Target Center · at Timberwolves
Closing line
MIN -3.5✓ MIN covered by 19.5
MIN -3.5✓ MIN covered by 19.5Closing total228.5Under by 17.5
 TOR | This season | MIN |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOR 110–115 MIN · ✓ MIN (62%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 21 | 26 | 15 | 32 | 94 |
| MIN | 32 | 23 | 35 | 27 | 117 |
1st half: TOR 47, MIN 55 (MIN by 8). The model had MIN by 2.2 and a total of 112.8 (actual 102).
Team stats
| TOR | MIN | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-91 38% | Field goals | 43-77 56% |
| 10-38 26% | 3-pointers | 15-31 48% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 16-25 64% |
| 34 14 off | Rebounds | 49 9 off |
| 20 | Assists | 26 |
| 15 | Steals | 10 |
| 6 | Blocks | 7 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 24 |
| 23 | Fouls | 23 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| TOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett F | 32 | 20 | 2 | 2 | -19 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter G | 31 | 22 | 4 | 2 | -22 |
| Immanuel Quickley G | 28 | 19 | 3 | 2 | -16 |
| Scottie Barnes F | 28 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -27 |
| Jakob Poeltl C | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -18 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jamal Shead G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | -16 |
| Allen Graves F | 20 | 11 | 6 | 4 | -3 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles F | 19 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -7 |
| Jamison Battle F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
| Kyle Anderson F | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 |
| Alijah Martin G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis F | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +6 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 |
Did not play: Kawhi Leonard (COACH'S DECISION)
| MIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rudy Gobert C | 31 | 8 | 13 | 0 | +21 |
| Jaden McDaniels F | 31 | 14 | 6 | 3 | +31 |
| Anthony Edwards G | 28 | 26 | 1 | 3 | +9 |
| Jonathan Kuminga F | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | +23 |
| LaMelo Ball G | 17 | 15 | 1 | 8 | +33 |
| Bench | |||||
| Terrence Shannon Jr. G | 23 | 15 | 4 | 3 | +1 |
| Ayo Dosunmu G | 23 | 9 | 3 | 3 | +19 |
| Bones Hyland G | 15 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -11 |
| Trey Lyles F | 14 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +14 |
| Joan Beringer F | 13 | 6 | 6 | 0 | +8 |
| Cody Williams F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -9 |
| Zyon Pullin G | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -9 |
| Jaylen Clark G | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -9 |
| Isaiah Evans F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -6 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIN -3.5
ModelMIN -4.2
Model edgeMIN +0.7
W MIN covered
Total
Market228.5
Model224.8
Model edgeUnder 3.7
W Under
Projected score
TOR 110.4 · MIN 114.5
TOR 94 · MIN 117
Win probability
MIN 62%
1st half
Spread
MIN -2.2
MIN -8.0
Total
112.8
102 points
Projected score
TOR 55.3 · MIN 57.5
TOR 47 · MIN 55
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIN -2.5
1 → MIN
CloseMIN -3.5
1 pt toward MIN
Total
Open231.5
▼ 3
Close228.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
TOR +140 · MIN -166
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIN -2.5 · closed MIN -3.5 · moved 1 toward MINmodel MIN -4
model MIN -4
Opened 231.5 · closed 228.5 · moved 3 downmodel 225
model 225
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TORlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
| MINlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
TOR 5–5 MINSeries tied · 10 games since 2021-22 · MIN has won the last 2 meetings · TOR 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2025-26 | TOR 107 @ MIN 115 | MIN -4.5 | MIN W |
| Feb 4, 2025-26 | MIN 128 @ TOR 126 | TOR +2.5 | TOR W |
| Nov 21, 2024-25 | MIN 105 @ TOR 110 | TOR +6.5 | TOR W |
| Oct 26, 2024-25 | TOR 101 @ MIN 112 | MIN -14.5 | TOR W |
| Apr 3, 2023-24 | TOR 85 @ MIN 133 | MIN -17.5 | MIN W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Raptors
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +16.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −16.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHI
CHIW 135-92
+32.5
23
@
WSH
WSHW 112-102
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHI
CHIW 135-92
−10.5
23
@WSH
WSHW 112-102
−22.5
over 0under 2avg −16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Timberwolves
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +25 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −15 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MIA
MIAW 131-106
+26.5
23
@
ORL
ORLW 115-93
+23.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +25 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MIA
MIAW 131-106
−3.5
23
@ORL
ORLW 115-93
−26.5
over 0under 2avg −15 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Raptors
2-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Wizards112–102
- Wvs Bulls135–92
2 days since their last game.
Timberwolves
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Magic115–93
- W@ Heat131–106
2 days since their last game.