1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. EIU @ BELL
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Eastern Illinois Panthers at Bellarmine Knights

Knights Hall · at Bellarmine
#361EIUE Illinois
@
#295BELLBellarmine
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
EIUThis seasonBELL
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects BELL 78–69 · win probability BELL 78%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 147.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: BELL has more of the edges

EIU 0, BELL 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
BELLSmall
BELL offense vs EIU defense
Offense 239th of 366 against a defense 332nd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
EIU has played the 314th-hardest schedule, BELL the 229th. A record against a soft schedule means less
BELLSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: EIU 45.7 and allows 50.8; BELL 59.4 and allows 59.4
BELLSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: EIU 22%, BELL 56%. Transfers in: EIU 0, BELL 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
BELLSmall
Home court
BELL at home. This season: BELL 0-0 at home, EIU 0-0 away
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: EIU 33.5, BELL 35.0. Allowed: EIU 35.3, BELL 34.3
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: EIU 28.2%, BELL 22.4%. Defensive: EIU 64.8%, BELL 65.8%
Even
Three-pointers
EIU hits 31.7% and allows 31.7%; BELL hits 38.1% and allows 40.4%. Threes are 29.9% and 41.2% of their shots
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: EIU 18.6%, BELL 15.4%. Forced: EIU 19.3%, BELL 15.1%
Even
EIU offense vs BELL defense
Offense 360th of 366 against a defense 345th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: EIU plays 67.0 a game (280th fastest), BELL 66.7 (288th). Faster games mean more points
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—BELL -9.0—
Total—147.1—
Projected score—EIU 69 · BELL 78

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadBELL -5.2—
1H total68.8—
1H projected scoreEIU 31.8 · BELL 37—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Bellarmine has the better starters

Position by position: E Illinois 0, Bellarmine 1, even 4
E IllinoisBetterBellarmine
G J. Elder8 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
No call
G K. Goodin11.7 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast Score 31
G M. Blackwell4.4 pts · 0.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 7
BELLSmall
G T. Doyle10 pts · 2.9 reb · 4 ast Score 35
F A. Austin2 pts · 0.7 reb · 0.7 ast Score 1
Even
F S. Donald6.5 pts · 3.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 12
F D. Burton NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F J. Wassler3.4 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 4
C T. Vogel NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
No call
F T. Tornatta TR3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 26
E IllinoisBetterBellarmine
EIU offense360th of 366 · -14.1
Even
BELL defense345th of 366 · -9.2
EIU defense332nd of 366 · -8.7
BELLSmall
BELL offense239th of 366 · -7.3
Backcourt-2.2 · 2 players
EIUSmall
Backcourt-3.8 · 2 players
Frontcourt-1.8 · 3 players
EIUBig
Frontcourt-4.9 · 3 players
BenchNo numbers yet
No call
Bench-1.5 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestEIU betterBELL betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
E Illinois
Guards
J. Elder17 minM. Blackwell16 minD. DavenportNewJ. MillerNewJ. CallowayNewS. SimsNew
Forwards
A. Austin10 minD. BurtonNewG. WelchNewD. NtambweNewE. HillsmanNew
Centers
T. VogelNew
Bellarmine
Guards
K. Goodin33 minT. Doyle28 minG. Whitaker7 minG. Neal3 minT. Clark2 minJ. GizziNew
Forwards
S. Donald27 minJ. Wassler12 minT. Tornatta9 min · TRA. McAfeeNewB. KlopfensteinNewE. HarrellNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
EIUBELL
Scoring
64.6 #351Points per game78.9 #80
0.96 #350Points per possession1.18 #34
67.0 #280Pace (possessions)66.7 #288
Shooting
45.7 #353Effective FG%59.4 #3
31.7 #2923-point %38.1 #17
29.9 #3523-point attempt rate41.2 #145
33.5 #224Free throw rate35.0 #178
Possessions
18.6 #301Turnover rate15.4 #100
28.2 #256Offensive rebound rate22.4 #354
11.1 #336Assists per game14.8 #98
Defense
72.2 #111Points allowed83.3 #350
1.08 #152Points allowed per possession1.25 #365
50.8 #146Opponent effective FG%59.4 #365
31.7 #50Opponent 3-point %40.4 #364
19.3 #37Turnovers forced15.1 #277
64.8 #343Defensive rebound rate65.8 #320
7.5 #78Steals per game5.8 #255
2.9 #251Blocks per game1.7 #356
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

E Illinois

10-20 in 2025-26 overall · 9-13 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UT Martin63–66
  • Wvs SIUE77–71
  • L@ SIUE50–77
  • W@ Lindenwood Lions71–67
  • Lvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles68–70

A week or more of rest.

Bellarmine

11-19 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs C Arkansas73–86
  • Wvs Jacksonville82–79
  • Wvs Austin Peay111–97
  • L@ North Alabama68–73
  • Lvs E Kentucky92–95

A week or more of rest.