UPMC Cooper Fieldhouse · at Duquesne
LineNo line yet
Total—
| This season | DUQ | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DUQ 83–69 · win probability DUQ 88%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 151.5
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DUQ has more of the edges
PFW 1, DUQ 5 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
DUQ offense vs PFW defense
Offense 107th of 366 against a defense 291st, on the model’s ratings
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PFW 22.9%, DUQ 30.4%. Defensive: PFW 65.5%, DUQ 70.4%
Turnovers
Turnover rate: PFW 14.5%, DUQ 17.6%. Forced: PFW 19.1%, DUQ 18.4%
Context
Schedule so far
PFW has played the 209th-hardest schedule, DUQ the 108th. A record against a soft schedule means less
PFW offense vs DUQ defense
Offense 218th of 366 against a defense 118th, on the model’s ratings
Home court
DUQ at home. This season: DUQ 0-0 at home, PFW 0-0 away
Shooting
Effective FG%: PFW 52.6 and allows 56.1; DUQ 52.3 and allows 52.5
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: PFW plays 69.0 a game (179th fastest), DUQ 70.4 (99th). Faster games mean more points
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PFW 29%, DUQ 49%. Transfers in: PFW 2, DUQ 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PFW 30.6, DUQ 38.3. Allowed: PFW 28.6, DUQ 39.9
Even
Three-pointers
PFW hits 34.2% and allows 37.9%; DUQ hits 33.1% and allows 36.2%. Threes are 45.4% and 44.4% of their shots
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | — | DUQ -13.6 | — |
| Total | — | 151.5 | — |
| Projected score | — | PFW 68.9 · DUQ 82.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | DUQ -8.0 | — |
| 1H total | 70.8 | — |
| 1H projected score | PFW 31.4 · DUQ 39.4 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Purdue FW
29 games played
Straight up
14-15
48% wins
Against the spread
13-16
45% covers · avg −3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-13
55% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 71-90 | +14.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 68-94 | +24.5 | L −1.5 | 159.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 12 | @ | L 71-83 | -3.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 77-85 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 161.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | @ | L 60-91 | +19.5 | L −11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 90-77 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ | L 92-101 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 79-77 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 80-65 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | vs | W 81-77 | -9.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 21 | @ | W 72-69 | +11.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 29 | @ | L 55-77 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 156.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 1 | vs | L 54-72 | -8.5 | L −26.5 | 145.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 4 | vs | W 74-71 | -11.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 7 | @ | W 71-69 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 11 | @ | W 79-74 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 18 | vs | W 100-82 | -3.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 182 |
| Jan 21 | @ | W 83-76 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 65-74 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | vs | W 83-71 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 4 | vs | L 61-90 | -2.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 7 | @ | L 68-73 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 12 | @ | L 59-76 | -1.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 15 | vs | W 83-78 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 18 | @ | L 71-87 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 153.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 22 | @ | W 92-86 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 25 | vs | L 70-74 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 87-81 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 168 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 56-64 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 120 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
