1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Dec 1
  3. CIT @ CHSO
NCAAB · Tue, Dec 1

The Citadel Bulldogs at Charleston Southern Buccaneers

Buccaneer Fieldhouse · at Charleston So
#339CITThe Citadel
@
#326CHSOCharleston So
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CITThis seasonCHSO
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects CHSO 78–72 · win probability CHSO 70%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.1
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: CHSO has more of the edges

CIT 2, CHSO 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
CHSOBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CIT 49.5 and allows 57.5; CHSO 54.1 and allows 47.0
CHSOBig
Three-pointers
CIT hits 32.0% and allows 36.6%; CHSO hits 35.6% and allows 31.9%. Threes are 47.8% and 49.5% of their shots
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: CIT plays 66.1 a game (313th fastest), CHSO 75.1 (5th). Faster games mean more points
CITSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CIT 16.3%, CHSO 18.6%. Forced: CIT 14.8%, CHSO 12.8%
CITSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: CIT 30.0, CHSO 30.5. Allowed: CIT 33.3, CHSO 43.3
Context
Schedule so far
CIT has played the 233rd-hardest schedule, CHSO the 297th. A record against a soft schedule means less
CHSOSmall
Home court
CHSO at home. This season: CHSO 0-0 at home, CIT 0-0 away
CHSOSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CIT 27.9%, CHSO 29.4%. Defensive: CIT 68.5%, CHSO 69.7%
CHSOSmall
CHSO offense vs CIT defense
Offense 268th of 366 against a defense 314th, on the model’s ratings
Even
CIT offense vs CHSO defense
Offense 343rd of 366 against a defense 358th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CIT 18%, CHSO 22%. Transfers in: CIT 6, CHSO 3. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—CHSO -6.1—
Total—150.1—
Projected score—CIT 72 · CHSO 78.1

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadCHSO -3.5—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreCIT 33.3 · CHSO 36.8—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: The Citadel 0, Charleston So 0, even 5
The CitadelBetterCharleston So
G E. Bronson TR5.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1 ast Score 13
Even
G J. Taylor4.8 pts · 1.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 2
G C. McKenzie TR2.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G N. Errica TR1.3 pts · 0 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
G M. Gonzales3.8 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.6 ast Score 17
Even
F L. Olalere4.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.8 ast Score 26
G K. Davis4.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 19
No call
F D. Brafford1.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked
F R. Bethea TR3.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 32
No call
F M. Majok TR2.2 pts · 1.6 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
The CitadelBetterCharleston So
CIT offense343rd of 366 · -11.7
Even
CHSO defense358th of 366 · -10.2
CIT defense314th of 366 · -8.1
Even
CHSO offense268th of 366 · -8.1
Backcourt-7.1 · 4 players
CHSOBig
Backcourt-3.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-1.0 · 3 players
Bench-2.7 · 5 players
CHSOSmall
Bench+0.0 · 1 player
Score, worst to bestCIT betterCHSO betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
The Citadel
Guards
E. Bronson19 min · TRC. McKenzie16 min · TRM. Gonzales13 minK. Davis12 minC. Cormier9 min · TRJ. Heck2 min
Forwards
R. Bethea13 min · TRT. Mrus10 min · TRJ. Hurlburt9 min · TRC. Bonjasky6 minL. Menefee3 minA. Alexander1 min
Centers
Y. AnsongNew
Charleston So
Guards
J. Taylor21 minN. Errica4 min · TRJ. McLambNewJ. CrawfordNewA. RuffoloNewR. BrooksNew
Forwards
L. Olalere16 minD. Brafford7 minM. Majok5 min · TRT. Deng1 min · TRM. LeslieNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CITCHSO
Scoring
68.3 #309Points per game80.9 #44
1.03 #283Points per possession1.08 #188
66.1 #313Pace (possessions)75.1 #5
Shooting
49.5 #265Effective FG%54.1 #66
32.0 #2833-point %35.6 #78
47.8 #263-point attempt rate49.5 #16
30.0 #309Free throw rate30.5 #296
Possessions
16.3 #156Turnover rate18.6 #302
27.9 #270Offensive rebound rate29.4 #223
12.2 #272Assists per game15.7 #57
Defense
78.9 #293Points allowed81.0 #332
1.20 #357Points allowed per possession1.08 #150
57.5 #361Opponent effective FG%47.0 #21
36.6 #335Opponent 3-point %31.9 #58
14.8 #306Turnovers forced12.8 #362
68.5 #227Defensive rebound rate69.7 #174
5.2 #318Steals per game4.9 #339
2.5 #304Blocks per game4.9 #21
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

The Citadel

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs ETSU76–83
  • Wvs Chattanooga88–85
  • W@ Wofford93–90
  • L@ Furman51–72
  • Lvs Chattanooga72–93

A week or more of rest.

Charleston So

12-17 in 2025-26 overall · 6-11 in conference · Big South Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Winthrop81–86
  • W@ UNC Asheville92–75
  • Wvs Winthrop86–84
  • Lvs Longwood96–107
  • Wvs Gardner-Webb75–66

A week or more of rest.