Georgia Southern Eagles at Wofford Terriers: Model Line and Edge

Wed, Dec 9, 12:00 AM ETJerry Richardson Indoor Stadium · at Wofford

LineNo line yet

Total—

Season records: GA Southern and Wofford
GASO	This season	WOF
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects WOF 80–74 · win probability WOF 68%

Pick this game

Your picksMy picks ›

Winner

Line

—

no line yet

Total

—

model 154.1

Model edge

—

No market line yet

Public

—

No split yet for this game

The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: WOF has more of the edges

GASO 1, WOF 4 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games

WOFBig

Rebounding

Offensive rebound rate: GASO 28.8%, WOF 29.8%. Defensive: GASO 64.8%, WOF 71.0%

WOFSmall

WOF offense vs GASO defense

Offense 241st of 366 against a defense 347th, on the model’s ratings

GASOSmall

Turnovers

Turnover rate: GASO 14.7%, WOF 13.4%. Forced: GASO 18.7%, WOF 15.0%

Context

Tempo

About 70 possessions: GASO plays 71.8 a game (42nd fastest), WOF 68.7 (198th). Faster games mean more points

WOFSmall

Home court

WOF at home. This season: WOF 0-0 at home, GASO 0-0 away

WOFSmall

Who is back

Minutes back from last season: GASO 16%, WOF 43%. Transfers in: GASO 3, WOF 1. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price

Even

GASO offense vs WOF defense

Offense 233rd of 366 against a defense 258th, on the model’s ratings

Even

Three-pointers

GASO hits 33.4% and allows 34.4%; WOF hits 35.0% and allows 36.4%. Threes are 48.9% and 43.1% of their shots

Even

Shooting

Effective FG%: GASO 51.4 and allows 52.3; WOF 52.5 and allows 53.8

Context

Schedule so far

GASO has played the 279th-hardest schedule, WOF the 283rd. A record against a soft schedule means less

Even

Free throws

Free throw rate: GASO 39.6, WOF 36.2. Allowed: GASO 41.4, WOF 36.9

Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge
Spread	—	WOF -5.5	—
Total	—	154.1	—
Projected score	—	GASO 74.3 · WOF 79.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WOF -3.1	—
1H total	72.0	—
1H projected score	GASO 34.4 · WOF 37.6	—

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2025-26 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
GASO WWWWL	17-17	50%	7-7	—
WOF LLWLL	15-15	50%	6-7	—

Venue/role: GASO away; WOF home. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2025-26 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
GASO UOOUU	19-15	56%	19-16
WOF UUUOU	15-15	50%	17-13

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
GASO	6-4 60%	6-4 60%	5-5 50%
WOF	4-6 40%	3-7 30%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Next 3 games

With how the last meeting with each opponent went

GA Southern

Date	Game	Last meeting
Dec 12	vs UNCW	L84–92LO

Wofford

No more games listed yet.

Last meeting: result, against the spread, over / under. Hover a result for its date.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

GASO 1–1 WOFSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · GASO 1-1 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 10, 2022-23	WOF 57 @ GASO 79	GASO +5.5	GASO W
Nov 21, 2021-22	GASO 52 @ WOF 70	WOF -7	WOF W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

GA Southern

35 games played

Straight up

19-16

54% wins

Against the spread

17-17

50% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

19-15

56% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

19-1654%

L W W L L L L W W W W W W W W L W L L L W L L L W L L L W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

17-1750%

W L W W L L L W W L W W W W W L L L L L–L L L W L L L W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

