1. NCAAB
  2. Sat, Dec 12
  3. SAM @ PRES
NCAAB · Sat, Dec 12

Samford Bulldogs at Presbyterian Blue Hose

Templeton Center · at Presbyterian
#184SAMSamford
@
#183PRESPresbyterian
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SAMThis seasonPRES
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects PRES 75–72 · win probability PRES 60%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 146.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SAM has more of the edges

SAM 3, PRES 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SAMSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SAM 13.4%, PRES 19.4%. Forced: SAM 13.0%, PRES 15.7%
PRESSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SAM 41%, PRES 86%. Transfers in: SAM 5, PRES 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
SAMSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: SAM 41.9, PRES 39.4. Allowed: SAM 32.9, PRES 37.1
SAMSmall
Three-pointers
SAM hits 35.6% and allows 36.5%; PRES hits 31.6% and allows 34.7%. Threes are 45.7% and 28.0% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: SAM plays 69.3 a game (163rd fastest), PRES 66.9 (283rd). Faster games mean more points
PRESSmall
Home court
PRES at home. This season: PRES 0-0 at home, SAM 0-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SAM 25.3%, PRES 33.1%. Defensive: SAM 74.3%, PRES 69.3%
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: SAM 53.1 and allows 51.9; PRES 51.0 and allows 51.2
Context
Schedule so far
SAM has played the 251st-hardest schedule, PRES the 272nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
SAM offense vs PRES defense
Offense 147th of 366 against a defense 160th, on the model’s ratings
Even
PRES offense vs SAM defense
Offense 222nd of 366 against a defense 224th, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—PRES -3.0—
Total—146.5—
Projected score—SAM 71.7 · PRES 74.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadPRES -1.7—
1H total68.5—
1H projected scoreSAM 33.4 · PRES 35.1—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Presbyterian has the better starters

Position by position: Samford 0, Presbyterian 3, even 2
SamfordBetterPresbyterian
G N. George TR11.4 pts · 3.6 reb · 1.6 ast Score 25
PRESSmall
G C. Parrish14.7 pts · 2.9 reb · 2.3 ast Score 56
G C. Norris8.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 2 ast Score 34
PRESSmall
G T. Wilson11.6 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.8 ast Score 52
G C. Noard TR19 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.9 ast Score 94
No call
G E. Taylor5.6 pts · 1.8 reb · 3.6 ast Not ranked
G I. Campbell-Finch7.5 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.3 ast Score 13
Even
G I. King3.7 pts · 2.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 2
G T. Davis TR1.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.2 ast Score 22
PRESBig
F J. Peterson11 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 71
SamfordBetterPresbyterian
SAM offense147th of 366 · -4.5
Even
PRES defense160th of 366 · -3.5
SAM defense224th of 366 · -5.9
Even
PRES offense222nd of 366 · -6.8
Backcourt-4.7 · 5 players
Even
Backcourt-4.4 · 4 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+1.1 · 1 player
Bench-3.6 · 5 players
PRESSmall
Bench-1.6 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestSAM betterPRES betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Samford
Guards
N. George35 min · TRC. Norris31 minC. Noard29 min · TRI. Campbell-Finch24 minT. Davis11 min · TRW. Miller9 min · TR
Forwards
J. Bjornstad8 minB. MacVicar7 min · TRC. Harrison3 minJ. HughesNewB. KempNew
Centers
W. Shaver9 minL. LeeNew
Presbyterian
Guards
C. Parrish35 minT. Wilson32 minE. Taylor21 minI. King19 minK. Hudson11 minJ. Bowden8 min
Forwards
J. Peterson30 minC. Chiakwelu11 minA. AyelyineNewL. HackworthNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SAMPRES
Scoring
77.8 #98Points per game70.0 #286
1.12 #99Points per possession1.05 #249
69.3 #163Pace (possessions)66.9 #283
Shooting
53.1 #101Effective FG%51.0 #196
35.6 #843-point %31.6 #302
45.7 #543-point attempt rate28.0 #360
41.9 #32Free throw rate39.4 #71
Possessions
13.4 #11Turnover rate19.4 #335
25.3 #333Offensive rebound rate33.1 #86
14.3 #128Assists per game12.4 #260
Defense
77.0 #240Points allowed73.1 #133
1.11 #251Points allowed per possession1.09 #192
51.9 #206Opponent effective FG%51.2 #170
36.5 #326Opponent 3-point %34.7 #235
13.0 #354Turnovers forced15.7 #237
74.3 #17Defensive rebound rate69.3 #188
4.4 #358Steals per game5.5 #303
2.7 #277Blocks per game4.5 #35
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Samford

16-14 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Furman81–86
  • Wvs UNC Greensboro87–78
  • Wvs VMI80–61
  • L@ Mercer86–89
  • W@ The Citadel78–75

A week or more of rest.

Presbyterian

12-18 in 2025-26 overall · 8-10 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Winthrop71–73
  • Wvs Radford91–85
  • L@ Winthrop70–74
  • Lvs High Point73–79
  • L@ SC Upstate74–76

A week or more of rest.