1. NCAAB
  2. Fri, Nov 20
  3. IOWA @ XAV
NCAAB · Fri, Nov 20

Iowa Hawkeyes at Xavier Musketeers

Cintas Center · at Xavier
#43IOWAIowa
@
#49XAVXavier
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
IOWAThis seasonXAV
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects XAV 76–76 · win probability XAV 50%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
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model 151.3
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IOWA has more of the edges

IOWA 4, XAV 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
Context
Tempo
About 67 possessions: IOWA plays 63.0 a game (365th fastest), XAV 71.8 (44th). Faster games mean more points
IOWASmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: IOWA 56.4 and allows 52.6; XAV 51.8 and allows 54.1
IOWASmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: IOWA 15.1%, XAV 14.0%. Forced: IOWA 20.3%, XAV 15.5%
IOWASmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: IOWA 61%, XAV 14%. Transfers in: IOWA 2, XAV 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
IOWASmall
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: IOWA 30.2%, XAV 26.5%. Defensive: IOWA 70.8%, XAV 70.5%
XAVSmall
Home court
XAV at home. This season: XAV 0-0 at home, IOWA 0-0 away
Even
Three-pointers
IOWA hits 35.6% and allows 33.3%; XAV hits 36.5% and allows 34.8%. Threes are 43.0% and 40.6% of their shots
Even
IOWA offense vs XAV defense
Offense 69th of 366 against a defense 89th, on the model’s ratings
Even
XAV offense vs IOWA defense
Offense 31st of 366 against a defense 20th, on the model’s ratings
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: IOWA 35.1, XAV 28.1. Allowed: IOWA 38.5, XAV 32.6
Context
Schedule so far
IOWA has played the 30th-hardest schedule, XAV the 34th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—IOWA -0.1—
Total—151.3—
Projected score—IOWA 75.7 · XAV 75.6

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadIOWA -0.2—
1H total70.8—
1H projected scoreIOWA 35.5 · XAV 35.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

The starting fives are even

Position by position: Iowa 1, Xavier 1, even 3
IowaBetterXavier
G K. Combs6.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 54
XAVBig
G C. Westry TR15.3 pts · 3.7 reb · 5.6 ast Score 97
G T. Coleman TR10 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.7 ast Score 82
Even
G T. Washington TR11.9 pts · 4 reb · 1.8 ast Score 82
F C. Koch7.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 57
Even
F N. Chitikoudis TR11.1 pts · 7.7 reb · 1.8 ast Score 66
F C. Manyawu6.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90
IOWASmall
F J. Milicevic12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.4 ast Score 75
C A. McKeever TR8.3 pts · 9.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 77
Even
F R. Aligbe TR9.4 pts · 7.6 reb · 0.7 ast Score 74
IowaBetterXavier
IOWA offense69th of 366 · +1.8
Even
XAV defense89th of 366 · -0.2
IOWA defense20th of 366 · +5.4
Even
XAV offense31st of 366 · +6.0
Backcourt+0.9 · 2 players
XAVBig
Backcourt+6.0 · 2 players
Frontcourt+4.1 · 3 players
IOWASmall
Frontcourt+3.1 · 3 players
Bench+2.0 · 5 players
XAVBig
Bench+5.4 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestIOWA betterXAV betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Iowa
Guards
K. Combs26 minT. Coleman23 min · TRI. Howard18 minT. Sage16 minJ. Koch2 minP. McCollumNew
Forwards
C. Koch28 minC. Manyawu19 minJ. Matteoni4 minT. ThompsonNew
Centers
A. McKeever23 min · TRT. Jirak8 min
Xavier
Guards
C. Westry31 min · TRT. Washington28 min · TRR. Dominguez23 min · TRB. Appelhans13 min · TRM. Wolf2 minK. HouseNew
Forwards
N. Chitikoudis27 min · TRJ. Milicevic26 minR. Aligbe25 min · TRM. Nwoko22 min · TRH. Thole1 minG. PozzatoNew
Centers
K. WestphalNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
IOWAXAV
Scoring
74.5 #177Points per game78.4 #91
1.18 #28Points per possession1.09 #149
63.0 #365Pace (possessions)71.8 #44
Shooting
56.4 #17Effective FG%51.8 #155
35.6 #853-point %36.5 #39
43.0 #1173-point attempt rate40.6 #156
35.1 #176Free throw rate28.1 #341
Possessions
15.1 #75Turnover rate14.0 #21
30.2 #192Offensive rebound rate26.5 #311
15.0 #88Assists per game17.4 #15
Defense
66.3 #16Points allowed80.6 #329
1.05 #91Points allowed per possession1.12 #276
52.6 #245Opponent effective FG%54.1 #302
33.3 #143Opponent 3-point %34.8 #237
20.3 #17Turnovers forced15.5 #253
70.8 #119Defensive rebound rate70.5 #136
6.8 #140Steals per game6.5 #181
1.9 #349Blocks per game4.0 #77
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Iowa

24-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Illinois59–71
  • Wvs Nebraska77–71
  • Wvs Florida73–72
  • Wvs Clemson67–61
  • Lvs Ohio State69–72

A week or more of rest.

Xavier

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 7-15 in conference · Big East Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs UConn68–93
  • Wvs Marquette89–87
  • L@ Villanova78–91
  • Lvs Seton Hall68–77
  • Wvs Georgetown91–84

A week or more of rest.