19-1556%

O O O U U U U U O O O U O O O O O U U O–U U O O U O U O O U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@ECU	L 89-92	+5.5	W +2.5	151.5	O 181
Nov 8	vsUNCA	W 93-90	-5.5	L −2.5	162.5	O 183
Nov 11	@FGCU	W 95-94	+3.5	W +4.5	163.5	O 189
Nov 18	@GT	L 66-68	+10.5	W +8.5	164.5	U 134
Nov 21	@FSU	L 72-98	+18.5	L −7.5	175.5	U 170
Nov 24	vsYSU	L 61-67	+1.5	L −4.5	163.5	U 128
Nov 25	vsUTSA	L 64-77	-3.5	L −16.5	160.5	U 141
Nov 29	vsHCU	W 80-62	-7.5	W +10.5	148.5	U 142
Dec 3	vsLT	W 77-69	-1.5	W +6.5	145.5	O 146
Dec 6	@GWEB	W 88-84	-10.5	L −6.5	162.5	O 172
Dec 13	@WGA	W 91-85	-3.5	W +2.5	154.5	O 176
Dec 18	vsGAST	W 90-67	-9.5	W +13.5	159.5	U 157
Dec 20	vsJMU	W 96-92	-2.5	W +1.5	153.5	O 188
Jan 1	@CCU	W 82-81	+1.5	W +2.5	157.5	O 163
Jan 3	@ODU	W 93-86	-1.5	W +5.5	161.5	O 179
Jan 10	@USA	L 71-87	+2.5	L −13.5	148.5	O 158
Jan 15	vsODU	W 87-84	-5.5	L −2.5	162.5	O 171
Jan 17	vsCCU	L 75-79	-6.5	L −10.5	157.5	U 154
Jan 22	vsARST	L 68-85	+1.5	L −15.5	172.5	U 153
Jan 24	vsTROY	L 78-83	+4.5	L −0.5	159.5	O 161
Jan 30	vsULM	W 79-76	—	—	—	—
Jan 31	@UL	L 60-69	-2.5	L −11.5	144.5	U 129
Feb 4	vsTXST	L 71-77	-4.5	L −10.5	151.5	U 148
Feb 11	vsAPP	L 65-81	+1.5	L −14.5	143.5	O 146
Feb 14	vsMRSH	W 101-87	+2.5	W +16.5	162.5	O 188
Feb 19	@GAST	L 64-66	-1.5	L −3.5	154.5	U 130
Feb 21	@APP	L 74-89	+7.5	L −7.5	147.5	O 163
Feb 25	@JMU	L 66-82	+5.5	L −10.5	153.5	U 148
Feb 27	@MRSH	W 99-82	+7.5	W +24.5	168.5	O 181
Mar 4	vsODU	W 88-84	-2.5	W +1.5	157.5	O 172
Mar 5	vsARST	W 80-77	+7.5	W +10.5	165.5	U 157
Mar 6	vsUSA	W 94-85	+4.5	W +13.5	149.5	O 179
Mar 7	vsCCU	W 96-72	+1.5	W +25.5	151.5	O 168
Mar 8	vsMRSH	W 82-78	+2.5	W +6.5	166.5	U 160
Mar 9	vsTROY	L 61-77	+5.5	L −10.5	152.5	U 138

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ECU

L 89-92

+2.5

UNCA

W 93-90

−2.5

FGCU

W 95-94

+4.5

L 66-68

+8.5

FSU

L 72-98

−7.5

YSU

L 61-67

−4.5

UTSA

L 64-77

−16.5

HCU

W 80-62

+10.5

W 77-69

+6.5

GWEB

W 88-84

−6.5

WGA

W 91-85

+2.5

GAST

W 90-67

+13.5

JMU

W 96-92

+1.5

CCU

W 82-81

+2.5

ODU

W 93-86

+5.5

USA

L 71-87

−13.5

ODU

W 87-84

−2.5

CCU

L 75-79

−10.5

ARST

L 68-85

−15.5

TROY

L 78-83

−0.5

L 60-69

−11.5

TXST

L 71-77

−10.5

APP

L 65-81

−14.5

MRSH

W 101-87

+16.5

GAST

L 64-66

−3.5

APP

L 74-89

−7.5

JMU

L 66-82

−10.5

MRSH

W 99-82

+24.5

ODU

W 88-84

+1.5

ARST

W 80-77

+10.5

USA

W 94-85

+13.5

CCU

W 96-72

+25.5

MRSH

W 82-78

+6.5

TROY

L 61-77

−10.5

covered 17didn’t cover 17avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ECU

