Paycom Center · at Thunder · Conference game
#15DENNuggets84final
Final
#6OKCThunder96▲ winner
Closing lineOKC -7.5✓ OKC covered by 4.5
Closing total236.5Under by 56.5
Season records: Nuggets and Thunder
DENThis seasonOKC
0-0Record1-0
0-0ATS1-0
0-0O/U0-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: DEN 112–121 OKC · ✓ OKC (73%) won
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Box score

Score by quarter
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
DEN2721162084
OKC2420262696

1st half: DEN 48, OKC 44 (DEN by 4). The model had OKC by 4.8 and a total of 116.7 (actual 92).

Team stats

DENOKC
31-82 38%Field goals36-95 38%
8-30 27%3-pointers11-43 26%
14-22 64%Free throws13-14 93%
53 19 offRebounds46 16 off
17Assists22
7Steals12
2Blocks9
22Turnovers12
23Fouls22
36Points in paint46
2Fast-break points10

Players

DENMINPTSREBAST+/-
Jamal Murray G376103-15
Nikola Jokic C351375-20
Christian Braun G33761-20
Aaron Gordon F292061-11
Cameron Johnson F115210
Bench
DeMar DeRozan G281320-10
Alpha Diallo F22423+1
Trevon Brazile F184120-1
Marvin Bagley III F11231+3
Tyus Jones G10200-2
Bryce Hopkins F2010+5
Ryan Nembhard G2511+5
DaRon Holmes II F2311+5

Did not play: Zeke Nnaji (COACH'S DECISION)

OKCMINPTSREBAST+/-
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander G351723+21
Jalen Williams G3321530
Chet Holmgren C2812172+12
Cason Wallace G24911+8
Isaiah Hartenstein C23662+8
Bench
Ajay Mitchell G231200+10
Alex Caruso G20745+17
Jared McCain G18401-2
Jaylin Williams F15373+13
Aday Mara C13230-8
Kenrich Williams G6311-9
Bennett Stirtz G2000-5
Brooks Barnhizer F2001-5
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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOKC -7.5
ModelOKC -8.7
Model edgeOKC +1.2
W OKC covered
Total
Market236.5
Model233.3
Model edgeUnder 3.2
W Under
Projected score
DEN 112.3 · OKC 121
DEN 84 · OKC 96
Win probability
OKC 73%
1st half
Spread
OKC -4.8
DEN -4.0
Total
116.7
92 points
Projected score
DEN 56 · OKC 60.8
DEN 48 · OKC 44

Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +270 · OKC -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OKC -7.5 · unchangedmodel OKC -8.5
Opened 235.5 · closed 236.5 · moved 1 upmodel 233.5
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Nuggets

0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Western Conference

Last five, 2026-27
  • No games yet

A week or more of rest.

Thunder

1-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Western Conference

Last five, 2026-27
  • W@ Spurs116–104

2 days since their last game.