GCU
L 71-90
−4.5
7
@
OSU
L 68-94
−1.5
12
@
WMU
L 71-83
−15.5
18
@
UTAH
L 77-85
+5.5
21
@
SLU
L 60-91
−11.5
25
vs
CHST
W 90-77
+0.5
3
@
OAK
L 92-101
−4.5
6
vs
NKU
W 79-77
+0.5
10
vs
EMU
W 80-65
+11.5
14
vs
DETM
W 81-77
−5.5
21
@
ND
W 72-69
+14.5
29
@
MILW
L 55-77
−18.5
1
vs
GB
L 54-72
−26.5
4
vs
CLE
W 74-71
−8.5
7
@
YSU
W 71-69
+6.5
11
@
RMU
W 79-74
+9.5
18
vs
MILW
W 100-82
+14.5
21
@
DETM
W 83-76
+4.5
28
vs
OAK
L 65-74
−7.5
31
vs
RMU
W 83-71
+9.5
4
vs
YSU
L 61-90
−31.5
7
@
WRST
L 68-73
+1.5
12
@
GB
L 59-76
−18.5
15
vs
IUIN
W 83-78
−2.5
18
@
NKU
L 71-87
−10.5
22
@
CLE
W 92-86
+2.5
25
vs
WRST
L 70-74
−2.5
28
@
IUIN
W 87-81
+4.5
3
@
GB
L 56-64
−4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 16avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
GCU
L 71-90
+5.5
7
@
OSU
L 68-94
+2.5
12
@
WMU
L 71-83
−7.5
18
@
UTAH
L 77-85
+0.5
21
@
SLU
L 60-91
−15.5
25
vs
CHST
W 90-77
+17.5
3
@
OAK
L 92-101
+30.5
6
vs
NKU
W 79-77
+2.5
10
vs
EMU
W 80-65
−2.5
14
vs
DETM
W 81-77
+4.5
21
@
ND
W 72-69
−8.5
29
@
MILW
L 55-77
−24.5
1
vs
GB
L 54-72
−19.5
4
vs
CLE
W 74-71
−14.5
7
@
YSU
W 71-69
−5.5
11
@
RMU
W 79-74
+6.5
18
vs
MILW
W 100-82
+33.5
21
@
DETM
W 83-76
+3.5
28
vs
OAK
L 65-74
−23.5
31
vs
RMU
W 83-71
+8.5
4
vs
YSU
L 61-90
+3.5
7
@
WRST
L 68-73
−9.5
12
@
GB
L 59-76
−9.5
15
vs
IUIN
W 83-78
+1.5
18
@
NKU
L 71-87
+4.5
22
@
CLE
W 92-86
+14.5
25
vs
WRST
L 70-74
−6.5
28
@
IUIN
W 87-81
+4.5
3
@
GB
L 56-64
−25.5
over 16under 13avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Duquesne
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-15
52% overs · avg +1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 83-63 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs | W 92-80 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 87-81 | -12.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | @ | L 77-87 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | vs | W 92-78 | -14.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 86-93 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 147.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 2 | vs | L 79-83 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 84-75 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 64-86 | +14.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ | L 75-78 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 22 | vs | W 103-59 | -19.5 | W +24.5 | 143.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 30 | @ | W 89-83 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | vs | L 80-93 | +5.5 | L −7.5 | 165.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 7 | @ | L 90-97 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | O 187 |
| Jan 13 | vs | L 65-71 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 74-63 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 20 | vs | L 77-81 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 71-59 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 28 | vs | L 79-87 | -3.5 | L −11.5 | 150.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 1 | vs | W 76-61 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 4 | @ | W 71-65 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 88-86 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 174 |
| Feb 14 | @ | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Feb 18 | vs | W 62-61 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 66-78 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 25 | vs | L 56-67 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 76-91 | +13.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Mar 4 | @ | L 52-64 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Mar 7 | vs | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Mar 12 | vs | W 67-61 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 13 | vs | L 66-71 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NIA
W 83-63
+2.5
7
vs
SHU
W 92-80
−0.5
11
vs
QUC
W 87-81
−6.5
15
@
VILL
L 77-87
+0.5
19
vs
L-MD
W 92-78
−0.5
22
vs
NE
L 86-93
−14.5
2
vs
W&M
L 79-83
−9.5
6
vs
STBK
W 84-75
−0.5
10
@
BOIS
L 64-86
−7.5
13
@
NEV
L 75-78
+2.5
22
vs
CAN
W 103-59
+24.5
30
@
DAV
W 89-83
+8.5
3
vs
VCU
L 80-93
−7.5
7
@
JOES
L 90-97
−8.5
13
vs
DAY