L 89-92

+29.5

UNCA

W 93-90

+20.5

FGCU

W 95-94

+25.5

L 66-68

−30.5

FSU

L 72-98

−5.5

YSU

L 61-67

−35.5

UTSA

L 64-77

−19.5

HCU

W 80-62

−6.5

W 77-69

+0.5

GWEB

W 88-84

+9.5

WGA

W 91-85

+21.5

GAST

W 90-67

−2.5

JMU

W 96-92

+34.5

CCU

W 82-81

+5.5

ODU

W 93-86

+17.5

USA

L 71-87

+9.5

ODU

W 87-84

+8.5

CCU

L 75-79

−3.5

ARST

L 68-85

−19.5

TROY

L 78-83

+1.5

L 60-69

−15.5

TXST

L 71-77

−3.5

APP

L 65-81

+2.5

MRSH

W 101-87

+25.5

GAST

L 64-66

−24.5

APP

L 74-89

+15.5

JMU

L 66-82

−5.5

MRSH

W 99-82

+12.5

ODU

W 88-84

+14.5

ARST

W 80-77

−8.5

USA

W 94-85

+29.5

CCU

W 96-72

+16.5

MRSH

W 82-78

−6.5

TROY

L 61-77

−14.5

over 19under 15avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Wofford

30 games played

Straight up

17-13

57% wins

Against the spread

15-15

50% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

15-15

50% overs · avg +4.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

17-1357%

L W L W W L W W L W L W W W L L W W W W L W W L L W L W L L

2 straight losses1 of last 4 won

Against the spread

15-1550%

L W L W L L W W L W W W L W L L W W W W L W W L L L L W L L

2 straight misses ATS1 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

15-1550%

U O O O O O O U U U O U O O O U U O U U O U U O O U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@GMU	L 46-70	+14.5	L −9.5	140.5	U 116
Nov 8	vsMILW	W 86-76	+3.5	W +13.5	150.5	O 162
Nov 11	@AUB	L 62-93	+27.5	L −3.5	152.5	O 155
Nov 15	@BELL	W 94-86	-3.5	W +4.5	156.5	O 180
Nov 19	vsUNF	W 86-78	-10.5	L −2.5	161.5	O 164
Nov 26	@NKU	L 83-93	+3.5	L −6.5	149.5	O 176
Nov 29	@EKU	W 83-77	-1.5	W +4.5	153.5	O 160
Dec 3	vsPRES	W 63-56	-4.5	W +2.5	138.5	U 119
Dec 6	vsELON	L 52-73	-4.5	L −25.5	161.5	U 125
Dec 15	@GWEB	W 83-57	-10.5	W +15.5	155.5	U 140
Dec 17	@WICH	L 73-84	+12.5	W +1.5	144.5	O 157
Dec 31	@WCU	W 79-74	-2.5	W +2.5	154.5	U 153
Jan 3	@CIT	W 95-86	-9.5	L −0.5	144.5	O 181
Jan 7	vsUNCG	W 97-85	-7.5	W +4.5	153.5	O 182
Jan 10	@MER	L 97-109	+3.5	L −8.5	156.5	O 206
Jan 14	vsUTC	L 67-76	-5.5	L −14.5	154.5	U 143
Jan 17	@FUR	W 74-70	+4.5	W +8.5	149.5	U 144
Jan 21	vsSAM	W 88-78	-3.5	W +6.5	154.5	O 166
Jan 24	vsMER	W 80-77	+2.5	W +5.5	157.5	U 157
Jan 29	@UTC	W 81-55	+1.5	W +27.5	150.5	U 136
Feb 1	vsETSU	L 72-86	+1.5	L −12.5	146.5	O 158
Feb 4	@VMI	W 81-67	-8.5	W +5.5	149.5	U 148
Feb 7	vsWCU	W 77-66	-3.5	W +7.5	154.5	U 143
Feb 11	@SAM	L 80-97	+6.5	L −10.5	150.5	O 177
Feb 14	@UNCG	L 89-99	-2.5	L −12.5	154.5	O 188
Feb 18	vsVMI	W 82-76	-13.5	L −7.5	158.5	U 158
Feb 21	vsFUR	L 67-76	+1.5	L −7.5	153.5	U 143
Feb 25	@ETSU	W 72-69	+6.5	W +9.5	149.5	U 141
Feb 28	vsCIT	L 90-93	-11.5	L −14.5	148.5	O 183
Mar 7	vsUNCG	L 72-75	-4.5	L −7.5	155.5	U 147

