Harrah's Cherokee Center · Neutral site · Conference game · Conference tournament
Closing line
ETSU -14.5✓ CIT covered by 7.5
ETSU -14.5✓ CIT covered by 7.5Closing total139.5Over by 19.5
 CIT | This season | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-21 | Record | 19-10 |
| 14-15 | ATS | 14-15 |
| 14-15 | O/U | 16-13 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIT 64–79 ETSU · ✓ ETSU (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 32 | 44 | 76 |
| ETSU | 36 | 47 | 83 |
1st half: CIT 32, ETSU 36 (ETSU by 4). The model had ETSU by 8.3 and a total of 66.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| CIT | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-58 50% | Field goals | 31-55 56% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 10-20 50% | Free throws | 11-20 55% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 29 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 17 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 13 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braxton Williams F | 38 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 7-14 | 3-8 |
| Sola Adebisi F | 36 | 23 | 5 | 4 | 10-15 | 1-4 |
| Christian Moore F | 31 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Carter Kingsbury G | 27 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Eze Wali G | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dante Kearse G | 16 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Keynan Davis G | 14 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 7 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Logan Applegate G | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Simeon German F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jameson Heck, Aidan Alexander, Jack Walter, Gabe Hernandez, Rowan Irelan, Chase Williams, Cassius Bonjasky, Logan Menefee
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 35 | 11 | 2 | 7 | 5-12 | 1-5 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 28 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 6-10 | 0-2 |
| Blake Barkley F | 27 | 24 | 6 | 0 | 10-11 | 3-3 |
| Cam Morris III F | 23 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Allen Strothers G | 18 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maki Johnson G | 29 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-5 |
| Jaylen Smith G | 24 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Milton Matthews III G | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Gabe Sisk G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Frederico Whitaker Jr., Maddox Huff, Henry Sisemore, Brayden Crump, Joseph Carter
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -14.5
no move
CloseETSU -14.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CIT +900 · ETSU -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -14.5 · unchangedmodel ETSU -14
model ETSU -14
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | ETSU -14.5 | ETSU -14.2 | CIT +0.3 | W CIT covered |
| Total | 139.5 | 142.9 | Over 3.4 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CIT 64.4 · ETSU 78.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ETSU -8.3 | ETSU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 66.9 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | CIT 29.3 · ETSU 37.6 | CIT 32 · ETSU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| ETSU | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 11 since 2021-22
CIT 2–9 ETSUETSU leads · 11 games since 2021-22 · ETSU has won the last 8 meetings · CIT 3-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2025-26 | CIT 55 @ ETSU 84 | ETSU -17.5 | ETSU W |
| Dec 30, 2025-26 | ETSU 74 @ CIT 49 | CIT +12.5 | ETSU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | ETSU 81 @ CIT 66 | CIT +11.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | CIT 52 @ ETSU 70 | ETSU -16.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | ETSU 81 @ CIT 63 | CIT +1.5 | ETSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
The Citadel
29 games played
Straight up
8-21
28% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-15
48% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vsETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs WOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | @ VMI | W 82-68 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs FUR | W 77-75 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ETSU | L 55-84 | +17.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsVMI | W 80-56 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNCG | W 71-66 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 5 | @ SAM | L 64-78 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 7 | @ UTC | W 78-71 | +9.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 11 | @WCU | L 49-87 | +9.5 | L −28.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 14 | vsMER | L 54-70 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 19 | vsSAM | L 75-78 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 21 | vsUTC | L 72-93 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 25 | @FUR | L 51-72 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 28 | @WOF | W 93-90 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 183 |
| Mar 6 | vsUTC | W 88-85 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+20.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+13.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−11.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
+21.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
+7.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−0.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-71
+16.5
11
@WCU
WCUL 49-87
−28.5
14
vsMER
MERL 54-70
−4.5
19
vsSAM
SAML 75-78
+7.5
21
vsUTC
UTCL 72-93
−16.5
25
@FUR
FURL 51-72
−5.5
28
@WOF
WOFW 93-90
+14.5
6
vsUTC
UTCW 88-85
+10.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+6.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+9.5
23
@ETSU
ETSUL 55-84
−2.5
29
vsVMI
VMIW 80-56
−6.5
31
vsUNCG
UNCGW 71-66
−10.5
5
@SAM
SAML 64-78
−4.5
7
@UTC
UTCW 78-71
+6.5
11
@WCU
WCUL 49-87
−9.5
14
vsMER
MERL 54-70
−23.5
19
vsSAM
SAML 75-78
+9.5
21
vsUTC
UTCL 72-93
+20.5
25
@FUR
FURL 51-72
−20.5
28
@WOF
WOFW 93-90
+34.5
6
vsUTC
UTCW 88-85
+24.5
over 14under 15avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
29 games played
Straight up
19-10
66% wins
Against the spread
14-15
48% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @CIT | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsMER | W 77-71 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsVMI | W 81-67 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNCG | W 86-60 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 14 | @WCU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | @SAM | W 76-75 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @UTC | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsCIT | W 84-55 | -17.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 29 | vsWCU | L 88-90 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 1 | @WOF | W 86-72 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 4 | vsFUR | W 75-71 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 146 |
| Feb 7 | @VMI | W 87-70 | -14.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 11 | vsUTC | W 73-61 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 14 | vsSAM | L 72-82 | -7.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 18 | @FUR | W 78-69 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 140.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 21 | @UNCG | W 87-75 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 25 | vsWOF | L 69-72 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 28 | @MER | L 76-82 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
+12.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−1.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
−2.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
+14.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−10.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
−2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−3.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
+11.5
29
vsWCU
WCUL 88-90
−11.5
1
@WOF
WOFW 86-72
+12.5
4
vsFUR
FURW 75-71
−1.5
7
@VMI
VMIW 87-70
+2.5
11
vsUTC
UTCW 73-61
+1.5
14
vsSAM
SAML 72-82
−17.5
18
@FUR
FURW 78-69
+10.5
21
@UNCG
UNCGW 87-75
+5.5
25
vsWOF
WOFL 69-72
−9.5
28
@MER
MERL 76-82
−4.5
covered 14didn’t cover 15avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
−17.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−0.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
+1.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
−2.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−7.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
+2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−10.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
−2.5
29
vsWCU
WCUL 88-90
+32.5
1
@WOF
WOFW 86-72
+11.5
4
vsFUR
FURW 75-71
+4.5
7
@VMI
VMIW 87-70
+13.5
11
vsUTC
UTCW 73-61
−11.5
14
vsSAM
SAML 72-82
+8.5
18
@FUR
FURW 78-69
+6.5
21
@UNCG
UNCGW 87-75
+13.5
25
vsWOF
WOFL 69-72
−8.5
28
@MER
MERL 76-82
+8.5
over 16under 13avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The Citadel
8-21 overall · 8-11 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Chattanooga88–85
- W@ Wofford93–90
- L@ Furman51–72
- Lvs Chattanooga72–93
- Lvs Samford75–78
1 day since their last game.
ETSU
19-10 overall · 13-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Mercer76–82
- Lvs Wofford69–72
- W@ UNC Greensboro87–75
- W@ Furman78–69
- Lvs Samford72–82
A week or more of rest.