Prairie View A&M Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 28, 12:00 AM ETCarver-Hawkeye Arena · at Iowa

#43IOWAIowa

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: Prairie View and Iowa
PV	This season	IOWA
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects IOWA 88–57 · win probability IOWA 100%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 145.3

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: IOWA has more of the edges

PV 0, IOWA 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

Context

Schedule so far

PV has played the 331st-hardest schedule, IOWA the 30th. A record against a soft schedule means less

IOWABig

PV offense vs IOWA defense

Offense 310th of 366 against a defense 20th, on the model’s ratings

IOWABig

IOWA offense vs PV defense

Offense 69th of 366 against a defense 359th, on the model’s ratings

Context

Tempo

About 68 possessions: PV plays 72.7 a game (20th fastest), IOWA 63.0 (365th). Faster games mean more points

IOWABig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: PV 26.7%, IOWA 30.2%. Defensive: PV 64.6%, IOWA 70.8%

IOWABig

Three-pointers

PV hits 32.9% and allows 35.0%; IOWA hits 35.6% and allows 33.3%. Threes are 30.6% and 43.0% of their shots

IOWASmall

Shooting

Effective FG%: PV 47.4 and allows 50.9; IOWA 56.4 and allows 52.6

IOWASmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: PV 6%, IOWA 61%. Transfers in: PV 5, IOWA 2. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

IOWASmall

Home court

IOWA at home. This season: IOWA 0-0 at home, PV 0-0 away

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: PV 41.6, IOWA 35.1. Allowed: PV 42.6, IOWA 38.5

Even

Turnovers

Turnover rate: PV 15.8%, IOWA 15.1%. Forced: PV 19.0%, IOWA 20.3%

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	IOWA -31.5	—
Total	—	145.3	—
Projected score	—	PV 56.9 · IOWA 88.4

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	IOWA -18.6	—
1H total	68.0	—
1H projected score	PV 24.7 · IOWA 43.3	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
PV WWWWL	23-10	70%	11-5	—
IOWA LWWWL	21-16	57%	11-7	—

Venue/role: PV away; IOWA home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
PV UUUUO	13-20	39%	15-18
IOWA OUUOU	20-17	54%	24-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
PV	8-2 80%	9-1 90%	2-8 20%
IOWA	5-5 50%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

Prairie View

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 9	@ PEPP	No recent meeting
Dec 11	@ USD	No recent meeting

Iowa

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 1	@ PUR	L57–78LU
Dec 7	vs IU	W74–57WU
Dec 10	vs ISU	L62–66WU

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Prairie View

33 games played

Straight up

15-18

45% wins

Against the spread

23-10

70% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line

Over / Under

13-20

39% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total

Straight up

15-1845%

L L L L W L L L L L W W W L L L L W L L L W W L W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

23-1070%

L W W W L W L W W W W L W L L L L W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