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−9.5

MILW

W 86-76

+13.5

AUB

L 62-93

−3.5

BELL

W 94-86

+4.5

UNF

W 86-78

−2.5

NKU

L 83-93

−6.5

EKU

W 83-77

+4.5

PRES

W 63-56

+2.5

ELON

L 52-73

−25.5

GWEB

W 83-57

+15.5

WICH

L 73-84

+1.5

WCU

W 79-74

+2.5

CIT

W 95-86

−0.5

UNCG

W 97-85

+4.5

MER

L 97-109

−8.5

UTC

L 67-76

−14.5

FUR

W 74-70

+8.5

SAM

W 88-78

+6.5

MER

W 80-77

+5.5

UTC

W 81-55

+27.5

ETSU

L 72-86

−12.5

VMI

W 81-67

+5.5

WCU

W 77-66

+7.5

SAM

L 80-97

−10.5

UNCG

L 89-99

−12.5

VMI

W 82-76

−7.5

FUR

L 67-76

−7.5

ETSU

W 72-69

+9.5

CIT

L 90-93

−14.5

UNCG

L 72-75

−7.5

covered 15didn’t cover 15avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

GMU

L 46-70

−24.5

MILW

W 86-76

+11.5

AUB

L 62-93

+2.5

BELL

W 94-86

+23.5

UNF

W 86-78

+2.5

NKU

L 83-93

+26.5

EKU

W 83-77

+6.5

PRES

W 63-56

−19.5

ELON

L 52-73

−36.5

GWEB

W 83-57

−15.5

WICH

L 73-84

+12.5

WCU

W 79-74

−1.5

CIT

W 95-86

+36.5

UNCG

W 97-85

+28.5

MER

L 97-109

+49.5

UTC

L 67-76

−11.5

FUR

W 74-70

−5.5

SAM

W 88-78

+11.5

MER

W 80-77

−0.5

UTC

W 81-55

−14.5

ETSU

L 72-86

+11.5

VMI

W 81-67

−1.5

WCU

W 77-66

−11.5

SAM

L 80-97

+26.5

UNCG

L 89-99

+33.5

VMI

W 82-76

−0.5

FUR

L 67-76

−10.5

ETSU

W 72-69

−8.5

CIT

L 90-93

+34.5

UNCG

L 72-75

−8.5

over 15under 15avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Wofford has the better starters

Position by position: GA Southern 1, Wofford 2, even 2

GA SouthernBetterWofford

G J. Dixon TR9 pts · 1 reb · 1.5 ast Score 39

GASOSmall

G L. Flynn5.6 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.3 ast Score 10

G D. Williams3.6 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.3 ast Score 10

WOFSmall

G C. Watley9.7 pts · 3.3 reb · 1.2 ast Score 28

G J. Williams1 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.4 ast Not ranked

No call

G C. Arias TR6.9 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.7 ast Score 44

F T. Claytor TR6.5 pts · 1.5 reb · 0.6 ast Score 8

WOFSmall

F B. Sumpter6.6 pts · 4.8 reb · 0.8 ast Score 34

F T. Sotirov2.5 pts · 1.3 reb · 0.3 ast Score 1

No call

F C. Richards3 pts · 2 reb · 0.5 ast Not ranked

GA SouthernBetterWofford

GASO offense233rd of 366 · -7.2

Even

WOF defense258th of 366 · -6.7

GASO defense347th of 366 · -9.4

WOFSmall

WOF offense241st of 366 · -7.3

Backcourt-3.8 · 3 players

GASOSmall

Backcourt-5.7 · 3 players

Frontcourt-3.7 · 2 players

WOFSmall

Frontcourt-1.4 · 2 players

Bench-0.8 · 1 player

Even

Bench-0.2 · 2 players

Score, worst to bestGASO betterWOF betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined

