1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 9
  3. CIT @ GT
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 9

The Citadel Bulldogs at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets

McCamish Pavilion · at Georgia Tech
#339CITThe Citadel
@
#94GTGeorgia Tech
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
CITThis seasonGT
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects GT 87–64 · win probability GT 98%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 150.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: GT has more of the edges

CIT 1, GT 6 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
GTBig
GT offense vs CIT defense
Offense 71st of 366 against a defense 314th, on the model’s ratings
GTBig
CIT offense vs GT defense
Offense 343rd of 366 against a defense 123rd, on the model’s ratings
GTBig
Three-pointers
CIT hits 32.0% and allows 36.6%; GT hits 35.1% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 47.8% and 33.1% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
CIT has played the 233rd-hardest schedule, GT the 78th. A record against a soft schedule means less
GTBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: CIT 49.5 and allows 57.5; GT 50.0 and allows 49.9
Context
Tempo
About 69 possessions: CIT plays 66.1 a game (313th fastest), GT 71.9 (38th). Faster games mean more points
GTSmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: CIT 27.9%, GT 29.9%. Defensive: CIT 68.5%, GT 69.3%
GTSmall
Home court
GT at home. This season: GT 0-0 at home, CIT 0-0 away
CITSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: CIT 16.3%, GT 18.6%. Forced: CIT 14.8%, GT 15.6%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: CIT 30.0, GT 33.3. Allowed: CIT 33.3, GT 34.2
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: CIT 18%, GT 16%. Transfers in: CIT 6, GT 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—GT -22.7—
Total—150.5—
Projected score—CIT 63.9 · GT 86.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadGT -13.4—
1H total70.3—
1H projected scoreCIT 28.5 · GT 41.9—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgia Tech has the better starters

Position by position: The Citadel 0, Georgia Tech 3, even 2
The CitadelBetterGeorgia Tech
G E. Bronson TR5.5 pts · 1.7 reb · 1 ast Score 13
GTBig
G N. Whitlock TR20.4 pts · 3.3 reb · 3.3 ast Score 87
G C. McKenzie TR2.7 pts · 1.8 reb · 0.3 ast Not ranked
No call
G C. Garland TR20.4 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.6 ast Score 98
G M. Gonzales3.8 pts · 1.6 reb · 1.6 ast Score 17
GTSmall
G K. Craft7.3 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 43
G K. Davis4.3 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.6 ast Score 19
GTBig
F V. Valdes TR14.9 pts · 4 reb · 4.5 ast Score 74
F R. Bethea TR3.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 32
No call
F J. Fields TR4.3 pts · 3.4 reb · 1.1 ast Not ranked
The CitadelBetterGeorgia Tech
CIT offense343rd of 366 · -11.7
GTBig
GT defense123rd of 366 · -2.1
CIT defense314th of 366 · -8.1
GTBig
GT offense71st of 366 · +1.7
Backcourt-7.1 · 4 players
GTBig
Backcourt+7.4 · 3 players
Frontcourt-0.6 · 1 player
GTBig
Frontcourt+2.6 · 2 players
Bench-2.7 · 5 players
GTSmall
Bench-1.0 · 2 players
Score, worst to bestCIT betterGT betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
The Citadel
Guards
E. Bronson19 min · TRC. McKenzie16 min · TRM. Gonzales13 minK. Davis12 minC. Cormier9 min · TRJ. Heck2 min
Forwards
R. Bethea13 min · TRT. Mrus10 min · TRJ. Hurlburt9 min · TRC. Bonjasky6 minL. Menefee3 minA. Alexander1 min
Centers
Y. AnsongNew
Georgia Tech
Guards
N. Whitlock35 min · TRC. Garland35 min · TRK. Craft21 minC. Muldrew14 min · TRK. BaileyNewK. AllenNew
Forwards
V. Valdes30 min · TRJ. Fields14 min · TRT. JordanNewM. DiopNewI. KurucsNew
Centers
C. Kirouac12 minJ. McVeyNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
CITGT
Scoring
68.3 #309Points per game73.8 #208
1.03 #283Points per possession1.03 #292
66.1 #313Pace (possessions)71.9 #38
Shooting
49.5 #265Effective FG%50.0 #234
32.0 #2833-point %35.1 #109
47.8 #263-point attempt rate33.1 #313
30.0 #309Free throw rate33.3 #229
Possessions
16.3 #156Turnover rate18.6 #306
27.9 #270Offensive rebound rate29.9 #203
12.2 #272Assists per game15.8 #55
Defense
78.9 #293Points allowed77.4 #247
1.20 #357Points allowed per possession1.08 #148
57.5 #361Opponent effective FG%49.9 #94
36.6 #335Opponent 3-point %33.1 #134
14.8 #306Turnovers forced15.6 #244
68.5 #227Defensive rebound rate69.3 #189
5.2 #318Steals per game6.1 #229
2.5 #304Blocks per game3.9 #80
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

The Citadel

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 8-12 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs ETSU76–83
  • Wvs Chattanooga88–85
  • W@ Wofford93–90
  • L@ Furman51–72
  • Lvs Chattanooga72–93

A week or more of rest.

Georgia Tech

11-20 in 2025-26 overall · 2-16 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Clemson76–79
  • Lvs California65–76
  • Lvs Florida St71–80
  • L@ Louisville70–87
  • Lvs Virginia68–94

A week or more of rest.