NBA Games Fri, Oct 23 | sportsanalysis.info

FinalCurrentUpcomingFri, Oct 23: 1st-half lines ›

Day in numbers12 finalFavorites 4-8 ATS5 upsetsO/U 5-7Model Favorite 6-6OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games1212 final · 0 to play

Lines moved91+ pt since the open · 12 with a line

Totals moved111+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS4-833% covered

Upsets5outright

Over / Under5-742% over

Model Favorite6-650% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
TOR @ WSH	TOR -4.5 → TOR -9.5	5 → TOR	235.5 → 236.5	▲ 1
DET @ MIA	MIA -1.5 → DET -2.5	4 → DET	234.5 → 235.5	▲ 1
NO @ UTAH	UTAH -5.5 → UTAH -1.5	4 → NO	241.5 → 238.5	▼ 3
DAL @ IND	IND -5.5 → IND -7.5	2 → IND	234.5 → 241.5	▲ 7
MIN @ ORL	MIN -1.5 → ORL -1.5	3 → ORL	237.5 → 234.5	▼ 3
POR @ SAC	POR -6.5 → POR -9.5	3 → POR	232.5 → 231.5	▼ 1
HOU @ SA	SA -6.5 → SA -4.5	2 → HOU	225.5 → 224.5	▼ 1
LAC @ LAL	LAL -9.5 → LAL -8.5	1 → LAC	229.5 → 225.5	▼ 4
NY @ BOS	BOS -2.5 → BOS -2.5	no move	223.5 → 220.5	▼ 3
MEM @ GS	GS -3.5 → GS -4.5	1 → GS	235.5 → 236.5	▲ 1

Top 10 of 11; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	26-30	46%
2+ pts	11-17	39%
3+ pts	9-11	45%
5+ pts	2-3	40%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

