Little Caesars Arena · at Pistons · Conference game
LineNo line yet
Total—
 PHI | This season | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 6-1 | Record | 5-1 |
| 4-3 | ATS | 5-1 |
| 2-5 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DET 112–104 · win probability DET 72%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 216.7
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 224-242 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DET has more of the edges
PHI 2, DET 7 · 2026-27 so far
DETBigPHI offense vs DET defense
Offense 22nd of 30 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
DETBigRebounding
Offensive rebound rate: PHI 19.9%, DET 27.2%. Defensive: PHI 70.8%, DET 72.8%
PHISmallDET offense vs PHI defense
Offense 17th of 30 against a defense 10th, on the model’s ratings
PHISmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: PHI 12.3%, DET 15.6%. Forced: PHI 17.0%, DET 17.1%
DETSmallRecent form
Last 5: PHI 2-3 ATS, margin +2.6; DET 4-1 ATS, margin +8.0
DETSmallShooting
Effective FG%: PHI 50.8 and allows 49.8; DET 53.1 and allows 48.8
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: PHI plays 102.4 a game (19th fastest), DET 100.9 (29th). Faster games mean more points
DETSmallThree-pointers
PHI hits 34.0% and allows 32.1%; DET hits 36.3% and allows 32.5%. Threes are 39.5% and 43.3% of their shots
DETSmallHome court
DET at home. This season: DET 2-0 at home, PHI 3-0 away
DETSmallRest
PHI 4 days since its last game, DET 5
Context
Schedule so far
PHI has played the 20th-hardest schedule, DET the 17th. A record against a soft schedule means less
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: PHI 28.7, DET 28.9. Allowed: PHI 28.5, DET 28.1
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: PHI 100%, DET 100%. Transfers in: PHI 0, DET 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDET -8.0
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model216.7
Model edge—
Projected score
PHI 104.4 · DET 112.3
Win probability
DET 72%
1st half
Spread
DET -4.3
Total
108.9
Projected score
PHI 52.3 · DET 56.6
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHIlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 4-3 57% | 2-5 29% |
| DETlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 19 since 2021-22
PHI 11–8 DETPHI leads · 19 games since 2021-22 · DET has won the last 6 meetings · PHI 10-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 25, 2026-27 | DET 106 @ PHI 93 | PHI +1.5 | DET W |
| Apr 4, 2025-26 | DET 116 @ PHI 93 | PHI +3.5 | DET W |
| Mar 12, 2025-26 | PHI 109 @ DET 131 | DET -14.5 | DET W |
| Nov 14, 2025-26 | PHI 105 @ DET 114 | DET -1.5 | DET W |
| Nov 9, 2025-26 | DET 111 @ PHI 108 | PHI +4.5 | PHI W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
76ers
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
4-3
57% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −15.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ NY | W 106-100 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
| Oct 22 | vs CLE | W 114-106 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 237.5 | U 220 |
| Oct 24 | vs MIL | W 127-116 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 234.5 | O 243 |
| Oct 25 | vsDET | L 93-106 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 228.5 | U 199 |
| Oct 28 | @ IND | W 114-109 | -7.5 | L −2.5 | 234.5 | U 223 |
| Oct 30 | vsNY | W 98-93 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 224.5 | U 191 |
| Oct 31 | @ CHA | W 109-104 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 211.5 | O 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−2.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
+2.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 3avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
28
@IND
INDW 114-109
−11.5
30
vsNY
NYW 98-93
−33.5
31
@CHA
CHAW 109-104
+1.5
over 2under 5avg −15.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pistons
