Paycom Center · at Thunder · Conference game
Closing line
OKC -16.5✓ LAC covered by 9.5
OKC -16.5✓ LAC covered by 9.5Closing total223.5Under by 14.5
 LAC | This season | OKC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 0-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LAC 106–116 OKC · ✓ OKC (77%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LAC | 20 | 26 | 30 | 25 | 101 |
| OKC | 23 | 20 | 34 | 31 | 108 |
1st half: LAC 46, OKC 43 (LAC by 3). The model had OKC by 5.7 and a total of 111.6 (actual 89).
Team stats
| LAC | OKC | |
|---|---|---|
| 37-81 46% | Field goals | 42-94 45% |
| 15-38 39% | 3-pointers | 8-24 33% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 16-17 94% |
| 38 8 off | Rebounds | 46 15 off |
| 30 | Assists | 23 |
| 10 | Steals | 15 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 26 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 64 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| LAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Garland G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 11 | -20 |
| Kris Dunn G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 6 | +5 |
| Derrick Jones Jr. F | 30 | 11 | 6 | 1 | -18 |
| Rui Hachimura F | 29 | 5 | 4 | 0 | -17 |
| Isaiah Jackson F | 24 | 10 | 6 | 4 | -1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Keaton Wagler G | 26 | 11 | 5 | 4 | +2 |
| Brook Lopez C | 23 | 15 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| Kobe Sanders G | 20 | 12 | 4 | 2 | +11 |
| Gradey Dick G | 18 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +11 |
| Baba Miller F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -7 |
Did not play: Jalen Pickett (COACH'S DECISION), Cam Christie (COACH'S DECISION), Nick Martinelli (COACH'S DECISION)
| OKC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G | 36 | 34 | 6 | 5 | +17 |
| Jalen Williams G | 32 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +7 |
| Chet Holmgren C | 31 | 10 | 4 | 0 | -6 |
| Isaiah Hartenstein C | 27 | 12 | 12 | 1 | +1 |
| Cason Wallace G | 6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +2 |
| Bench | |||||
| Ajay Mitchell G | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | +3 |
| Alex Caruso G | 22 | 12 | 7 | 6 | +18 |
| Jared McCain G | 21 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -1 |
| Aday Mara C | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +3 |
| Bennett Stirtz G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -7 |
| Kenrich Williams G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +2 |
| Jaylin Williams F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
Did not play: Brooks Barnhizer (COACH'S DECISION), Josh Dix (COACH'S DECISION), Otega Oweh (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOKC -16.5
ModelOKC -10.3
Model edgeLAC +6.2
W LAC covered
Total
Market223.5
Model222.4
Model edgeUnder 1.1
W Under
Projected score
LAC 106 · OKC 116.3
LAC 101 · OKC 108
Win probability
OKC 77%
1st half
Spread
OKC -5.7
LAC -3.0
Total
111.6
89 points
Projected score
LAC 53 · OKC 58.6
LAC 46 · OKC 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOKC -14.5
2 → OKC
CloseOKC -16.5
2 pts toward OKC
Total
Open221.5
▲ 2
Close223.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LAC +800 · OKC -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OKC -14.5 · closed OKC -16.5 · moved 2 toward OKCmodel OKC -10.5
model OKC -10.5
Opened 221.5 · closed 223.5 · moved 2 upmodel 222.5
model 222.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LAClast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% |
| OKClast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
LAC 4–13 OKCOKC leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · OKC has won the last 8 meetings · LAC 4-13 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025-26 | OKC 128 @ LAC 110 | LAC +8.5 | OKC W |
| Dec 18, 2025-26 | LAC 101 @ OKC 122 | OKC -16.5 | OKC W |
| Nov 4, 2025-26 | OKC 126 @ LAC 107 | LAC +8.5 | OKC W |
| Mar 23, 2024-25 | OKC 103 @ LAC 101 | LAC -0.5 | OKC W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | LAC 98 @ OKC 116 | OKC -12.5 | OKC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Clippers
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +10 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
SAC
SACW 121-96
+19.5
23
@
LAL
LALL 117-125
+0.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsSAC
SACW 121-96
−9.5
23
@LAL
LALL 117-125
+16.5
over 1under 1avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Thunder
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −33 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
SA
SAW 116-104
+10.5
22
vs
DEN
DENW 96-84
+4.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@SA
SAW 116-104
−9.5
22
vsDEN
DENW 96-84
−56.5
over 0under 2avg −33 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Clippers
1-1 overall · 1-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Lakers117–125
- Wvs Kings121–96
2 days since their last game.
Thunder
2-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Nuggets96–84
- W@ Spurs116–104
3 days since their last game.