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NBA · 2026-27

NBA games · Wednesday, October 28

FinalCurrentUpcomingWed, Oct 28: 1st-half lines ›
Day in numbers12 finalFavorites 5-7 ATS4 upsetsO/U 5-7Model Favorite 8-4OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games1212 final · 0 to play
Lines moved81+ pt since the open · 12 with a line
Totals moved111+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS5-742% covered
Upsets4outright
Over / Under5-742% over
Model Favorite8-467% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
LAL @ LACLAL -5.5 → LAC -1.57 → LAC228.5 → 224.5▼ 4
PHI @ INDPHI -1.5 → PHI -7.56 → PHI237.5 → 234.5▼ 3
GS @ MINMIN -6.5 → MIN -3.53 → GS227.5 → 227.5no move
MIA @ ATLATL -3.5 → ATL -2.51 → MIA239.5 → 243.5▲ 4
CHA @ DETDET -7.5 → DET -7.5no move216.5 → 212.5▼ 4
OKC @ DALOKC -5.5 → OKC -4.51 → DAL230.5 → 227.5▼ 3
DEN @ NODEN -4.5 → DEN -4.5no move238.5 → 241.5▲ 3
WSH @ CLECLE -10.5 → CLE -9.51 → WSH239.5 → 240.5▲ 1
ORL @ TORTOR -4.5 → TOR -5.51 → TOR223.5 → 224.5▲ 1
SA @ UTAHSA -12.5 → SA -13.51 → SA234.5 → 232.5▼ 2
Top 10 of 12; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts26-3046%
2+ pts11-1739%
3+ pts9-1145%
5+ pts2-340%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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Final
Heat
0-4 · #18
129
Hawks
2-2 · #14
117
Spread
ATL -2.5
✓ MIA W ATS
Total
243.5 ▲4
▲ Over 246
Projected
115–124
✗ ATL lost
Model: ATL by 6.8 ✗ Model: Under 5.1 ✗
Final
Wizards
2-2 · #24
111
Cavaliers
2-1 · #11
121
Spread
CLE -9.5
✓ CLE W ATS
Total
240.5 ▲1
▼ Under 232
Projected
113–125
✓ CLE won
Model: CLE by 1.8 ✓ Model: Under 2.8 ✓
Final
Hornets
3-1 · #23
89
Pistons
3-1 · #4
97
Spread
DET -7.5
✓ DET W ATS
Total
212.5 ▼4
▼ Under 186
Projected
108–114
✓ DET won
Model: CHA by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 9.0 ✗
Final
76ers
3-1 · #16
114
Pacers
2-2 · #25
109
Spread
PHI -7.5
✓ IND W ATS
Total
234.5 ▼3
▼ Under 223
Projected
115–113
✓ PHI won
Model: IND by 4.9 ✓ Model: Under 6.6 ✓
Final
Magic
1-2 · #19
99
Raptors
2-1 · #7
129
Spread
TOR -5.5
✓ TOR W ATS
Total
224.5 ▲1
▲ Over 228
Projected
109–115
✓ TOR won
Model: TOR by 0.9 ✓ Model: Under 0.5 ✗
Final
Knicks
1-3 · #8
133
Bulls
1-3 · #28
127
Spread
NY -7.5
✓ CHI W ATS
Total
233.5 ▼1
▲ Over 260
Projected
120–109
✓ NY won
Model: NY by 3.2 ✗ Model: Under 4.2 ✗
Final
Rockets
4-0 · #1
132
Bucks
1-3 · #29
100
Spread
HOU -8.5
✓ HOU W ATS
Total
226.5 ▼1
