Day in numbers
| Game | Spread, open → close | Moved | Total | Moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAC @ MEM | MEM -10.5 → MEM -7.5 | 3 → SAC | 234.5 → 229.5 | ▼ 5 |
| PHI @ CHA | PHI -1.5 → PHI -1.5 | no move | 216.5 → 211.5 | ▼ 5 |
| ATL @ NO | ATL -3.5 → ATL -5.5 | 2 → ATL | 239.5 → 239.5 | no move |
| OKC @ HOU | HOU -4.5 → HOU -2.5 | 2 → OKC | 218.5 → 219.5 | ▲ 1 |
| MIN @ SA | SA -11.5 → SA -12.5 | 1 → SA | 227.5 → 230.5 | ▲ 3 |
| CLE @ MIL | CLE -9.5 → CLE -8.5 | 1 → MIL | 236.5 → 234.5 | ▼ 2 |
| Line moved | Covered | Cover rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1+ pts | 26-30 | 46% |
| 2+ pts | 11-17 | 39% |
| 3+ pts | 9-11 | 45% |
| 5+ pts | 2-3 | 40% |
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Final
Spread
POR -6.5
✓ POR W ATS
Total
232.5
▼ Under 202
Projected
122–114
✓ POR won
Final
Spread
SA -12.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
230.5 ▲3
▲ Over 232
Projected
111–116
✓ SA won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 3-1 · #9 1-4 · #26 |
POR -6.5 | 232.5 | POR -8.0 | POR +1.5 | 235.9 | Over 3.4 | 72% POR | W L | › |
| Final | 5-1 · #16 3-3 · #23 |
PHI -1.5 | 211.5 | CHA -0.1 | CHA +1.6 | 213.4 | Over 1.9 | 50% CHA | L W | › |
| Final | 3-3 · #14 1-4 · #22 |
ATL -5.5 | 239.5 | ATL -4.3 | NO +1.2 | 238.5 | Under 1.0 | 62% ATL | W W | › |
| Final | 0-5 · #30 5-0 · #12 |
MEM -7.5 | 229.5 | MEM -9.9 | MEM +2.4 | 234.3 | Over 4.8 | 76% MEM | W W | › |
| Final | 3-2 · #11 1-4 · #29 |
CLE -8.5 | 234.5 | CLE -8.5 | — | 232.9 | Under 1.6 | 73% CLE | L | › |
| Final | 4-2 · #2 3-2 · #3 |
SA -12.5 | 230.5 | SA -4.5 | MIN +8.0 | 227.1 | Under 3.4 | 63% SA | W L | › |
| Final | 4-1 · #6 5-1 · #1 |
HOU -2.5 | 219.5 | HOU -1.7 | OKC +0.8 | 219.7 | Over 0.2 | 55% HOU | L L | › |
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record