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
BOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@
MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
+0.5
30
@
BKN
BKNW 110-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
−26.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
76ers has the better starters
Position by position: 76ers 3, Pistons 2, even 0
76ersBetterPistons
G T. Maxey29.6 pts · 4.1 reb · 4.4 ast
Score 67
←PHISmall
G C. Cunningham22.2 pts · 5.5 reb · 7.2 ast
Score 47
G J. Brown19.8 pts · 6.2 reb · 4.2 ast
Score 35
→DETBig
G A. Thompson8.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 5 ast
Score 79
G V. Edgecombe11.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 96
←PHISmall
F D. Robinson16.8 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 77
F L. James16.4 pts · 7 reb · 7 ast
Score 54
→DETBig
F P. Reed13.8 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
F D. Wade3.6 pts · 3 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 90
←PHIBig
F J. Collins9.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 30
76ersBetterPistons
PHI offense22nd of 30 · -1.7
→DETBig
DET defense1st of 30 · +7.1
PHI defense10th of 30 · +3.0
←PHISmall
DET offense17th of 30 · -0.6
Backcourt+25.4 · 3 players
←PHIBig
Backcourt+10.1 · 2 players
Frontcourt+14.0 · 2 players
→DETBig
Frontcourt+19.7 · 3 players
Bench-19.8 · 5 players
→DETBig
Bench+22.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestPHI betterDET betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
76ersGuards
T. Maxey38 minJ. Brown37 minV. Edgecombe33 minA. Simons25 minK. Caldwell-Pope24 minC. Love21 min
Forwards
L. James33 minD. Wade28 minJ. Edwards15 minJ. Walker10 min
Centers
A. Bona14 minT. FallNew
Out
J. EmbiidDay-To-Day
PistonsGuards
C. Cunningham34 minA. Thompson26 minD. Jenkins25 minE. Harkless21 minK. Huerter21 minJ. Green19 min
Forwards
D. Robinson30 minP. Reed27 minJ. Collins27 minT. Prince24 minR. Holland16 minT. Smith8 min
Centers
I. Jones5 min
Out
I. JoeOutJ. DurenOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
PHIDETScoring
108.7Points per game109.8
1.06Points per possession1.09
102.4Pace (possessions)100.9
Shooting
50.8Effective FG%53.1
34.03-point %36.3
39.53-point attempt rate43.3
28.7Free throw rate28.9
Possessions
12.3Turnover rate15.6
19.9Offensive rebound rate27.2
25.1Assists per game26.7
Defense
104.9Points allowed101.8
1.03Points allowed per possession1.01
49.8Opponent effective FG%48.8
32.1Opponent 3-point %32.5
17.0Turnovers forced17.1
70.8Defensive rebound rate72.8
9.6Steals per game9.0
5.0Blocks per game6.7
| PHI | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 108.7 #23 | Points per game | 109.8 #21 |
| 1.06 #22 | Points per possession | 1.09 #18 |
| 102.4 #19 | Pace (possessions) | 100.9 #29 |
| Shooting | ||
| 50.8 #25 | Effective FG% | 53.1 #17 |
| 34.0 #20 | 3-point % | 36.3 #9 |
| 39.5 #23 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.3 #13 |
| 28.7 #16 | Free throw rate | 28.9 #14 |
| Possessions | ||
| 12.3 #1 | Turnover rate | 15.6 #17 |
| 19.9 #30 | Offensive rebound rate | 27.2 #17 |
| 25.1 #22 | Assists per game | 26.7 #15 |
| Defense | ||
| 104.9 #2 | Points allowed | 101.8 #1 |
| 1.03 #3 | Points allowed per possession | 1.01 #1 |
| 49.8 #4 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.8 #2 |
| 32.1 #9 | Opponent 3-point % | 32.5 #10 |
| 17.0 #9 | Turnovers forced | 17.1 #6 |
| 70.8 #21 | Defensive rebound rate | 72.8 #15 |
| 9.6 #7 | Steals per game | 9.0 #12 |
| 5.0 #14 | Blocks per game | 6.7 #4 |
76ers
6-1 overall · 6-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Hornets109–104
- Wvs Knicks98–93
- W@ Pacers114–109
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
4 days since their last game.
Pistons
5-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–94
- Wvs Hornets97–89
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
5 days since their last game.