Firestone Fieldhouse · at Pepperdine
LineNo line yet
Total—
| This season | PEPP | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects PEPP 84–70 · win probability PEPP 88%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 153.3
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: PEPP has more of the edges
PV 3, PEPP 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
PEPP offense vs PV defense
Offense 139th of 366 against a defense 359th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
PV has played the 331st-hardest schedule, PEPP the 128th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PV 15.8%, PEPP 18.3%. Forced: PV 19.0%, PEPP 16.5%
PV offense vs PEPP defense
Offense 310th of 366 against a defense 216th, on the model’s ratings
Shooting
Effective FG%: PV 47.4 and allows 50.9; PEPP 47.6 and allows 54.2
Free throws
Free throw rate: PV 41.6, PEPP 33.9. Allowed: PV 42.6, PEPP 28.5
Home court
PEPP at home. This season: PEPP 0-0 at home, PV 0-0 away
Three-pointers
PV hits 32.9% and allows 35.0%; PEPP hits 31.4% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 30.6% and 39.2% of their shots
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PV 26.7%, PEPP 29.1%. Defensive: PV 64.6%, PEPP 66.0%
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: PV plays 72.7 a game (20th fastest), PEPP 70.0 (117th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PV 6%, PEPP 5%. Transfers in: PV 5, PEPP 7. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | PEPP -13.6 | — |
| Total | — | 153.3 | — |
| Projected score | — | PV 69.8 · PEPP 83.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PEPP -8.0 | — |
| 1H total | 71.7 | — |
| 1H projected score | PV 31.8 · PEPP 39.8 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 9-1 90% | 2-8 20% | |
| 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 9-1 90% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Prairie View
33 games played
Straight up
15-18
45% wins
Against the spread
23-10
70% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-20
39% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ | L 62-105 | +20.5 | L −22.5 | 156.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 67-94 | +30.5 | W +3.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 17 | @ | L 73-91 | +35.5 | W +17.5 | 166.5 | U 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 68-69 | +10.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs | W 85-82 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 30 | @ | L 69-72 | +16.5 | W +13.5 | 141.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 85-97 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 168.5 | O 182 |
| Dec 22 | @ | L 90-104 | +29.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 82-111 | +29.5 | W +0.5 | 177.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 72-76 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 155.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 5 | @ | W 89-85 | +7.5 | W +11.5 | 160.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 10 | vs | W 70-69 | -18.5 | L −17.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vs | W 73-61 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 164.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 78-82 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 160 |
| Jan 19 | @ | L 75-76 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 24 | vs | L 80-95 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 158.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 27 | vs | L 60-80 | -2.5 | L −22.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 85-78 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 76-82 | +10.5 | W +4.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 9 | @ | L 96-100 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 196 |
| Feb 14 | vs | L 82-87 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 159.5 | O 169 |
| Feb 16 | vs | W 68-63 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 151.5 | U 131 |
| Feb 19 | @ | W 72-62 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 82-84 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 26 | vs | W 85-76 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | U 161 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 72-51 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 5 | @ | W 70-59 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 154.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 10 | vs | W 65-56 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Mar 11 | vs | W 71-67 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 13 | vs | W 74-55 | +1.5 | W +20.5 | 140.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 14 | vs | W 72-66 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 18 | vs | W 67-55 | +3.5 | W +15.5 | 140.5 | U 122 |
