Day in numbers
| Game | Spread, open → close | Moved | Total | Moved |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHA @ WSH | WSH -1.5 → WSH -1.5 | no move | 235.5 → 218.5 | ▼ 17 |
| IND @ MIA | MIA -3.5 → MIA -8.5 | 5 → MIA | 241.5 → 236.5 | ▼ 5 |
| LAC @ MIN | MIN -9.5 → MIN -6.5 | 3 → LAC | 230.5 → 222.5 | ▼ 8 |
| NY @ PHI | PHI -1.5 → PHI -2.5 | 1 → PHI | 231.5 → 224.5 | ▼ 7 |
| CHI @ BOS | BOS -11.5 → BOS -14.5 | 3 → BOS | 232.5 → 236.5 | ▲ 4 |
| ORL @ TOR | TOR -3.5 → TOR -5.5 | 2 → TOR | 226.5 → 226.5 | no move |
| DEN @ PHX | DEN -2.5 → DEN -4.5 | 2 → DEN | 234.5 → 231.5 | ▼ 3 |
| HOU @ DAL | HOU -5.5 → HOU -5.5 | no move | 227.5 → 223.5 | ▼ 4 |
| DET @ BKN | DET -8.5 → DET -8.5 | no move | 225.5 → 222.5 | ▼ 3 |
| LAL @ GS | LAL -1.5 → LAL -2.5 | 1 → LAL | 236.5 → 234.5 | ▼ 2 |
| Line moved | Covered | Cover rate |
|---|---|---|
| 1+ pts | 26-30 | 46% |
| 2+ pts | 11-17 | 39% |
| 3+ pts | 9-11 | 45% |
| 5+ pts | 2-3 | 40% |
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Final
Spread
MIN -6.5
✓ MIN W ATS
Total
222.5 ▼8
▲ Over 228
Projected
108–116
✓ MIN won
| Status | Matchup | Spread | Total | Model line | Spread edge | Model total | Total edge | Win prob | Model | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final | 3-2 · #23 2-3 · #24 |
WSH -1.5 | 218.5 | CHA -2.5 | CHA +4.0 | 224.8 | Over 6.3 | 57% CHA | L L | › |
| Final | 1-4 · #28 3-1 · #5 |
BOS -14.5 | 236.5 | BOS -18.6 | BOS +4.1 | 233.8 | Under 2.7 | 91% BOS | L W | › |
| Final | 4-1 · #4 0-4 · #27 |
DET -8.5 | 222.5 | DET -12.4 | DET +3.9 | 222.7 | Over 0.2 | 81% DET | W L | › |
| Final | 2-3 · #8 4-1 · #16 |
PHI -2.5 | 224.5 | NY -3.2 | NY +5.7 | 217.9 | Under 6.6 | 59% NY | L W | › |
| Final | 1-3 · #19 3-1 · #7 |
TOR -5.5 | 226.5 | TOR -9.3 | TOR +3.8 | 223.3 | Under 3.2 | 75% TOR | L L | › |
| Final | 2-3 · #25 1-4 · #18 |
MIA -8.5 | 236.5 | MIA -5.4 | IND +3.1 | 235.4 | Under 1.1 | 65% MIA | L L | › |
| Final | 5-0 · #1 3-2 · #17 |
HOU -5.5 | 223.5 | HOU -5.5 | — | 227.9 | Over 4.4 | 65% HOU | W | › |
| Final | 1-3 · #20 3-2 · #2 |
MIN -6.5 | 222.5 | MIN -8.0 | MIN +1.5 | 224.2 | Over 1.7 | 72% MIN | W W | › |
| Final | 4-1 · #10 2-3 · #13 |
LAL -2.5 | 234.5 | LAL -2.7 | LAL +0.2 | 236.9 | Over 2.4 | 58% LAL | L L | › |
| Final | 2-2 · #15 1-2 · #21 |
DEN -4.5 | 231.5 | DEN -1.5 | PHX +3.0 | 230.0 | Under 1.5 | 54% DEN | L L | › |
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record