13-2039%

O U U U O U O O O U O U U U U O U O O O O U U O U U U U U U U U O

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@WICH	L 62-105	+20.5	L −22.5	156.5	O 167
Nov 12	@OKST	L 67-94	+30.5	W +3.5	168.5	U 161
Nov 17	@MIZ	L 73-91	+35.5	W +17.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 22	vsUTM	L 68-69	+10.5	W +9.5	155.5	U 137
Nov 23	vsUNF	W 85-82	-3.5	L −0.5	160.5	O 167
Nov 30	@UNT	L 69-72	+16.5	W +13.5	141.5	U 141
Dec 13	@SDAK	L 85-97	+6.5	L −5.5	168.5	O 182
Dec 22	@LSU	L 90-104	+29.5	W +15.5	161.5	O 194
Dec 29	@TA&M	L 82-111	+29.5	W +0.5	177.5	O 193
Jan 3	@GRAM	L 72-76	+7.5	W +3.5	155.5	U 148
Jan 5	@SOU	W 89-85	+7.5	W +11.5	160.5	O 174
Jan 10	vsMVSU	W 70-69	-18.5	L −17.5	152.5	U 139
Jan 12	vsUAPB	W 73-61	-3.5	W +8.5	164.5	U 134
Jan 17	@JKST	L 78-82	+1.5	L −2.5	160.5	U 160
Jan 19	@ALCN	L 75-76	-2.5	L −3.5	152.5	U 151
Jan 24	vsALST	L 80-95	+1.5	L −13.5	158.5	O 175
Jan 27	vsAAMU	L 60-80	-2.5	L −22.5	152.5	U 140
Jan 31	vsTXSO	W 85-78	+1.5	W +8.5	157.5	O 163
Feb 7	@BCU	L 76-82	+10.5	W +4.5	157.5	O 158
Feb 9	@FAMU	L 96-100	+3.5	L −0.5	149.5	O 196
Feb 14	vsSOU	L 82-87	+5.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 169
Feb 16	vsGRAM	W 68-63	+1.5	W +6.5	151.5	U 131
Feb 19	@MVSU	W 72-62	-8.5	W +1.5	153.5	U 134
Feb 21	@UAPB	L 82-84	+3.5	W +1.5	159.5	O 166
Feb 26	vsJKST	W 85-76	-3.5	W +5.5	161.5	U 161
Feb 28	vsALCN	W 72-51	-4.5	W +16.5	150.5	U 123
Mar 5	@TXSO	W 70-59	+1.5	W +12.5	154.5	U 129
Mar 10	vsALCN	W 65-56	-6.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 121
Mar 11	vsBCU	W 71-67	+5.5	W +9.5	147.5	U 138
Mar 13	vsAAMU	W 74-55	+1.5	W +20.5	140.5	U 129
Mar 14	vsSOU	W 72-66	+3.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 138
Mar 18	vsLEH	W 67-55	+3.5	W +15.5	140.5	U 122
Mar 20	vsFLA	L 55-114	+35.5	L −23.5	154.5	O 169

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

−22.5

OKST

L 67-94

+3.5

MIZ

L 73-91

+17.5

UTM

L 68-69

+9.5

UNF

W 85-82

−0.5

UNT

L 69-72

+13.5

SDAK

L 85-97

−5.5

LSU

L 90-104

+15.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+0.5

GRAM

L 72-76

+3.5

SOU

W 89-85

+11.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−17.5

UAPB

W 73-61

+8.5

JKST

L 78-82

−2.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−3.5

ALST

L 80-95

−13.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−22.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+8.5

