UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse · at Duquesne
#250PFWPurdue FW
@
#107DUQDuquesne
LineNo line yet 
Total— 
Season records: Purdue FW and Duquesne
PFWThis seasonDUQ
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects DUQ 83–69 · win probability DUQ 88%
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Winner
Line
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no line yet
Total
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model 151.5
Model edge
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No market line yet
Public
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No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges

PFW 1, DUQ 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DUQBig
DUQ offense vs PFW defense
Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 291st, on the model’s ratings
DUQBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PFW 22.9%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: PFW 65.5%, DUQ 70.4%
PFWBig
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PFW 14.5%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: PFW 19.1%, DUQ 18.4%
Context
Schedule so far
PFW has played the 209th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DUQSmall
PFW offense vs DUQ defense
Offense 218th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings
DUQSmall
Home court
DUQ at home. This season: DUQ 0-0 at home, PFW 0-0 away
DUQSmall
Shooting
Effective FG%: PFW 52.6 and allows 56.1; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: PFW plays 69.0 a game (179th fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PFW 29%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: PFW 2, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PFW 30.6, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: PFW 28.6, DUQ 39.9
Even
Three-pointers
PFW hits 34.2% and allows 37.9%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 45.4% and 44.4% of their shots

Market

Open → current
Spread
Opening line not available
Total
 
Moneyline
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Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
Spread—DUQ -13.6—
Total—151.5—
Projected score—PFW 68.9 · DUQ 82.6

1st-half model

ModelActual
1H spreadDUQ -8.0—
1H total70.8—
1H projected scorePFW 31.4 · DUQ 39.4—

Duquesne has the better starters

Position by position: Purdue FW 0, Duquesne 3, even 2
Purdue FWBetterDuquesne
G D. Craig13.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.7 ast Score 68
DUQSmall
G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast Score 93
G A. Williamson TR7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.1 ast Score 16
DUQBig
G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast Score 63
G C. Morgan2.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.9 ast Score 2
Even
G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast Score 6
G E. Mosley2.8 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast Score 9
DUQSmall
G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast Score 31
F A. Isaac TR9.5 pts · 7.3 reb · 0.9 ast Score 63
Even
F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast Score 49
Purdue FWBetterDuquesne
PFW offense218th of 366 · -6.7
DUQSmall
DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8
PFW defense291st of 366 · -7.3
DUQBig
DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6
Backcourt-5.6 · 4 players
DUQBig
Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt+0.4 · 1 player
Even
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench-0.2 · 1 player
Even
Bench-0.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPFW betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Purdue FW
Guards
D. Craig30 minA. Williamson23 min · TRC. Morgan14 minE. Mosley12 minM. Shrout3 minD. LewisNew
Forwards
A. Isaac24 min · TRE. OrtizNewQ. MorganNewA. WalkerNew
Duquesne
Guards
T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min
Forwards
Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew
Centers
E. Demir9 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
PFWDUQ
Scoring
74.2 #189Points per game76.9 #118
1.07 #204Points per possession1.09 #164
69.0 #179Pace (possessions)70.4 #99
Shooting
52.6 #125Effective FG%52.3 #131
34.2 #1633-point %33.1 #223
45.4 #603-point attempt rate44.4 #81
30.6 #292Free throw rate38.3 #94
Possessions
14.5 #43Turnover rate17.6 #243
22.9 #351Offensive rebound rate30.4 #184
13.1 #207Assists per game14.7 #107
Defense
78.8 #286Points allowed75.9 #214
1.14 #311Points allowed per possession1.08 #171
56.1 #345Opponent effective FG%52.5 #241
37.9 #355Opponent 3-point %36.2 #314
19.1 #44Turnovers forced18.4 #83
65.5 #327Defensive rebound rate70.4 #142
7.9 #42Steals per game7.6 #71
3.0 #224Blocks per game3.0 #214

Purdue FW

14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Horizon League

Last five, 2025-26
  • L@ Green Bay56–64
  • W@ IU Indy87–81
  • Lvs Wright St70–74
  • W@ Cleveland St92–86
  • L@ N Kentucky71–87

A week or more of rest.

Duquesne

16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs VCU66–71
  • Wvs Rhode Island67–61
  • Wvs Richmond79–77
  • L@ Rhode Island52–64
  • L@ Saint Louis76–91

A week or more of rest.