Capital One Arena · at Wizards · Conference game
Closing line
TOR -9.5✓ TOR covered by 0.5
TOR -9.5✓ TOR covered by 0.5Closing total236.5Under by 22.5
| TOR | This season | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TOR 121–111 WSH · ✓ TOR (75%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TOR | 34 | 26 | 21 | 31 | 112 |
| WSH | 21 | 31 | 25 | 25 | 102 |
1st half: TOR 60, WSH 52 (TOR by 8). The model had TOR by 5.5 and a total of 116.2 (actual 112).
Team stats
| TOR | WSH | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-101 44% | Field goals | 30-79 38% |
| 7-34 21% | 3-pointers | 12-37 32% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 30-35 86% |
| 53 19 off | Rebounds | 40 6 off |
| 25 | Assists | 21 |
| 12 | Steals | 10 |
| 6 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 23 |
| 31 | Fouls | 26 |
| 52 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| TOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scottie Barnes F | 37 | 28 | 14 | 5 | +9 |
| RJ Barrett F | 34 | 23 | 9 | 4 | +3 |
| Immanuel Quickley G | 29 | 12 | 1 | 6 | +1 |
| Kawhi Leonard F | 28 | 16 | 9 | 1 | -5 |
| Jakob Poeltl C | 27 | 6 | 9 | 2 | -3 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jamal Shead G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 5 | +9 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter G | 24 | 7 | 4 | 2 | +19 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles F | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | +21 |
| Jamison Battle F | 12 | 5 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| Allen Graves F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 |
| Alijah Martin G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Did not play: Kyle Anderson (COACH'S DECISION)
| WSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trae Young G | 37 | 22 | 1 | 12 | +1 |
| Anthony Davis F | 32 | 9 | 9 | 0 | -13 |
| Kyshawn George F | 26 | 11 | 3 | 3 | -17 |
| Bilal Coulibaly G | 26 | 11 | 6 | 0 | -20 |
| Alex Sarr C | 25 | 7 | 4 | 5 | +1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Tre Johnson G | 26 | 20 | 2 | 0 | -8 |
| Justin Champagnie F | 23 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +1 |
| Khris Middleton F | 16 | 6 | 2 | 0 | +2 |
| Deandre Ayton C | 14 | 4 | 6 | 1 | -2 |
| Bub Carrington G | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Tre Mann G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Felix Okpara F | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Will Riley G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Reece Beekman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
| Anthony Gill F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 |
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTOR -9.5
ModelTOR -9.5
Model edge—
TOR covered
Total
Market236.5
Model232.2
Model edgeUnder 4.3
W Under
Projected score
TOR 120.8 · WSH 111.3
TOR 112 · WSH 102
Win probability
TOR 75%
1st half
Spread
TOR -5.5
TOR -8.0
Total
116.2
112 points
Projected score
TOR 60.8 · WSH 55.3
TOR 60 · WSH 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOR -4.5
5 → TOR
CloseTOR -9.5
5 pts toward TOR
Total
Open235.5
▲ 1
Close236.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TOR -340 · WSH +270
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOR -4.5 · closed TOR -9.5 · moved 5 toward TORmodel TOR -9.5 matches the line
model TOR -9.5 = line ✓
Opened 235.5 · closed 236.5 · moved 1 upmodel 232
model 232
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TORlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| WSHlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
TOR 13–5 WSHTOR leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · TOR 11-6-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2025-26 | TOR 134 @ WSH 125 | WSH +13.5 | WSH W |
| Dec 26, 2025-26 | TOR 117 @ WSH 138 | WSH +8.5 | WSH W |
| Nov 21, 2025-26 | WSH 110 @ TOR 140 | TOR -14.5 | TOR W |
| Mar 24, 2024-25 | TOR 112 @ WSH 104 | WSH -1.5 | TOR W |
| Mar 10, 2024-25 | WSH 104 @ TOR 119 | TOR -6.5 | TOR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Raptors
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +32.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | vs CHI | W 135-92 | -10.5 | W +32.5 | 237.5 | U 227 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsCHI
CHIW 135-92
+32.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +32.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHI
CHIW 135-92
−10.5
over 0under 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wizards
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | vs MIL | W 128-116 | -4.5 | W +7.5 | 239.5 | O 244 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsMIL
MILW 128-116
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsMIL
MILW 128-116
+4.5
over 1under 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Raptors
1-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Bulls135–92
2 days since their last game.
Wizards
1-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Bucks128–116
2 days since their last game.