BCU

L 76-82

+4.5

FAMU

L 96-100

−0.5

SOU

L 82-87

+0.5

GRAM

W 68-63

+6.5

MVSU

W 72-62

+1.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+1.5

JKST

W 85-76

+5.5

ALCN

W 72-51

+16.5

TXSO

W 70-59

+12.5

ALCN

W 65-56

+2.5

BCU

W 71-67

+9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

+20.5

SOU

W 72-66

+9.5

LEH

W 67-55

+15.5

FLA

L 55-114

−23.5

covered 23didn’t cover 10avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

WICH

L 62-105

+10.5

OKST

L 67-94

−7.5

MIZ

L 73-91

−2.5

UTM

L 68-69

−18.5

UNF

W 85-82

+6.5

UNT

L 69-72

−0.5

SDAK

L 85-97

+13.5

LSU

L 90-104

+32.5

TA&M

L 82-111

+15.5

GRAM

L 72-76

−7.5

SOU

W 89-85

+13.5

MVSU

W 70-69

−13.5

UAPB

W 73-61

−30.5

JKST

L 78-82

−0.5

ALCN

L 75-76

−1.5

ALST

L 80-95

+16.5

AAMU

L 60-80

−12.5

TXSO

W 85-78

+5.5

BCU

L 76-82

+0.5

FAMU

L 96-100

+46.5

SOU

L 82-87

+9.5

GRAM

W 68-63

−20.5

MVSU

W 72-62

−19.5

UAPB

L 82-84

+6.5

JKST

W 85-76

−0.5

ALCN

W 72-51

−27.5

TXSO

W 70-59

−25.5

ALCN

W 65-56

−21.5

BCU

W 71-67

−9.5

AAMU

W 74-55

−11.5

SOU

W 72-66

−7.5

LEH

W 67-55

−18.5

FLA

L 55-114

+14.5

over 13under 20avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Iowa

37 games played

Straight up

24-13

65% wins

Against the spread

21-16

57% covers · avg +1.1 pts vs the line

Over / Under

20-17

54% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total

Straight up

24-1365%

W W W W W W W L W L W W W W L L L W W W W W W L L W L W L L L W L W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

21-1657%

W L W W W W W L W W W W L W L L W W L L W W L L L W L W L W L L L W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

20-1754%

O U U O O O U U O U O U O U O O O U U O O O O O U U O U U U O O O U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsRMU	W 101-69	-22.5	W +9.5	136.5	O 170
Nov 7	vsWIU	W 77-58	-30.5	L −11.5	145.5	U 135
Nov 14	vsXAV	W 81-62	-15.5	W +3.5	143.5	U 143
Nov 18	vsSEMO	W 99-70	-23.5	W +5.5	147.5	O 169
Nov 20	vsCHST	W 93-54	-31.5	W +7.5	142.5	O 147
Nov 25	vsMISS	W 74-69	-4.5	W +0.5	140.5	O 143
Nov 26	vsGCU	W 59-46	-8.5	W +4.5	143.5	U 105
Dec 2	@MSU	L 52-71	+5.5	L −13.5	133.5	U 123
Dec 6	vsMD	W 83-64	-10.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 147
Dec 11	@ISU	L 62-66	+11.5	W +7.5	141.5	U 128
Dec 14	vsWMU	W 91-51	-25.5	W +14.5	137.5	O 142
Dec 20	vsBUCK	W 94-39	-25.5	W +29.5	133.5	U 133
Dec 29	vsUML	W 90-62	-33.5	L −5.5	145.5	O 152
Jan 3	vsUCLA	W 74-61	-6.5	W +6.5	140.5	U 135
Jan 6	@MINN	L 67-70	-4.5	L −7.5	130.5	O 137
Jan 11	vsILL	L 69-75	+1.5	L −4.5	142.5	O 144
Jan 14	@PUR	L 72-79	+10.5	W +3.5	145.5	O 151
Jan 17	@IU	W 74-57	+3.5	W +20.5	146.5	U 131
Jan 20	vsRUTG	W 68-62	-17.5	L −11.5	140.5	U 130
Jan 28	vsUSC	W 73-72	-9.5	L −8.5	141.5	O 145
Feb 1	@ORE	W 84-66	-9.5	W +8.5	133.5	O 150
Feb 4	@WASH	W 84-74	-2.5	W +7.5	141.5	O 158
Feb 8	vsNU	W 76-70	-10.5	L −4.5	139.5	O 146
Feb 11	@MD	L 70-77	-10.5	L −17.5	138.5	O 147
Feb 14	vsPUR	L 57-78	+2.5	L −18.5	142.5	U 135
Feb 17	vsNEB	W 57-52	-1.5	W +3.5	139.5	U 109
Feb 22	@WIS	L 71-84	+2.5	L −10.5	147.5	O 155
Feb 25	vsOSU	W 74-57	-6.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 131
Feb 28	@PSU	L 69-71	-9.5	L −11.5	143.5	U 140
Mar 5	vsMICH	L 68-71	+9.5	W +6.5	146.5	U 139
Mar 8	@NEB	L 75-84	+4.5	L −4.5	136.5	O 159
Mar 11	vsMD	W 75-64	-11.5	L −0.5	133.5	O 139
Mar 12	vsOSU	L 69-72	-1.5	L −4.5	140.5	O 141
Mar 20	vsCLEM	W 67-61	-1.5	W +4.5	130.5	U 128
Mar 22	vsFLA	W 73-72	+10.5	W +11.5	145.5	U 145
Mar 26	vsNEB	W 77-71	+1.5	W +7.5	131.5	O 148
Mar 28	vsILL	L 59-71	+6.5	L −5.5	138.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