L 65-71
−3.5
17
@
FOR
W 74-63
+9.5
20
vs
SLU
L 77-81
+4.5
24
@
LUC
W 71-59
+6.5
28
vs
SBU
L 79-87
−11.5
1
vs
URI
W 76-61
+12.5
4
@
GMU
W 71-65
+14.5
7
vs
GW
W 88-86
+3.5
14
@
SBU
W 78-73
+6.5
18
vs
LAS
W 62-61
−10.5
21
@
DAY
L 66-78
−5.5
25
vs
DAV
L 56-67
−14.5
28
@
SLU
L 76-91
−1.5
4
@
URI
L 52-64
−9.5
7
vs
RICH
W 79-77
−2.5
12
vs
URI
W 67-61
+4.5
13
vs
VCU
L 66-71
+1.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
NIA
W 83-63
+6.5
7
vs
SHU
W 92-80
+14.5
11
vs
QUC
W 87-81
+5.5
15
@
VILL
L 77-87
+12.5
19
vs
L-MD
W 92-78
+19.5
22
vs
NE
L 86-93
+31.5
2
vs
W&M
L 79-83
−8.5
6
vs
STBK
W 84-75
+8.5
10
@
BOIS
L 64-86
−0.5
13
@
NEV
L 75-78
+1.5
22
vs
CAN
W 103-59
+18.5
30
@
DAV
W 89-83
+21.5
3
vs
VCU
L 80-93
+7.5
7
@
JOES
L 90-97
+37.5
13
vs
DAY
L 65-71
−16.5
17
@
FOR
W 74-63
−8.5
20
vs
SLU
L 77-81
−7.5
24
@
LUC
W 71-59
−22.5
28
vs
SBU
L 79-87
+15.5
1
vs
URI
W 76-61
−9.5
4
@
GMU
W 71-65
−7.5
7
vs
GW
W 88-86
+15.5
14
@
SBU
W 78-73
−1.5
18
vs
LAS
W 62-61
−22.5
21
@
DAY
L 66-78
−4.5
25
vs
DAV
L 56-67
−19.5
28
@
SLU
L 76-91
+6.5
4
@
URI
L 52-64
−27.5
7
vs
RICH
W 79-77
+8.5
12
vs
URI
W 67-61
−10.5
13
vs
VCU
L 66-71
−16.5
over 16under 15avg +1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Duquesne has the better starters
Position by position: Purdue FW 0, Duquesne 3, even 2
Purdue FWBetterDuquesne
G D. Craig13.7 pts · 3.2 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 68
→DUQSmall
G T. Guinyard16.9 pts · 3.2 reb · 4.7 ast
Score 93
G A. Williamson TR7.3 pts · 2.3 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 16
→DUQBig
G J. Smith TR15.9 pts · 1.9 reb · 2.1 ast
Score 63
G C. Morgan2.3 pts · 1 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 2
=Even
G B. Hall3.4 pts · 1.4 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 6
G E. Mosley2.8 pts · 1 reb · 0.6 ast
Score 9
→DUQSmall
G J. DiMichele3.5 pts · 1.1 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 31
F A. Isaac TR9.5 pts · 7.3 reb · 0.9 ast
Score 63
=Even
F Y. Berman12.3 pts · 3.9 reb · 3.6 ast
Score 49
Purdue FWBetterDuquesne
PFW offense218th of 366 · -6.7
→DUQSmall
DUQ defense118th of 366 · -1.8
PFW defense291st of 366 · -7.3
→DUQBig
DUQ offense107th of 366 · -1.6
Backcourt-5.6 · 4 players
→DUQBig
Backcourt+0.1 · 4 players
Frontcourt+0.4 · 1 player
=Even
Frontcourt-0.4 · 1 player
Bench-0.2 · 1 player
=Even
Bench-0.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPFW betterDUQ betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
D. Craig30 minA. Williamson23 min · TRC. Morgan14 minE. Mosley12 minM. Shrout3 minD. LewisNew
Forwards
A. Isaac24 min · TRE. OrtizNewQ. MorganNewA. WalkerNew
Guards
T. Guinyard34 minJ. Smith27 min · TRB. Hall19 minJ. DiMichele14 minI. Pasha8 min · TRE. Anish2 min
Forwards
Y. Berman29 minK. Konan8 min · TRS. Olowoniyi5 min · TRF. JellumNewZ. OwinjeNewC. GalbutNew
Centers
E. Demir9 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 74.2 #189 | Points per game | 76.9 #118 |
| 1.07 #204 | Points per possession | 1.09 #164 |
| 69.0 #179 | Pace (possessions) | 70.4 #99 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.6 #125 | Effective FG% | 52.3 #131 |
| 34.2 #163 | 3-point % | 33.1 #223 |
| 45.4 #60 | 3-point attempt rate | 44.4 #81 |
| 30.6 #292 | Free throw rate | 38.3 #94 |
| Possessions | ||
| 14.5 #43 | Turnover rate | 17.6 #243 |
| 22.9 #351 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.4 #184 |
| 13.1 #207 | Assists per game | 14.7 #107 |
| Defense | ||
| 78.8 #286 | Points allowed | 75.9 #214 |
| 1.14 #311 | Points allowed per possession | 1.08 #171 |
| 56.1 #345 | Opponent effective FG% | 52.5 #241 |
| 37.9 #355 | Opponent 3-point % | 36.2 #314 |
| 19.1 #44 | Turnovers forced | 18.4 #83 |
| 65.5 #327 | Defensive rebound rate | 70.4 #142 |
| 7.9 #42 | Steals per game | 7.6 #71 |
| 3.0 #224 | Blocks per game | 3.0 #214 |
Purdue FW
14-15 in 2025-26 overall · 11-10 in conference · Horizon League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Green Bay56–64
- W@ IU Indy87–81
- Lvs Wright St70–74
- W@ Cleveland St92–86
- L@ N Kentucky71–87
A week or more of rest.
Duquesne
16-15 in 2025-26 overall · 10-10 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs VCU66–71
- Wvs Rhode Island67–61
- Wvs Richmond79–77
- L@ Rhode Island52–64
- L@ Saint Louis76–91
A week or more of rest.