Little Caesars Arena · at Pistons · Conference game
Closing line
DET -7.5✓ DET covered by 0.5
DET -7.5✓ DET covered by 0.5Closing total212.5Under by 26.5
 CHA | This season | DET |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 3-1 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 0-4 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CHA 108–114 DET · ✓ DET (68%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA | 22 | 29 | 19 | 19 | 89 |
| DET | 21 | 23 | 32 | 21 | 97 |
1st half: CHA 51, DET 44 (CHA by 7). The model had DET by 3.5 and a total of 111.2 (actual 95).
Team stats
| CHA | DET | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-71 44% | Field goals | 34-76 45% |
| 12-35 34% | 3-pointers | 13-33 39% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 16-20 80% |
| 45 9 off | Rebounds | 33 7 off |
| 17 | Assists | 26 |
| 7 | Steals | 13 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 25 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| CHA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Miller F | 38 | 31 | 12 | 3 | +1 |
| Moussa Diabate F | 35 | 9 | 9 | 2 | -9 |
| Dennis Schroder G | 34 | 14 | 4 | 5 | +3 |
| Sion James G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | -11 |
| Naz Reid C | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | -4 |
| Bench | |||||
| Royce O'Neale F | 34 | 9 | 4 | 0 | -14 |
| Grayson Allen G | 30 | 9 | 5 | 2 | -14 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner C | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
| Tidjane Salaun F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +9 |
| Christian Anderson G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Did not play: PJ Hall (COACH'S DECISION), Liam McNeeley (COACH'S DECISION), Hannes Steinbach (COACH'S DECISION)
| DET | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cade Cunningham G | 39 | 30 | 5 | 7 | 0 |
| Paul Reed F | 38 | 16 | 4 | 0 | +6 |
| Duncan Robinson F | 32 | 13 | 2 | 2 | +6 |
| Ausar Thompson G | 29 | 7 | 9 | 8 | +5 |
| John Collins F | 18 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -10 |
| Bench | |||||
| Daniss Jenkins G | 24 | 14 | 2 | 3 | +11 |
| Javonte Green G | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | +23 |
| Kevin Huerter G | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -4 |
| Ronald Holland II F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2 |
| Taurean Prince F | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 |
| Tolu Smith F | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | +2 |
Did not play: Elijah Harkless (COACH'S DECISION), Chaz Lanier (COACH'S DECISION), Isaac Jones (COACH'S DECISION), Ebuka Okorie (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketDET -7.5
ModelDET -6.4
Model edgeCHA +1.1
L DET covered
Total
Market212.5
Model221.5
Model edgeOver 9.0
L Under
Projected score
CHA 107.5 · DET 113.9
CHA 89 · DET 97
Win probability
DET 68%
1st half
Spread
DET -3.5
CHA -7.0
Total
111.2
95 points
Projected score
CHA 53.8 · DET 57.3
CHA 51 · DET 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenDET -7.5
no move
CloseDET -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open216.5
▼ 4
Close212.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
CHA +235 · DET -290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened DET -7.5 · unchangedmodel DET -6.5
model DET -6.5
Opened 216.5 · closed 212.5 · moved 4 downmodel 221.5
model 221.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHAlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 0-4 0% |
| DETlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
CHA 6–11 DETDET leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · DET has won the last 5 meetings · CHA 8-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2025-26 | DET 118 @ CHA 100 | CHA -6.5 | DET W |
| Feb 9, 2025-26 | DET 110 @ CHA 104 | CHA +2.5 | DET W |
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | CHA 86 @ DET 112 | DET -10.5 | DET W |
| Feb 9, 2024-25 | CHA 102 @ DET 112 | DET -11.5 | CHA W |
| Jan 3, 2024-25 | CHA 94 @ DET 98 | DET -7.5 | CHA W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hornets
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg −6.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-4
0% overs · avg −10 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
BKN
BKNW 110-103
+5.5
23
vs
ATL
ATLL 81-128
−44.5
24
vs
MIA
MIAW 115-110
+9.5
26
vs
WSH
WSHW 110-103
+4.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
−7.5
23
vsATL
ATLL 81-128
−17.5
24
vsMIA
MIAW 115-110
−2.5
26
vsWSH
WSHW 110-103
−12.5
over 0under 4avg −10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pistons
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
BOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@
PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@
NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
over 2under 2avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hornets
3-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Wizards110–103
- Wvs Heat115–110
- Lvs Hawks81–128
- W@ Nets110–103
2 days since their last game.
Pistons
3-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
- Wvs Celtics121–113
1 day since their last game.