GA Southern

Guards

J. Dixon19 min · TRD. Williams12 minJ. Williams8 minD. GardnerNewA. HendersonNewR. WilliamsNew

Forwards

T. Claytor17 min · TRT. Sotirov11 minE. Smith6 min · TRC. CrissmanNewE. SavaneNewE. JamesNew

Wofford

Guards

L. Flynn27 minC. Watley25 minC. Arias18 min · TRD. Miller2 minG. Collins2 minC. LoweNew

Forwards

B. Sumpter23 minC. Richards8 minC. SiskNew

Centers

E. RamseyNew

In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.

Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams

ChartTable

Scoring

Points per game

GASO79.9 #69

WOF78.4 #90

Points per possession

GASO1.12 #109

WOF1.14 #74

Pace (possessions)

GASO71.8 #42

WOF68.7 #198

Shooting

Effective FG%

GASO51.4 #176

WOF52.5 #127

3-point %

GASO33.4 #207

WOF35.0 #119

3-point attempt rate

GASO48.9 #20

WOF43.1 #112

Free throw rate

GASO39.6 #62

WOF36.2 #144

Possessions

Turnover rate

GASO14.7 #49

WOF13.4 #12

Offensive rebound rate

GASO28.8 #238

WOF29.8 #212

Assists per game

GASO10.7 #344

WOF13.8 #161

Defense

Points allowed

GASO80.3 #325

WOF78.6 #282

Points allowed per possession

GASO1.11 #259

WOF1.15 #317

Opponent effective FG%

GASO52.3 #230

WOF53.8 #294

Opponent 3-point %

GASO34.4 #208

WOF36.4 #322

Turnovers forced

GASO18.7 #65

WOF15.0 #291

Defensive rebound rate

GASO64.8 #342

WOF71.0 #101

Steals per game

GASO8.1 #36

WOF5.6 #283

Blocks per game

GASO3.6 #128

WOF3.1 #201

GASO		WOF
Scoring
79.9 #69	Points per game	78.4 #90
1.12 #109	Points per possession	1.14 #74
71.8 #42	Pace (possessions)	68.7 #198
Shooting
51.4 #176	Effective FG%	52.5 #127
33.4 #207	3-point %	35.0 #119
48.9 #20	3-point attempt rate	43.1 #112
39.6 #62	Free throw rate	36.2 #144
Possessions
14.7 #49	Turnover rate	13.4 #12
28.8 #238	Offensive rebound rate	29.8 #212
10.7 #344	Assists per game	13.8 #161
Defense
80.3 #325	Points allowed	78.6 #282
1.11 #259	Points allowed per possession	1.15 #317
52.3 #230	Opponent effective FG%	53.8 #294
34.4 #208	Opponent 3-point %	36.4 #322
18.7 #65	Turnovers forced	15.0 #291
64.8 #342	Defensive rebound rate	71.0 #101
8.1 #36	Steals per game	5.6 #283
3.6 #128	Blocks per game	3.1 #201

From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

GA Southern

19-16 in 2025-26 overall · 13-11 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs Troy61–77
Wvs Marshall82–78
Wvs Coastal96–72
Wvs South Alabama94–85
Wvs Arkansas St80–77

A week or more of rest.

Wofford

17-13 in 2025-26 overall · 11-8 in conference · Southern Conference

Last five, 2025-26

Lvs UNC Greensboro72–75
Lvs The Citadel90–93
W@ ETSU72–69
Lvs Furman67–76
Wvs VMI82–76

A week or more of rest.

Georgia Southern Eagles at Wofford Terriers

What could decide it: WOF has more of the edges

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Next 3 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

GA Southern

Wofford

Wofford has the better starters

Depth chart

Matchup stats

GA Southern

Wofford