RMU

W 101-69

+9.5

WIU

W 77-58

−11.5

XAV

W 81-62

+3.5

SEMO

W 99-70

+5.5

CHST

W 93-54

+7.5

MISS

W 74-69

+0.5

GCU

W 59-46

+4.5

MSU

L 52-71

−13.5

W 83-64

+8.5

ISU

L 62-66

+7.5

WMU

W 91-51

+14.5

BUCK

W 94-39

+29.5

UML

W 90-62

−5.5

UCLA

W 74-61

+6.5

MINN

L 67-70

−7.5

ILL

L 69-75

−4.5

PUR

L 72-79

+3.5

W 74-57

+20.5

RUTG

W 68-62

−11.5

USC

W 73-72

−8.5

ORE

W 84-66

+8.5

WASH

W 84-74

+7.5

W 76-70

−4.5

L 70-77

−17.5

PUR

L 57-78

−18.5

NEB

W 57-52

+3.5

WIS

L 71-84

−10.5

OSU

W 74-57

+10.5

PSU

L 69-71

−11.5

MICH

L 68-71

+6.5

NEB

L 75-84

−4.5

W 75-64

−0.5

OSU

L 69-72

−4.5

CLEM

W 67-61

+4.5

FLA

W 73-72

+11.5

NEB

W 77-71

+7.5

ILL

L 59-71

−5.5

covered 21didn’t cover 16avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

RMU

W 101-69

+33.5

WIU

W 77-58

−10.5

XAV

W 81-62

−0.5

SEMO

W 99-70

+21.5

CHST

W 93-54

+4.5

MISS

W 74-69

+2.5

GCU

W 59-46

−38.5

MSU

L 52-71

−10.5

W 83-64

+9.5

ISU

L 62-66

−13.5

WMU

W 91-51

+4.5

BUCK

W 94-39

−0.5

UML

W 90-62

+6.5

UCLA

W 74-61

−5.5

MINN

L 67-70

+6.5

ILL

L 69-75

+1.5

PUR

L 72-79

+5.5

W 74-57

−15.5

RUTG

W 68-62

−10.5

USC

W 73-72

+3.5

ORE

W 84-66

+16.5

WASH

W 84-74

+16.5

W 76-70

+6.5

L 70-77

+8.5

PUR

L 57-78

−7.5

NEB

W 57-52

−30.5

WIS

L 71-84

+7.5

OSU

W 74-57

−10.5

PSU

L 69-71

−3.5

MICH

L 68-71

−7.5

NEB

L 75-84

+22.5

W 75-64

+5.5

OSU

L 69-72

+0.5

CLEM

W 67-61

−2.5

FLA

W 73-72

−0.5

NEB

W 77-71

+16.5

ILL

L 59-71

−8.5

over 20under 17avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Iowa has the better starters

Position by position: Prairie View 1, Iowa 3, even 1

Prairie ViewBetterIowa

G D. Williams TR7.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 14

IOWABig

G K. Combs6.1 pts · 2.4 reb · 2.4 ast Score 54

G M. Eley TR13 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.7 ast Score 98

PVSmall

G T. Coleman TR10 pts · 2.7 reb · 1.7 ast Score 82

G S. Tidor TR4.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 21

IOWABig

F C. Koch7.8 pts · 3.1 reb · 1.1 ast Score 57

G E. Mitchell2.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast Score 7

IOWABig

F C. Manyawu6.6 pts · 4.6 reb · 1.1 ast Score 90

F J. Wharton TR1.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast Not ranked

