Capital One Arena · at Wizards · Conference game
#29MILBucks116final
Final
#24WSHWizards128▲ winner
Closing lineWSH -4.5✓ WSH covered by 7.5
Closing total239.5Over by 4.5
Season records: Bucks and Wizards
MILThis seasonWSH
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: MIL 119–117 WSH · ✗ MIL (56%) lost
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Box score

Score by quarter
Q1Q2Q3Q4T
MIL23333723116
WSH25263938128

1st half: MIL 56, WSH 51 (MIL by 5). The model had MIL by 1.4 and a total of 117.9 (actual 107).

Team stats

MILWSH
41-91 45%Field goals45-86 52%
15-41 37%3-pointers6-28 21%
19-23 83%Free throws32-41 78%
41 13 offRebounds44 12 off
28Assists28
5Steals11
2Blocks7
16Turnovers13
32Fouls22
50Points in paint70
16Fast-break points9

Players

MILMINPTSREBAST+/-
Myles Turner C321153-4
Tyler Herro G322429-6
Jaime Jaquez Jr. F3122720
Kyle Kuzma F27563-10
Ryan Rollins G24963-4
Bench
Kasparas Jakucionis G261533-4
Ousmane Dieng F21543-4
Brayden Burries G161250-12
AJ Green G15601-10
Kel'el Ware C14731-10
Jericho Sims C2000+4

Did not play: Nate Ament (COACH'S DECISION), Bogoljub Markovic (COACH'S DECISION), Gary Trent Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Caris LeVert (COACH'S DECISION)

WSHMINPTSREBAST+/-
Trae Young G3820013+6
Anthony Davis F3434124+6
Kyshawn George F291853+13
Bilal Coulibaly G291121+6
Alex Sarr C24692-4
Bench
Justin Champagnie F21881+17
Tre Johnson G19810+12
Bub Carrington G1910140
Deandre Ayton C151140+6
Khris Middleton F12220-2

Did not play: Felix Okpara (COACH'S DECISION), Will Riley (COACH'S DECISION), Tre Mann (COACH'S DECISION), Reece Beekman (COACH'S DECISION), Anthony Gill (COACH'S DECISION)

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Market vs model

The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWSH -4.5
ModelMIL -2.3
Model edgeMIL +6.8
L WSH covered
Total
Market239.5
Model235.8
Model edgeUnder 3.7
L Over
Projected score
MIL 119 · WSH 116.8
MIL 116 · WSH 128
Win probability
MIL 56%
1st half
Spread
MIL -1.4
MIL -5.0
Total
117.9
107 points
Projected score
MIL 59.6 · WSH 58.2
MIL 56 · WSH 51

Market

Open → close
Spread
No change since the open
Total
No change since the open
Moneyline
MIL +145 · WSH -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WSH -4.5 · unchangedmodel MIL -2.5
Opened 239.5 · unchangedmodel 236
Openline modelTip-off

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Bucks

0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Eastern Conference

Last five, 2026-27
  • No games yet

A week or more of rest.

Wizards

0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Eastern Conference

Last five, 2026-27
  • No games yet

A week or more of rest.