Kennesaw State Owls at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Jan 23, 2:00 PM ETThomas Assembly Center · at Louisiana Tech · Conference game

Final

Closing lineKENN -1.5✓ LT covered by 7.5

Closing total144.5Over by 13.5

Season records: Kennesaw St and Louisiana Tech
KENN	This season	LT
9-7	Record	7-8
9-7	ATS	7-8
9-7	O/U	6-9

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: KENN 75–73 LT · ✗ KENN (57%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
KENN	45	31	76
LT	36	46	82

1st half: KENN 45, LT 36 (KENN by 9). The model had KENN by 1.3 and a total of 69.0 (actual 81).

Team stats

KENN		LT
23-53 43%	Field goals	29-55 53%
7-20 35%	3-pointers	8-16 50%
23-33 70%	Free throws	16-24 67%
30 13 off	Rebounds	34 11 off
12	Assists	10
7	Steals	5
8	Blocks	5
9	Turnovers	11
18	Fouls	20
24	Points in paint	32
8	Fast-break points	9

Players

KENN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Trey Simpson F	38	16	7	0	4-8	3-6
Kaden Rickard G	28	9	3	3	4-10	1-2
RJ Johnson G	27	1	3	4	0-5	0-3
Frankquon Sherman F	26	20	7	1	7-9	2-4
Braedan Lue F	24	12	2	1	3-7	0-0
Bench
Darius Washington III G	29	10	2	3	2-6	1-2
Amir Taylor F	18	6	2	0	2-3	0-0
Jaden Harris G	10	2	0	0	1-5	0-3

Did not play: Eric Holland, Brendan Tousignaut, Dozie Onyirimba, Nigel Thomas, Jamil Miller, Davin Cosby Jr., Perry Smith Jr., Charles Stone, Simeon Cottle, Ramone Seals, Chase Clemmons

LT	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
AJ Bates G	39	10	3	8	3-12	1-4
DJ Dudley G	30	20	1	2	8-12	4-6
Avery Thomas II F	30	10	6	0	2-2	1-1
Melian Martinez C	18	6	6	0	3-3	0-0
Jaylen Fenner G	11	3	2	0	1-1	1-1
Bench
Scooter Williams G	31	28	4	0	10-19	1-3
Will Allen F	19	3	4	0	1-4	0-1
Sir Issac Herron F	12	2	0	0	1-1	0-0
Kylan Howze F	10	0	4	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: A'Meir Williams, Jermaurhiyun Anderson, Keegan Rowell, Lachlan Thompson, Will Jeffress, Kaden Cooper

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	KENN -1.5	KENN -1.9	KENN +0.4	L LT covered
Total	144.5	147.4	Over 2.9	W Over
Projected score	—	KENN 74.7 · LT 72.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	KENN -1.3	KENN -9.0
1H total	69.0	81
1H projected score	KENN 35.2 · LT 33.9	KENN 45 · LT 36

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
KENN WWLWL	9-7	56%	4-3	5-4
LT WLLWW	7-8	47%	5-3	3-6

Venue/role: KENN away, as favorite; LT home, as underdog. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
KENN OOUUO	9-7	56%	9-7
LT UUOUU	6-9	40%	7-8

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
KENN	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	4-6 40%
LT	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	4-6 40%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

KENN 2–0 LTKENN leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · KENN has won the last 2 meetings · KENN 2-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Feb 13, 2024-25	KENN 69 @ LT 47	LT -4.5	KENN W
Jan 18, 2024-25	LT 76 @ KENN 78	KENN +2.5	KENN W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Kennesaw St

16 games played

Straight up

9-7

56% wins

Against the spread

9-7

56% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

9-7

56% overs · avg +2.9 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-756%

W L W L W W W L L L L W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

9-756%

W L W L W L W W W L L W W L W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

9-756%

U O O O O O O U U U U O O U U O

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	@FAMU	W 92-72	-11.5	W +8.5	166.5	U 164
Nov 16	vsUSF	L 89-108	+7.5	L −11.5	177.5	O 197
Nov 24	vsRICE	W 89-84	-4.5	W +0.5	159.5	O 173
Nov 25	vsORU	L 83-91	-8.5	L −16.5	166.5	O 174
Nov 26	@FGCU	W 102-100	+1.5	W +3.5	160.5	O 202
Dec 2	vsJKST	W 88-73	-15.5	L −0.5	157.5	O 161
Dec 6	vsGAST	W 92-69	-14.5	W +8.5	158.5	O 161
Dec 17	@MTSU	L 67-68	+3.5	W +2.5	160.5	U 135
Dec 21	vsALA	L 81-92	+20.5	W +9.5	182.5	U 173
Jan 2	@LIB	L 73-81	+7.5	L −0.5	158.5	U 154
Jan 4	@DEL	L 52-67	-8.5	L −23.5	148.5	U 119
Jan 7	vsMOST	W 90-80	-6.5	W +3.5	152.5	O 170
Jan 10	vsJXST	W 88-82	-5.5	W +0.5	149.5	O 170
Jan 14	vsFIU	W 89-86	-5.5	L −2.5	175.5	U 175
Jan 17	@WKU	W 81-65	+7.5	W +23.5	165.5	U 146
Jan 21	@SHSU	L 87-93	+5.5	L −0.5	167.5	O 180