Sort by

Sort games by

Sort by

Final

Bulls

0-1 · #28

132

Bucks

0-1 · #29

125

Spread

MIL -1.5

✓ CHI W ATS

Total

241.5 ▲2

▲ Over 257

Projected

116–120

✗ MIL lost

Model: MIL by 1.7 ✗ Model: Under 5.6 ✗

Final

Knicks

0-1 · #8

103

Celtics

0-1 · #5

107

Spread

BOS -2.5

✓ BOS W ATS

Total

220.5 ▼3

▼ Under 210

Projected

107–110

✓ BOS won

Model: BOS by 0.4 ✓ Model: Under 3.8 ✓

Final

Hawks

1-0 · #14

128

Hornets

1-0 · #23

Spread

ATL -2.5

✓ ATL W ATS

Total

226.5

▼ Under 209

Projected

113–117

✗ CHA lost

Model: CHA by 6.6 ✗ Model: Over 2.7 ✗

Final

Mavericks

0-1 · #17

121

Pacers

1-0 · #25

105

Spread

IND -7.5

✓ DAL W ATS

Total

241.5 ▲7

▼ Under 226

Projected

118–120

✗ IND lost

Model: DAL by 5.7 ✓ Model: Under 4.1 ✓

Final

Timberwolves

1-0 · #2

115

Magic

0-1 · #19

Spread

ORL -1.5

✓ MIN W ATS

Total

234.5 ▼3

▼ Under 208

Projected

115–115

✓ MIN won

Model: MIN by 2.0 ✓ Model: Under 4.2 ✓

Final

Raptors

1-0 · #7

112

Wizards

1-0 · #24

102

Spread

TOR -9.5

✓ TOR W ATS

Total

236.5 ▲1

▼ Under 214

Projected

121–111

✓ TOR won

Model: Under 4.3 ✓

Final

Pistons

1-0 · #4

128

Heat

0-1 · #18

111

Spread

DET -2.5

✓ DET W ATS

Total

235.5 ▲1

▲ Over 239

Projected

118–114

✓ DET won

Model: DET by 1.3 ✓ Model: Under 4.3 ✗

Final

Rockets

1-0 · #1

114

Spurs

0-1 · #3

110

Spread

SA -4.5

✓ HOU W ATS

Total

224.5 ▼1

▼ Under 224

Projected

109–114

✗ SA lost

Model: SA by 0.4 ✗ Model: Under 2.0 ✓

Final

Pelicans

0-1 · #22

119

Jazz

0-1 · #26

120

Spread

UTAH -1.5

✓ NO W ATS

Total

238.5 ▼3

▲ Over 239

Projected

121–120

✗ NO lost

Model: NO by 2.3 ✓ Model: Over 1.9 ✓

Final

Grizzlies

1-0 · #12

111

Warriors

0-1 · #13

108

Spread

GS -4.5

✓ MEM W ATS

Total

236.5 ▲1

▼ Under 219

Projected

115–119

✗ GS lost

Model: MEM by 0.2 ✓ Model: Under 2.1 ✓

Final

Clippers

1-0 · #20

117

Lakers

1-0 · #10

125

Spread

LAL -8.5

✓ LAC W ATS

Total

225.5 ▼4

▲ Over 242

Projected

112–115

✓ LAL won

Model: LAC by 5.6 ✓ Model: Over 1.6 ✓

Final

Trail Blazers

1-0 · #9

128

Kings

0-1 · #30

120

Spread

POR -9.5

✓ SAC W ATS

Total

231.5 ▼1

▲ Over 248

Projected

119–109

✓ POR won

Model: POR by 1.0 ✗ Model: Under 3.9 ✗

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Bulls 0-1 · #28 132 Bucks 0-1 · #29 125	MIL -1.5	241.5	MIL -3.2	MIL +1.7	235.9	Under 5.6	59% MIL	L L	›
Final	Knicks 0-1 · #8 103 Celtics 0-1 · #5 107	BOS -2.5	220.5	BOS -2.9	BOS +0.4	216.7	Under 3.8	58% BOS	W W	›
Final	Hawks 1-0 · #14 128 Hornets 1-0 · #23 81	ATL -2.5	226.5	CHA -4.1	CHA +6.6	229.2	Over 2.7	61% CHA	L L	›
Final	Mavericks 0-1 · #17 121 Pacers 1-0 · #25 105	IND -7.5	241.5	IND -1.8	DAL +5.7	237.4	Under 4.1	55% IND	W W	›
Final	Timberwolves 1-0 · #2 115 Magic 0-1 · #19 93	ORL -1.5	234.5	MIN -0.5	MIN +2.0	230.3	Under 4.2	51% MIN	W W	›
Final	Raptors 1-0 · #7 112 Wizards 1-0 · #24 102	TOR -9.5	236.5	TOR -9.5	—	232.2	Under 4.3	75% TOR	W	›
Final	Pistons 1-0 · #4 128 Heat 0-1 · #18 111	DET -2.5	235.5	DET -3.8	DET +1.3	231.2	Under 4.3	61% DET	W L	›
Final	Rockets 1-0 · #1 114 Spurs 0-1 · #3 110	SA -4.5	224.5	SA -4.9	SA +0.4	222.5	Under 2.0	64% SA	L W	›
Final	Pelicans 0-1 · #22 119 Jazz 0-1 · #26 120	UTAH -1.5	238.5	NO -0.8	NO +2.3	240.4	Over 1.9	52% NO	W W	›
Final	Grizzlies 1-0 · #12 111 Warriors 0-1 · #13 108	GS -4.5	236.5	GS -4.3	MEM +0.2	234.4	Under 2.1	62% GS	W W	›
Final	Clippers 1-0 · #20 117 Lakers 1-0 · #10 125	LAL -8.5	225.5	LAL -2.9	LAC +5.6	227.1	Over 1.6	58% LAL	W W	›
Final	Trail Blazers 1-0 · #9 128 Kings 0-1 · #30 120	POR -9.5	231.5	POR -10.5	POR +1.0	227.6	Under 3.9	77% POR	L L	›

Day in numbers12 finalFavorites 4-8 ATS5 upsetsO/U 5-7Model Favorite 6-6OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NBA games · Friday, October 23

Day in numbers

Sort