1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 16
  3. SIUE @ UND
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 16

SIU Edwardsville Cougars at North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Betty Engelstad Sioux Center · at North Dakota
#257SIUESIUE
@
#336UNDNorth Dakota
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
SIUEThis seasonUND
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects SIUE 72–69 · win probability SIUE 58%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 141.1
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: SIUE has more of the edges

SIUE 5, UND 2 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
SIUEBig
Three-pointers
SIUE hits 35.0% and allows 30.2%; UND hits 32.7% and allows 37.1%. Threes are 36.2% and 40.6% of their shots
SIUEBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: SIUE 49.5 and allows 45.6; UND 49.5 and allows 56.5
UNDBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: SIUE 17.9%, UND 14.1%. Forced: SIUE 17.1%, UND 19.3%
SIUEBig
UND offense vs SIUE defense
Offense 304th of 366 against a defense 161st, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: SIUE plays 66.1 a game (306th fastest), UND 69.7 (133rd). Faster games mean more points
Context
Schedule so far
SIUE has played the 365th-hardest schedule, UND the 293rd. A record against a soft schedule means less
SIUESmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: SIUE 30.1%, UND 27.4%. Defensive: SIUE 68.4%, UND 67.6%
UNDSmall
Home court
UND at home. This season: UND 0-0 at home, SIUE 0-0 away
SIUESmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: SIUE 52%, UND 24%. Transfers in: SIUE 2, UND 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
SIUE offense vs UND defense
Offense 329th of 366 against a defense 353rd, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: SIUE 30.6, UND 37.9. Allowed: SIUE 34.3, UND 43.8
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—SIUE -2.4—
Total—141.1—
Projected score—SIUE 71.8 · UND 69.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadSIUE -1.6—
1H total66.0—
1H projected scoreSIUE 33.8 · UND 32.2—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

SIUE has the better starters

Position by position: SIUE 3, North Dakota 0, even 2
SIUEBetterNorth Dakota
G G. Cobb TR9.8 pts · 2.6 reb · 3.6 ast Score 40
SIUESmall
G Z. Kraft7.7 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast Score 23
G T. King10.1 pts · 2.6 reb · 1 ast Score 66
SIUEBig
G S. Hincapie TR4.9 pts · 2.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 11
G J. Pickett4.6 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 7
No call
G T. Wagner TR1.7 pts · 1.2 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F G. Liberis7 pts · 4.8 reb · 1 ast Score 9
No call
F K. Ouse0.5 pts · 0.4 reb · 0 ast Not ranked
F D. Baker7.7 pts · 4 reb · 0.7 ast Score 40
SIUEBig
C J. Jones2.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast Score 1
SIUEBetterNorth Dakota
SIUE offense329th of 366 · -10.6
Even
UND defense353rd of 366 · -9.9
SIUE defense161st of 366 · -3.6
SIUEBig
UND offense304th of 366 · -9.5
Backcourt-3.6 · 3 players
SIUESmall
Backcourt-4.8 · 3 players
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
SIUESmall
Frontcourt-4.5 · 2 players
Bench-1.5 · 4 players
No call
BenchNo numbers yet
Score, worst to bestSIUE betterUND betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
SIUE
Guards
G. Cobb29 min · TRT. King22 minJ. Pickett20 minC. Efono9 minH. Alexander7 minD. McCaskillNew
Forwards
G. Liberis24 minD. Baker21 minI. Baganc2 minD. WilsonNewB. SohaibNewB. MillerNew
Centers
J. Martin1 min · TR
North Dakota
Guards
Z. Kraft25 minS. Hincapie16 min · TRT. Wagner7 min · TRL. WinkelNewZ. ParksNewJ. MooreNew
Forwards
K. Ouse6 minA. RadojevicNewJ. ThomasNewD. ElyNew
Centers
J. Jones19 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
SIUEUND
Scoring
67.7 #321Points per game74.2 #187
1.02 #304Points per possession1.07 #214
66.1 #306Pace (possessions)69.7 #133
Shooting
49.5 #266Effective FG%49.5 #272
35.0 #1233-point %32.7 #246
36.2 #2463-point attempt rate40.6 #155
30.6 #294Free throw rate37.9 #106
Possessions
17.9 #266Turnover rate14.1 #27
30.1 #195Offensive rebound rate27.4 #284
12.4 #255Assists per game10.8 #343
Defense
65.9 #13Points allowed79.6 #310
1.00 #26Points allowed per possession1.14 #306
45.6 #6Opponent effective FG%56.5 #353
30.2 #10Opponent 3-point %37.1 #345
17.1 #143Turnovers forced19.3 #36
68.4 #235Defensive rebound rate67.6 #276
6.9 #138Steals per game7.9 #49
4.0 #70Blocks per game2.5 #307
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

SIUE

16-13 in 2025-26 overall · 12-9 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs E Illinois71–77
  • Wvs E Illinois77–50
  • Wvs W Illinois67–47
  • L@ Tennessee St53–80
  • L@ Tennessee Tech52–62

A week or more of rest.

North Dakota

15-17 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Summit League

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs N Dakota St62–70
  • Wvs St Thomas67–66
  • Wvs Denver83–67
  • L@ N Dakota St63–96
  • L@ S Dakota St83–91

A week or more of rest.