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

+8.5

USF

L 89-108

−11.5

RICE

W 89-84

+0.5

ORU

L 83-91

−16.5

FGCU

W 102-100

+3.5

JKST

W 88-73

−0.5

GAST

W 92-69

+8.5

MTSU

L 67-68

+2.5

ALA

L 81-92

+9.5

LIB

L 73-81

−0.5

DEL

L 52-67

−23.5

MOST

W 90-80

+3.5

JXST

W 88-82

+0.5

FIU

W 89-86

−2.5

WKU

W 81-65

+23.5

SHSU

L 87-93

−0.5

covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

FAMU

W 92-72

−2.5

USF

L 89-108

+19.5

RICE

W 89-84

+13.5

ORU

L 83-91

+7.5

FGCU

W 102-100

+41.5

JKST

W 88-73

+3.5

GAST

W 92-69

+2.5

MTSU

L 67-68

−25.5

ALA

L 81-92

−9.5

LIB

L 73-81

−4.5

DEL

L 52-67

−29.5

MOST

W 90-80

+17.5

JXST

W 88-82

+20.5

FIU

W 89-86

−0.5

WKU

W 81-65

−19.5

SHSU

L 87-93

+12.5

over 9under 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Louisiana Tech

15 games played

Straight up

7-8

47% wins

Against the spread

7-8

47% covers · avg −2.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-9

40% overs · avg −8.3 pts vs the total

Straight up

7-847%

L W L W W L W L W L L L W W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

7-847%

L W L L W L W L W L W L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

6-940%

U U U O O O U U O O U U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@NEV	L 50-77	+9.5	L −17.5	136.5	U 127
Nov 15	vsJKST	W 68-51	-8.5	W +8.5	146.5	U 119
Nov 19	@INST	L 51-60	+3.5	L −5.5	147.5	U 111
Nov 26	vsINST	W 75-73	-2.5	L −0.5	141.5	O 148
Nov 29	vsALCN	W 83-58	-16.5	W +8.5	137.5	O 141
Dec 3	@GASO	L 69-77	+1.5	L −6.5	145.5	O 146
Dec 13	vsUL	W 65-44	-9.5	W +11.5	126.5	U 109
Dec 17	@TULN	L 53-61	+4.5	L −3.5	140.5	U 114
Dec 29	vsUTEP	W 75-63	-2.5	W +9.5	130.5	O 138
Jan 2	@MTSU	L 51-88	+6.5	L −30.5	134.5	O 139
Jan 4	@WKU	L 61-66	+9.5	W +4.5	145.5	U 127
Jan 8	vsLIB	L 56-72	+4.5	L −11.5	135.5	U 128
Jan 10	vsDEL	W 70-68	-6.5	L −4.5	123.5	O 138
Jan 14	vsMTSU	W 59-58	+3.5	W +4.5	131.5	U 117
Jan 17	@JXST	L 60-64	+4.5	W +0.5	127.5	U 124

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

NEV

L 50-77

−17.5

JKST

W 68-51

+8.5

INST

L 51-60

−5.5

INST

W 75-73

−0.5

ALCN

W 83-58

+8.5

GASO

L 69-77

−6.5

W 65-44

+11.5

TULN

L 53-61

−3.5

UTEP

W 75-63

+9.5

MTSU

L 51-88

−30.5

WKU

L 61-66

+4.5

LIB

L 56-72

−11.5

DEL

W 70-68

−4.5

MTSU

W 59-58

+4.5

JXST

L 60-64

+0.5

covered 7didn’t cover 8avg −2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

NEV

L 50-77

−9.5

JKST

W 68-51

−27.5

INST

L 51-60

−36.5

INST

W 75-73

+6.5

ALCN

W 83-58

+3.5

GASO

L 69-77

+0.5

W 65-44

−17.5

TULN

L 53-61

−26.5

UTEP

W 75-63

+7.5

MTSU

L 51-88

+4.5

WKU

L 61-66

−18.5

LIB

L 56-72

−7.5

DEL

W 70-68

+14.5

MTSU

W 59-58

−14.5

JXST

L 60-64

−3.5

over 6under 9avg −8.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Kennesaw State Owls at Louisiana Tech Bulldogs

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Kennesaw St

Louisiana Tech

Kennesaw St

Louisiana Tech