Scotiabank Arena · at Raptors · Conference game
Closing line
TOR -5.5✓ ORL covered by 12.5
TOR -5.5✓ ORL covered by 12.5Closing total226.5Over by 8.5
 ORL | This season | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 3-1 |
| 1-3 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 2-2 | O/U | 1-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORL 107–116 TOR · ✗ TOR (75%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 31 | 33 | 31 | 26 | 121 |
| TOR | 27 | 28 | 33 | 26 | 114 |
1st half: ORL 64, TOR 55 (ORL by 9). The model had TOR by 5.1 and a total of 112.0 (actual 119).
Team stats
| ORL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 39-74 53% | Field goals | 46-91 51% |
| 18-34 53% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 25-29 86% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 30 | Assists | 31 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 21 | Fouls | 33 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| ORL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner F | 39 | 26 | 5 | 11 | +13 |
| Desmond Bane G | 39 | 28 | 2 | 6 | +10 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. C | 39 | 20 | 7 | 1 | +17 |
| Jase Richardson G | 33 | 4 | 6 | 2 | +26 |
| Anthony Black G | 31 | 17 | 6 | 10 | +2 |
| Bench | |||||
| Tristan da Silva F | 23 | 8 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| Jamal Cain F | 15 | 13 | 0 | 0 | -13 |
| Alex Morales G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -6 |
| Nikola Vucevic C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -9 |
| Goga Bitadze C | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -2 |
Did not play: Colin Castleton (COACH'S DECISION), Jevon Carter (COACH'S DECISION)
| TOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes F | 39 | 41 | 5 | 5 | -11 |
| Immanuel Quickley G | 37 | 17 | 6 | 8 | -11 |
| RJ Barrett F | 34 | 9 | 3 | 5 | -1 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter G | 32 | 9 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| Jakob Poeltl C | 23 | 12 | 11 | 3 | +8 |
| Bench | |||||
| Collin Murray-Boyles F | 23 | 15 | 5 | 1 | -4 |
| Jamal Shead G | 23 | 2 | 1 | 8 | -3 |
| Jamison Battle F | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -10 |
| Allen Graves F | 9 | 7 | 4 | 0 | +1 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 |
Did not play: Jaden Bradley (COACH'S DECISION), Alijah Martin (COACH'S DECISION), Kyle Anderson (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTOR -5.5
ModelTOR -9.3
Model edgeTOR +3.8
L ORL covered
Total
Market226.5
Model223.3
Model edgeUnder 3.2
L Over
Projected score
ORL 107 · TOR 116.3
ORL 121 · TOR 114
Win probability
TOR 75%
1st half
Spread
TOR -5.1
ORL -9.0
Total
112.0
119 points
Projected score
ORL 53.5 · TOR 58.5
ORL 64 · TOR 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOR -3.5
2 → TOR
CloseTOR -5.5
2 pts toward TOR
Total
Open226.5
no move
Close226.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ORL +180 · TOR -218
Line movement
Median of 1 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened TOR -3.5 · unchangedmodel TOR -9.5
model TOR -9.5
Opened 226.5 · unchangedmodel 223.5
model 223.5
Oct 22line modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Books
1 sportsbooks · prices at tip-off
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | TOR | Over | Under | ORL | TOR | |
| DraftKingsDK | -3.5-112 | +3.5-108 | 226.5-110 | 226.5-110 | +130 | -155 |
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORLlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 1-3 25% | 2-2 50% |
| TORlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
ORL 8–10 TORTOR leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · TOR has won the last 2 meetings · ORL 9-9 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 2026-27 | ORL 99 @ TOR 129 | TOR -5.5 | TOR W |
| Mar 29, 2025-26 | ORL 87 @ TOR 139 | TOR -1.5 | TOR W |
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | TOR 120 @ ORL 130 | ORL -2.5 | ORL W |
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | ORL 106 @ TOR 107 | TOR +1.5 | TOR W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | TOR 114 @ ORL 113 | ORL -6.5 | TOR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Magic
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
1-3
25% covers · avg −10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
ATL
ATLL 125-132
−9.5
23
vs
MIN
MINL 93-115
−23.5
25
@
NY
NYW 111-102
+15.5
28
@TOR
TORL 99-129
−24.5
covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsATL
ATLL 125-132
+23.5
23
vsMIN
MINL 93-115
−26.5
25
@NY
NYW 111-102
−11.5
28
@TOR
TORL 99-129
+3.5
over 2under 2avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Raptors
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −11.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHI
CHIW 135-92
+32.5
23
@
WSH
WSHW 112-102
+0.5
25
@MIN
MINL 94-117
−19.5
28
vsORL
ORLW 129-99
+24.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHI
CHIW 135-92
−10.5
23
@WSH
WSHW 112-102
−22.5
25
@MIN
MINL 94-117
−17.5
28
vsORL
ORLW 129-99
+3.5
over 1under 3avg −11.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Magic
1-3 overall · 1-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Raptors99–129
- W@ Knicks111–102
- Lvs Timberwolves93–115
- Lvs Hawks125–132
2 days since their last game.
Raptors
3-1 overall · 3-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Magic129–99
- L@ Timberwolves94–117
- W@ Wizards112–102
- Wvs Bulls135–92
2 days since their last game.