▲ Over 232
Projected
120–109
✓ HOU won
Model: HOU by 2.1 ✓ Model: Over 2.6 ✓
Final
Warriors
1-3 · #13
119
Timberwolves
3-1 · #2
114
Spread
MIN -3.5
✓ GS W ATS
Total
227.5
▲ Over 233
Projected
110–123
✗ MIN lost
Model: MIN by 10.1 ✗ Model: Over 5.6 ✓
Final
Nuggets
1-2 · #15
104
Pelicans
0-3 · #22
91
Spread
DEN -4.5
✓ DEN W ATS
Total
241.5 ▲3
▼ Under 195
Projected
123–121
✓ DEN won
Model: NO by 2.8 ✗ Model: Over 1.7 ✗
Final
Spurs
2-2 · #3
117
Jazz
1-3 · #26
111
Spread
SA -13.5
✓ UTAH W ATS
Total
232.5 ▼2
▼ Under 228
Projected
122–112
✓ SA won
Model: UTAH by 3.1 ✓ Model: Over 1.2 ✗
Final
Thunder
4-0 · #6
96
Mavericks
2-2 · #17
120
Spread
OKC -4.5
✓ DAL W ATS
Total
227.5 ▼3
▼ Under 216
Projected
118–109
✗ OKC lost
Model: OKC by 5.1 ✗ Model: Under 0.3 ✓
Final
Lakers
3-1 · #10
103
Clippers
1-2 · #20
87
Spread
LAC -1.5
✓ LAL W ATS
Total
224.5 ▼4
▼ Under 190
Projected
115–119
✗ LAC lost
Model: LAC by 2.2 ✗ Model: Over 9.5 ✗
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel
line		Spread
edge		Model
total		Total
edge		Win
prob		Model
Final
Heat
0-4 · #18
129
Hawks
2-2 · #14
117
 ATL -2.5 243.5 ATL -9.3 ATL +6.8 238.4 Under 5.1 75% ATL L L ›
Final
Wizards
2-2 · #24
111
Cavaliers
2-1 · #11
121
 CLE -9.5 240.5 CLE -11.3 CLE +1.8 237.8 Under 2.8 79% CLE W W ›
Final
Hornets
3-1 · #23
89
Pistons
3-1 · #4
97
 DET -7.5 212.5 DET -6.4 CHA +1.1 221.5 Over 9.0 68% DET L L ›
Final
76ers
3-1 · #16
114
Pacers
2-2 · #25
109
 PHI -7.5 234.5 PHI -2.6 IND +4.9 227.9 Under 6.6 57% PHI W W ›
Final
Magic
1-2 · #19
99
Raptors
2-1 · #7
129
 TOR -5.5 224.5 TOR -6.4 TOR +0.9 224.0 Under 0.5 68% TOR W L ›
Final
Knicks
1-3 · #8
133
Bulls
1-3 · #28
127
 NY -7.5 233.5 NY -10.7 NY +3.2 229.3 Under 4.2 78% NY L L ›
Final
Rockets
4-0 · #1
132
Bucks
1-3 · #29
100
 HOU -8.5 226.5 HOU -10.6 HOU +2.1 229.1 Over 2.6 77% HOU W W ›
Final
Warriors
1-3 · #13
119
Timberwolves
3-1 · #2
114
 MIN -3.5 227.5 MIN -13.6 MIN +10.1 233.1 Over 5.6 83% MIN L W ›
Final
Nuggets
1-2 · #15
104
Pelicans
0-3 · #22
91
 DEN -4.5 241.5 DEN -1.7 NO +2.8 243.2 Over 1.7 55% DEN L L ›
Final
Spurs
2-2 · #3
117
Jazz
1-3 · #26
111
 SA -13.5 232.5 SA -10.4 UTAH +3.1 233.7 Over 1.2 77% SA W L ›
Final
Thunder
4-0 · #6
96
Mavericks
2-2 · #17
120
 OKC -4.5 227.5 OKC -9.6 OKC +5.1 227.2 Under 0.3 75% OKC L W ›
Final
Lakers
3-1 · #10
103
Clippers
1-2 · #20
87
 LAC -1.5 224.5 LAC -3.7 LAC +2.2 234.0 Over 9.5 60% LAC L L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record