1. NCAAB
  2. Tue, Nov 10
  3. VT vs IOWA
NCAAB · Tue, Nov 10

Virginia Tech Hokies vs Iowa Hawkeyes

Tyson Events Center · Neutral site
#68VTVirginia Tech
vs
#43IOWAIowa
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
VTThis seasonIOWA
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IOWA 75–71 · win probability IOWA 67%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 145.9
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IOWA has more of the edges

VT 2, IOWA 3 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 66 possessions: VT plays 69.8 a game (127th fastest), IOWA 63.0 (365th). Faster games mean more points
VTSmall
Free throws
Free throw rate: VT 34.0, IOWA 35.1. Allowed: VT 28.8, IOWA 38.5
VTSmall
Three-pointers
VT hits 35.5% and allows 30.6%; IOWA hits 35.6% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 39.7% and 43.0% of their shots
IOWASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: VT 31.9%, IOWA 30.2%. Defensive: VT 67.4%, IOWA 70.8%
IOWASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: VT 14.9%, IOWA 15.1%. Forced: VT 17.3%, IOWA 20.3%
IOWASmall
VT offense vs IOWA defense
Offense 68th of 366 against a defense 20th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
VT has played the 74th-hardest schedule, IOWA the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: VT 47%, IOWA 61%. Transfers in: VT 8, IOWA 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Shooting
Effective FG%: VT 52.2 and allows 50.9; IOWA 56.4 and allows 52.6
Context
Neutral floor
No home court: the model takes it out of the line
Even
IOWA offense vs VT defense
Offense 69th of 366 against a defense 72nd, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IOWA -4.9—
Total—145.9—
Projected score—VT 70.5 · IOWA 75.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIOWA -2.8—
1H total68.3—
1H projected scoreVT 32.7 · IOWA 35.5—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Virginia Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Virginia Tech 1, Iowa 0, even 4
Virginia TechBetterIowa
G E. Copeland TR14.5 pts · 3.7 reb · 2.1 ast Score 67
Even
G K. Combs6.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 54
G B. Hammond13.2 pts · 2.3 reb · 3.2 ast Score 89
Even
G T. Coleman TR10 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.7 ast Score 82
G I. Elohim TR12.2 pts · 4.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 71
Even
F C. Koch7.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 57
G T. Johnson8 pts · 4.5 reb · 1.6 ast Score 77
Even
F C. Manyawu6.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
F A. Hansberry14.3 pts · 7.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 92
VTSmall
C A. McKeever TR8.3 pts · 9.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 77
Virginia TechBetterIowa
VT offense68th of 366 · +1.8
Even
IOWA defense20th of 366 · +5.4
VT defense72nd of 366 · +0.8
Even
IOWA offense69th of 366 · +1.8
Backcourt+4.7 · 4 players
VTBig
Backcourt+0.9 · 2 players
Frontcourt+3.8 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt+4.1 · 3 players
Bench+1.5 · 5 players
Even
Bench+2.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestVT betterIOWA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Virginia Tech
Guards
E. Copeland32 min · TRB. Hammond32 minI. Elohim29 min · TRT. Johnson26 minJ. Curry24 min · TRB. Johnson21 min · TR
Forwards
A. Hansberry31 minM. Heide19 min · TRK. Atak14 min · TRS. Jones7 min
Centers
M. Sagnia12 min · TRS. DavisNew
Iowa
Guards
K. Combs26 minT. Coleman23 min · TRI. Howard18 minT. Sage16 minJ. Koch2 minP. McCollumNew
Forwards
C. Koch28 minC. Manyawu19 minJ. Matteoni4 minT. ThompsonNew
Centers
A. McKeever23 min · TRT. Jirak8 min
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
VTIOWA
Scoring
78.8 #85Points per game74.5 #177
1.13 #89Points per possession1.18 #28
69.8 #127Pace (possessions)63.0 #365
Shooting
52.2 #134Effective FG%56.4 #17
35.5 #883-point %35.6 #85
39.7 #1793-point attempt rate43.0 #117
34.0 #209Free throw rate35.1 #176
Possessions
14.9 #60Turnover rate15.1 #75
31.9 #129Offensive rebound rate30.2 #192
14.4 #122Assists per game15.0 #88
Defense
74.9 #184Points allowed66.3 #16
1.07 #141Points allowed per possession1.05 #91
50.9 #147Opponent effective FG%52.6 #245
30.6 #26Opponent 3-point %33.3 #143
17.3 #131Turnovers forced20.3 #17
67.4 #284Defensive rebound rate70.8 #119
6.4 #187Steals per game6.8 #140
3.2 #190Blocks per game1.9 #349
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Virginia Tech

19-13 in 2025-26 overall · 8-11 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Wake Forest89–95
  • L@ Virginia72–76
  • Wvs Boston College72–63
  • L@ North Carolina82–89
  • Wvs Wake Forest82–63

A week or more of rest.

Iowa

24-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois59–71
  • Wvs Nebraska77–71
  • Wvs Florida73–72
  • Wvs Clemson67–61
  • Lvs Ohio State69–72

A week or more of rest.