| Mar 20 | vs | L 55-114 | +35.5 | L −23.5 | 154.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@
WICH
L 62-105
−22.5
12
@
OKST
L 67-94
+3.5
17
@
MIZ
L 73-91
+17.5
22
vs
UTM
L 68-69
+9.5
23
vs
UNF
W 85-82
−0.5
30
@
UNT
L 69-72
+13.5
13
@
SDAK
L 85-97
−5.5
22
@
LSU
L 90-104
+15.5
29
@
TA&M
L 82-111
+0.5
3
@
GRAM
L 72-76
+3.5
5
@
SOU
W 89-85
+11.5
10
vs
MVSU
W 70-69
−17.5
12
vs
UAPB
W 73-61
+8.5
17
@
JKST
L 78-82
−2.5
19
@
ALCN
L 75-76
−3.5
24
vs
ALST
L 80-95
−13.5
27
vs
AAMU
L 60-80
−22.5
31
vs
TXSO
W 85-78
+8.5
7
@
BCU
L 76-82
+4.5
9
@
FAMU
L 96-100
−0.5
14
vs
SOU
L 82-87
+0.5
16
vs
GRAM
W 68-63
+6.5
19
@
MVSU
W 72-62
+1.5
21
@
UAPB
L 82-84
+1.5
26
vs
JKST
W 85-76
+5.5
28
vs
ALCN
W 72-51
+16.5
5
@
TXSO
W 70-59
+12.5
10
vs
ALCN
W 65-56
+2.5
11
vs
BCU
W 71-67
+9.5
13
vs
AAMU
W 74-55
+20.5
14
vs
SOU
W 72-66
+9.5
18
vs
LEH
W 67-55
+15.5
20
vs
FLA
L 55-114
−23.5
covered 23didn’t cover 10avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@
WICH
L 62-105
+10.5
12
@
OKST
L 67-94
−7.5
17
@
MIZ
L 73-91
−2.5
22
vs
UTM
L 68-69
−18.5
23
vs
UNF
W 85-82
+6.5
30
@
UNT
L 69-72
−0.5
13
@
SDAK
L 85-97
+13.5
22
@
LSU
L 90-104
+32.5
29
@
TA&M
L 82-111
+15.5
3
@
GRAM
L 72-76
−7.5
5
@
SOU
W 89-85
+13.5
10
vs
MVSU
W 70-69
−13.5
12
vs
UAPB
W 73-61
−30.5
17
@
JKST
L 78-82
−0.5
19
@
ALCN
L 75-76
−1.5
24
vs
ALST
L 80-95
+16.5
27
vs
AAMU
L 60-80
−12.5
31
vs
TXSO
W 85-78
+5.5
7
@
BCU
L 76-82
+0.5
9
@
FAMU
L 96-100
+46.5
14
vs
SOU
L 82-87
+9.5
16
vs
GRAM
W 68-63
−20.5
19
@
MVSU
W 72-62
−19.5
21
@
UAPB
L 82-84
+6.5
26
vs
JKST
W 85-76
−0.5
28
vs
ALCN
W 72-51
−27.5
5
@
TXSO
W 70-59
−25.5
10
vs
ALCN
W 65-56
−21.5
11
vs
BCU
W 71-67
−9.5
13
vs
AAMU
W 74-55
−11.5
14
vs
SOU
W 72-66
−7.5
18
vs
LEH
W 67-55
−18.5
20
vs
FLA
L 55-114
+14.5
over 13under 20avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pepperdine
30 games played
Straight up
7-23
23% wins
Against the spread
14-16
47% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-15
50% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ | L 63-74 | +29.5 | W +18.5 | 152.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 81-88 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 18 | vs | W 90-79 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 60-63 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 53-76 | +2.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 29 | @ | L 69-83 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 63-71 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs | L 56-65 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 70-62 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 78-81 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs | W 84-62 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 28 | vs | L 56-96 | +29.5 | L −10.5 | 152.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 30 | vs | L 45-72 | +19.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 2 | @ | L 63-82 | +20.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 69-74 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 138.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 8 | @ | L 63-83 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 60-80 | +7.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 14 | vs | W 67-63 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 21 | @ | L 60-84 | +28.5 | W +4.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 24 | @ | L 79-95 | +11.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 88-92 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 4 | @ | L 81-83 | +12.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 164 |
| Feb 7 | vs | L 59-92 | +7.5 | L −25.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 11 | @ | L 60-88 | +24.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 90-89 | +5.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Feb 18 | @ | W 95-87 | +7.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 73-83 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 25 | vs | L 80-87 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 28 | vs | W 88-79 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 158.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 5 | vs | L 68-77 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@
UCLA
L 63-74
+18.5
15
vs
UNCO
L 81-88
−5.5
18
vs
NOLA
W 90-79
+5.5
21
vs
SFA
L 60-63
−1.5
26
vs
FRES
L 53-76
−20.5
29
@
CSUF
L 69-83