No call

C A. McKeever TR8.3 pts · 9.1 reb · 1.8 ast Score 77

Prairie ViewBetterIowa

PV offense310th of 366 · -9.7

IOWABig

IOWA defense20th of 366 · +5.4

PV defense359th of 366 · -10.4

IOWABig

IOWA offense69th of 366 · +1.8

Backcourt-2.4 · 4 players

IOWABig

Backcourt+0.9 · 2 players

Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player

IOWABig

Frontcourt+4.1 · 3 players

Bench+0.0 · 1 player

IOWASmall

Bench+2.0 · 5 players

Score, worst to bestPV betterIOWA betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

Prairie View

Guards

D. Williams26 min · TRM. Eley19 min · TRS. Tidor12 min · TRE. Mitchell12 minJ. LeeNewM. BellNew

Forwards

J. Wharton7 min · TRJ. Fazande1 min · TRE. PageNewD. BynumNewB. AjieroNew

Iowa

Guards

K. Combs26 minT. Coleman23 min · TRI. Howard18 minT. Sage16 minJ. Koch2 minP. McCollumNew

Forwards

C. Koch28 minC. Manyawu19 minJ. Matteoni4 minT. ThompsonNew

Centers

A. McKeever23 min · TRT. Jirak8 min

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

PV74.8 #170

IOWA74.5 #177

Points per possession

PV1.03 #286

IOWA1.18 #28

Pace (possessions)

PV72.7 #20

IOWA63.0 #365

Shooting

Effective FG%

PV47.4 #330

IOWA56.4 #17

3-point %

PV32.9 #237

IOWA35.6 #85

3-point attempt rate

PV30.6 #348

IOWA43.0 #117

Free throw rate

PV41.6 #35

IOWA35.1 #176

Possessions

Turnover rate

PV15.8 #122

IOWA15.1 #75

Offensive rebound rate

PV26.7 #305

IOWA30.2 #192

Assists per game

PV10.8 #341

IOWA15.0 #88

Defense

Points allowed

PV78.9 #295

IOWA66.3 #16

Points allowed per possession

PV1.08 #182

IOWA1.05 #91

Opponent effective FG%

PV50.9 #149

IOWA52.6 #245

Opponent 3-point %

PV35.0 #247

IOWA33.3 #143

Turnovers forced

PV19.0 #49

IOWA20.3 #17

Defensive rebound rate

PV64.6 #344

IOWA70.8 #119

Steals per game

PV7.0 #127

IOWA6.8 #140

Blocks per game

PV4.9 #19

IOWA1.9 #349

PV		IOWA
Scoring
74.8 #170	Points per game	74.5 #177
1.03 #286	Points per possession	1.18 #28
72.7 #20	Pace (possessions)	63.0 #365
Shooting
47.4 #330	Effective FG%	56.4 #17
32.9 #237	3-point %	35.6 #85
30.6 #348	3-point attempt rate	43.0 #117
41.6 #35	Free throw rate	35.1 #176
Possessions
15.8 #122	Turnover rate	15.1 #75
26.7 #305	Offensive rebound rate	30.2 #192
10.8 #341	Assists per game	15.0 #88
Defense
78.9 #295	Points allowed	66.3 #16
1.08 #182	Points allowed per possession	1.05 #91
50.9 #149	Opponent effective FG%	52.6 #245
35.0 #247	Opponent 3-point %	33.3 #143
19.0 #49	Turnovers forced	20.3 #17
64.6 #344	Defensive rebound rate	70.8 #119
7.0 #127	Steals per game	6.8 #140
4.9 #19	Blocks per game	1.9 #349

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Prairie View

15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Florida55–114
Wvs Lehigh67–55
Wvs Southern72–66
Wvs Alabama A&M74–55
Wvs Bethune71–67

A week or more of rest.

Iowa

24-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-11 in conference · Big Ten Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Illinois59–71
Wvs Nebraska77–71
Wvs Florida73–72
Wvs Clemson67–61
Lvs Ohio State69–72

A week or more of rest.

Prairie View A&M Panthers at Iowa Hawkeyes

What could decide it: IOWA has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Prairie View

Iowa

Iowa has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

Prairie View

Iowa