4 #364Opponent 3-point %34.5 #221
15.1 #277Turnovers forced15.4 #259
65.8 #320Defensive rebound rate64.2 #351
5.8 #255Steals per game6.0 #234
1.7 #356Blocks per game3.0 #213
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Bellarmine

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs C Arkansas73–86
  • Wvs Jacksonville82–79
  • Wvs Austin Peay111–97
  • L@ North Alabama68–73
  • Lvs E Kentucky92–95

A week or more of rest.

Morehead St

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St67–93
  • Wvs SE Missouri66–61
  • W@ Little Rock76–70
  • Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–63
  • W@ W Illinois81–59

A week or more of rest.