−12.5
2
vs
ACU
L 63-71
−6.5
6
vs
UVM
L 56-65
−7.5
13
@
CSUB
W 70-62
+9.5
18
@
LBSU
L 78-81
+1.5
20
vs
RICE
W 84-62
+23.5
28
vs
GONZ
L 56-96
−10.5
30
vs
SMC
L 45-72
−7.5
2
@
SCU
L 63-82
+1.5
4
@
PAC
L 69-74
+6.5
8
@
USD
L 63-83
−15.5
10
vs
SF
L 60-80
−12.5
14
vs
PORT
W 67-63
+5.5
21
@
GONZ
L 60-84
+4.5
24
@
WSU
L 79-95
−4.5
28
vs
USD
L 88-92
−1.5
4
@
SEA
L 81-83
+10.5
7
vs
PAC
L 59-92
−25.5
11
@
SMC
L 60-88
−3.5
14
vs
LMU
W 90-89
+6.5
18
@
PORT
W 95-87
+15.5
21
@
ORST
L 73-83
−0.5
25
vs
SEA
L 80-87
+0.5
28
vs
WSU
W 88-79
+16.5
5
vs
PORT
L 68-77
−5.5
covered 14didn’t cover 16avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@
UCLA
L 63-74
−15.5
15
vs
UNCO
L 81-88
+15.5
18
vs
NOLA
W 90-79
+11.5
21
vs
SFA
L 60-63
−25.5
26
vs
FRES
L 53-76
−21.5
29
@
CSUF
L 69-83
−9.5
2
vs
ACU
L 63-71
−3.5
6
vs
UVM
L 56-65
−21.5
13
@
CSUB
W 70-62
−15.5
18
@
LBSU
L 78-81
+17.5
20
vs
RICE
W 84-62
+5.5
28
vs
GONZ
L 56-96
−0.5
30
vs
SMC
L 45-72
−24.5
2
@
SCU
L 63-82
−5.5
4
@
PAC
L 69-74
+4.5
8
@
USD
L 63-83
−3.5
10
vs
SF
L 60-80
−0.5
14
vs
PORT
W 67-63
−17.5
21
@
GONZ
L 60-84
−6.5
24
@
WSU
L 79-95
+27.5
28
vs
USD
L 88-92
+28.5
4
@
SEA
L 81-83
+24.5
7
vs
PAC
L 59-92
+8.5
11
@
SMC
L 60-88
+3.5
14
vs
LMU
W 90-89
+31.5
18
@
PORT
W 95-87
+31.5
21
@
ORST
L 73-83
+7.5
25
vs
SEA
L 80-87
+21.5
28
vs
WSU
W 88-79
+8.5
5
vs
PORT
L 68-77
−9.5
over 15under 15avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pepperdine has the better starters
Position by position: Prairie View 0, Pepperdine 3, even 2
Prairie ViewBetterPepperdine
G D. Williams TR7.8 pts · 2.9 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 14
→PEPPBig
G J. Williamson TR10.4 pts · 2 reb · 0.8 ast
Score 58
G M. Eley TR13 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 98
=No call
G W. McClendon TR13.7 pts · 3 reb · 1.3 ast
Not ranked
G S. Tidor TR4.1 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast
Score 21
→PEPPBig
F P. Majstorovic TR14.4 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 78
G E. Mitchell2.4 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 7
→PEPPBig
F Y. Fritz TR9.8 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.5 ast
Score 58
F J. Wharton TR1.8 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.1 ast
Not ranked
=No call
F E. Meuser TR6.1 pts · 5.2 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 39
Prairie ViewBetterPepperdine
PV offense310th of 366 · -9.7
→PEPPSmall
PEPP defense216th of 366 · -5.6
PV defense359th of 366 · -10.4
→PEPPBig
PEPP offense139th of 366 · -4.2
Backcourt-2.4 · 4 players
→PEPPBig
Backcourt+1.6 · 2 players
Frontcourt-0.5 · 1 player
→PEPPSmall
Frontcourt+1.2 · 3 players
Bench+0.0 · 1 player
←PVSmall
Bench-1.6 · 3 players
Score, worst to bestPV betterPEPP betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
D. Williams26 min · TRM. Eley19 min · TRS. Tidor12 min · TRE. Mitchell12 minJ. LeeNewM. BellNew
Forwards
J. Wharton7 min · TRJ. Fazande1 min · TRE. PageNewD. BynumNewB. AjieroNew
Guards
J. Williamson26 min · TRW. McClendon25 min · TRE. Haywood19 min · TRD. Mager10 minA. BalianNewC. ChouNew
Forwards
P. Majstorovic32 min · TRY. Fritz26 min · TRE. Meuser21 min · TRA. Robinson10 min · TRA. ConstanzaNewF. BiberovicNew
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 74.8 #170 | Points per game | 70.4 #277 |
| 1.03 #286 | Points per possession | 1.00 #320 |
| 72.7 #20 | Pace (possessions) | 70.0 #117 |
| Shooting | ||
| 47.4 #330 | Effective FG% | 47.6 #323 |
| 32.9 #237 | 3-point % | 31.4 #310 |
| 30.6 #348 | 3-point attempt rate | 39.2 #187 |
| 41.6 #35 | Free throw rate | 33.9 #216 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.8 #122 | Turnover rate | 18.3 #288 |
| 26.7 #305 | Offensive rebound rate | 29.1 #234 |
| 10.8 #341 | Assists per game | 13.6 #176 |
| Defense | ||
| 78.9 #295 | Points allowed | 79.7 #311 |
| 1.08 #182 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #303 |
| 50.9 #149 | Opponent effective FG% | 54.2 #306 |
| 35.0 #247 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.5 #276 |
| 19.0 #49 | Turnovers forced | 16.5 #184 |
| 64.6 #344 | Defensive rebound rate | 66.0 #318 |
| 7.0 #127 | Steals per game | 5.9 #246 |
| 4.9 #19 | Blocks per game | 2.8 #269 |
Prairie View
15-18 in 2025-26 overall · 13-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Florida55–114
- Wvs Lehigh67–55
- Wvs Southern72–66
- Wvs Alabama A&M74–55
- Wvs Bethune71–67
A week or more of rest.
Pepperdine
7-23 in 2025-26 overall · 4-15 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Portland68–77
- Wvs Washington St88–79
- Lvs Seattle U80–87
- L@ Oregon St73–83
- W@ Portland95–87
A week or more of rest.