Madison Square Garden · at Knicks · Conference game
Closing line
NY -6.5✓ ORL covered by 15.5
NY -6.5✓ ORL covered by 15.5Closing total224.5Under by 11.5
 ORL | This season | NY |
|---|---|---|
| 0-2 | Record | 0-2 |
| 0-2 | ATS | 0-2 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORL 107–116 NY · ✗ NY (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 21 | 27 | 23 | 40 | 111 |
| NY | 28 | 24 | 23 | 27 | 102 |
1st half: ORL 48, NY 52 (NY by 4). The model had NY by 4.8 and a total of 111.7 (actual 100).
Team stats
| ORL | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| 38-88 43% | Field goals | 38-93 41% |
| 18-42 43% | 3-pointers | 9-38 24% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 17-24 71% |
| 49 10 off | Rebounds | 45 12 off |
| 29 | Assists | 26 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 24 | Fouls | 22 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 52 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| ORL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Franz Wagner F | 37 | 23 | 13 | 9 | +6 |
| Desmond Bane G | 35 | 22 | 6 | 2 | +8 |
| Jalen Suggs G | 34 | 4 | 6 | 6 | +1 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. C | 33 | 9 | 10 | 2 | +6 |
| Jase Richardson G | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | -22 |
| Bench | |||||
| Tristan da Silva F | 27 | 19 | 2 | 2 | +20 |
| Anthony Black G | 26 | 18 | 3 | 5 | +21 |
| Nikola Vucevic C | 15 | 5 | 3 | 3 | +3 |
| Jamal Cain F | 15 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +2 |
Did not play: Alex Morales (COACH'S DECISION), Colin Castleton (COACH'S DECISION), Goga Bitadze (COACH'S DECISION), Jevon Carter (COACH'S DECISION)
| NY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hart G | 35 | 13 | 8 | 2 | +3 |
| OG Anunoby F | 35 | 22 | 3 | 2 | -11 |
| Mikal Bridges G | 35 | 6 | 5 | 1 | -23 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns C | 33 | 22 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| Jalen Brunson G | 32 | 28 | 3 | 4 | -3 |
| Bench | |||||
| Landry Shamet G | 22 | 6 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| Tyler Kolek G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 9 | -4 |
| Miles McBride G | 13 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +2 |
| James Wiseman C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 |
| Andre Drummond C | 7 | 4 | 3 | 2 | -1 |
| Jordan Clarkson G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +1 |
Did not play: Jaden Akins, Kevin McCullar Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Pacome Dadiet (COACH'S DECISION), Mohamed Diawara (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNY -6.5
ModelNY -8.7
Model edgeNY +2.2
L ORL covered
Total
Market224.5
Model222.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
W Under
Projected score
ORL 107 · NY 115.7
ORL 111 · NY 102
Win probability
NY 73%
1st half
Spread
NY -4.8
NY -4.0
Total
111.7
100 points
Projected score
ORL 53.5 · NY 58.3
ORL 48 · NY 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNY -7.5
1 → ORL
CloseNY -6.5
1 pt toward ORL
Total
Open225.5
▼ 1
Close224.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ORL +220 · NY -270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NY -7.5 · closed NY -6.5 · moved 1 toward ORLmodel NY -8.5
model NY -8.5
Opened 225.5 · closed 224.5 · moved 1 downmodel 222.5
model 222.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORLlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% |
| NYlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% | 0-2 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 19 since 2021-22
ORL 9–10 NYNY leads · 19 games since 2021-22 · NY has won the last 2 meetings · ORL 9-10 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2025-26 | NY 132 @ ORL 120 | ORL +3.5 | NY W |
| Dec 7, 2025-26 | ORL 100 @ NY 106 | NY -1.5 | NY W |
| Nov 22, 2025-26 | NY 121 @ ORL 133 | ORL -1.5 | ORL W |
| Nov 12, 2025-26 | ORL 124 @ NY 107 | NY -3.5 | ORL W |
| Jan 6, 2024-25 | ORL 103 @ NY 94 | NY -10.5 | ORL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Magic
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −16.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
ATL
ATLL 125-132
−9.5
23
vs
MIN
MINL 93-115
−23.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsATL
ATLL 125-132
+23.5
23
vsMIN
MINL 93-115
−26.5
over 1under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Knicks
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
0-2
0% covers · avg −6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −18 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
PHI
PHIL 100-106
−10.5
23
@
BOS
BOSL 103-107
−1.5
covered 0didn’t cover 2avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−25.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−10.5
over 0under 2avg −18 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Magic
0-2 overall · 0-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Timberwolves93–115
- Lvs Hawks125–132
2 days since their last game.
Knicks
0-2 overall · 0-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Celtics103–107
- Lvs 76ers100–106
2 days since their last game.