1. NCAAB
  2. Wed, Dec 9
  3. KENN @ GAST
NCAAB · Wed, Dec 9

Kennesaw State Owls at Georgia State Panthers

GSU Convocation Center · at Georgia St
#148KENNKennesaw St
@
#208GASTGeorgia St
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
KENNThis seasonGAST
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects KENN 76–74 · win probability KENN 55%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 150.2
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: KENN has more of the edges

KENN 5, GAST 1 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
KENNBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: KENN 35.2%, GAST 27.7%. Defensive: KENN 68.4%, GAST 66.4%
KENNBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: KENN 50.4 and allows 48.3; GAST 44.2 and allows 50.6
KENNSmall
KENN offense vs GAST defense
Offense 126th of 366 against a defense 205th, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
KENN has played the 156th-hardest schedule, GAST the 232nd. A record against a soft schedule means less
Context
Tempo
About 71 possessions: KENN plays 72.4 a game (27th fastest), GAST 69.1 (176th). Faster games mean more points
KENNSmall
Three-pointers
KENN hits 33.4% and allows 33.5%; GAST hits 30.6% and allows 33.1%. Threes are 42.5% and 42.4% of their shots
GASTSmall
Home court
GAST at home. This season: GAST 0-0 at home, KENN 0-0 away
KENNSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: KENN 32%, GAST 4%. Transfers in: KENN 5, GAST 10. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Turnovers
Turnover rate: KENN 16.8%, GAST 15.9%. Forced: KENN 16.0%, GAST 16.4%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: KENN 45.1, GAST 37.2. Allowed: KENN 47.1, GAST 34.9
Even
GAST offense vs KENN defense
Offense 214th of 366 against a defense 193rd, on the model’s ratings
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
—

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—KENN -1.6—
Total—150.2—
Projected score—KENN 75.9 · GAST 74.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadKENN -1.1—
1H total70.2—
1H projected scoreKENN 35.6 · GAST 34.6—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Georgia St has the better starters

Position by position: Kennesaw St 0, Georgia St 2, even 3
Kennesaw StBetterGeorgia St
G J. Hill TR10.1 pts · 3.8 reb · 1.6 ast Score 53
Even
G J. Jackson TR12.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.6 ast Score 51
G K. Rickard5.5 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.9 ast Score 21
GASTSmall
G J. Meyer TR12.4 pts · 3.9 reb · 1.1 ast Score 51
F T. Simpson8 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.6 ast Score 38
Even
G E. Parnell TR11 pts · 2.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 40
F A. Thomas TR8.3 pts · 6.9 reb · 0.6 ast Score 61
Even
F T. Dixon TR9.3 pts · 4.5 reb · 0.5 ast Score 75
F A. Enoh TR4.9 pts · 5.1 reb · 0.8 ast Score 19
GASTSmall
F J. Sirtautas TR5.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.6 ast Score 37
Kennesaw StBetterGeorgia St
KENN offense126th of 366 · -3.4
KENNSmall
GAST defense205th of 366 · -5.0
KENN defense193rd of 366 · -4.6
Even
GAST offense214th of 366 · -6.5
Backcourt-2.3 · 2 players
Even
Backcourt-2.3 · 3 players
Frontcourt-2.5 · 3 players
GASTSmall
Frontcourt+0.3 · 2 players
Bench-0.4 · 4 players
KENNBig
Bench-3.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestKENN betterGAST betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Kennesaw St
Guards
J. Hill31 min · TRK. Rickard20 minC. Beaumont9 min · TRK. Parker6 min · TRB. TousignautNewA. DanielsNew
Forwards
T. Simpson26 minA. Thomas25 min · TRA. Enoh23 min · TRA. Taylor17 minD. Onyirimba2 minK. BerryNew
Georgia St
Guards
J. Jackson33 min · TRJ. Meyer29 min · TRE. Parnell26 min · TRZ. Wilburn17 min · TRA. Smith15 min · TRD. Thomas14 min · TR
Forwards
T. Dixon22 min · TRJ. Sirtautas20 min · TRJ. Fredson-Cole19 min · TRO. WilsonNewK. JacksonNew
Centers
M. Nicholson4 min · TR
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
KENNGAST
Scoring
80.0 #66Points per game68.4 #307
1.11 #122Points per possession0.99 #335
72.4 #27Pace (possessions)69.1 #176
Shooting
50.4 #224Effective FG%44.2 #362
33.4 #2033-point %30.6 #329
42.5 #1273-point attempt rate42.4 #129
45.1 #5Free throw rate37.2 #124
Possessions
16.8 #183Turnover rate15.9 #132
35.2 #44Offensive rebound rate27.7 #278
13.3 #189Assists per game11.1 #334
Defense
78.3 #272Points allowed75.4 #203
1.08 #159Points allowed per possession1.09 #202
48.3 #43Opponent effective FG%50.6 #135
33.5 #154Opponent 3-point %33.1 #132
16.0 #223Turnovers forced16.4 #197
68.4 #234Defensive rebound rate66.4 #312
6.8 #146Steals per game6.7 #149
5.3 #10Blocks per game3.0 #212
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Kennesaw St

18-14 in 2025-26 overall · 13-10 in conference · Conference USA

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Gonzaga64–73
  • Wvs Louisiana Tech71–60
  • Wvs Sam Houston79–73
  • Wvs Western KY96–87
  • L@ New Mexico St76–79

A week or more of rest.

Georgia St

8-22 in 2025-26 overall · 7-12 in conference · Sun Belt Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Louisiana75–84
  • Lvs Old Dominion73–81
  • Lvs Coastal71–76
  • Lvs James Madison65–80
  • Wvs GA Southern66–64

A week or more of rest.