1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 5
  3. PRES @ MORE
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 5

Presbyterian Blue Hose at Morehead State Eagles

Ellis T. Johnson Arena · at Morehead St
#183PRESPresbyterian
@
#350MOREMorehead St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
PRESThis seasonMORE
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRES 75–68 · win probability PRES 73%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 142.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: PRES has more of the edges

PRES 4, MORE 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PRESBig
MORE offense vs PRES defense
Offense 349th of 366 against a defense 160th, on the model’s ratings
PRESBig
PRES offense vs MORE defense
Offense 222nd of 366 against a defense 333rd, on the model’s ratings
PRESSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PRES 86%, MORE 29%. Transfers in: PRES 0, MORE 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Context
Schedule so far
PRES has played the 272nd-hardest schedule, MORE the 346th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PRESSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PRES 33.1%, MORE 35.8%. Defensive: PRES 69.3%, MORE 64.2%
MORESmall
Home court
MORE at home. This season: MORE 0-0 at home, PRES 0-0 away
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PRES 19.4%, MORE 18.1%. Forced: PRES 15.7%, MORE 15.4%
Even
Three-pointers
PRES hits 31.6% and allows 34.7%; MORE hits 32.0% and allows 34.5%. Threes are 28.0% and 30.5% of their shots
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: PRES 51.0 and allows 51.2; MORE 49.1 and allows 50.2
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: PRES plays 66.9 a game (283rd fastest), MORE 67.4 (262nd). Faster games mean more points
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PRES 39.4, MORE 37.7. Allowed: PRES 37.1, MORE 35.6
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PRES -7.0—
Total—142.1—
Projected score—PRES 74.5 · MORE 67.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPRES -4.3—
1H total66.5—
1H projected scorePRES 35.4 · MORE 31.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Presbyterian has the better starters

Position by position: Presbyterian 3, Morehead St 0, even 2
PresbyterianBetterMorehead St
G C. Parrish14.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 56
PRESSmall
G C. Dawson8.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 2.7 ast Score 22
G T. Wilson11.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 52
PRESBig
G V. Dawson3.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7
G E. Taylor5.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Not ranked
No call
G J. Winkleman1 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G I. King3.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 2
No call
G I. Day NEWNo Division I numbers yet Not ranked
F J. Peterson11 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 71
PRESBig
F C. Parker2.7 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Score 1
PresbyterianBetterMorehead St
PRES offense222nd of 366 · -6.8
PRESSmall
MORE defense333rd of 366 · -8.7
PRES defense160th of 366 · -3.5
PRESBig
MORE offense349th of 366 · -12.3
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Even
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
PRESBig
Frontcourt-2.7 · 1 player
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestPRES betterMORE betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Presbyterian
Guards
C. Parrish35 minT. Wilson32 minE. Taylor21 minI. King19 minK. Hudson11 minJ. Bowden8 min
Forwards
J. Peterson30 minC. Chiakwelu11 minA. AyelyineNewL. HackworthNew
Morehead St
Guards
C. Dawson26 minV. Dawson16 minJ. Winkleman1 minI. DayNewK. CarbonNewK. ShawNew
Forwards
C. Parker16 minD. AlexanderNewL. BassNewT. TangioraNewJ. PriesterNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PRESMORE
Scoring
70.0 #286Points per game72.0 #243
1.05 #249Points per possession1.07 #202
66.9 #283Pace (possessions)67.4 #262
Shooting
51.0 #196Effective FG%49.1 #285
31.6 #3023-point %32.0 #281
28.0 #3603-point attempt rate30.5 #349
39.4 #71Free throw rate37.7 #109
Possessions
19.4 #335Turnover rate18.1 #275
33.1 #86Offensive rebound rate35.8 #27
12.4 #260Assists per game12.0 #285
Defense
73.1 #133Points allowed75.5 #205
1.09 #192Points allowed per possession1.12 #264
51.2 #170Opponent effective FG%50.2 #109
34.7 #235Opponent 3-point %34.5 #221
15.7 #237Turnovers forced15.4 #259
69.3 #188Defensive rebound rate64.2 #351
5.5 #303Steals per game6.0 #234
4.5 #35Blocks per game3.0 #213
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Presbyterian

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-10 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Winthrop71–73
  • Wvs Radford91–85
  • L@ Winthrop70–74
  • Lvs High Point73–79
  • L@ SC Upstate74–76

A week or more of rest.

Morehead St

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 16-6 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Tennessee St67–93
  • Wvs SE Missouri66–61
  • W@ Little Rock76–70
  • Wvs Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–63
  • W@ W Illinois81–59

A week or more of rest.