TD Garden · at Celtics · Conference game
Closing line
BOS -2.5✓ BOS covered by 1.5
Closing total220.5Under by 10.5
| This season | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NY 107–110 BOS · ✓ BOS (58%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NY | 27 | 22 | 24 | 30 | 103 |
| BOS | 26 | 24 | 33 | 24 | 107 |
1st half: NY 49, BOS 50 (BOS by 1). The model had BOS by 1.5 and a total of 109.0 (actual 99).
Team stats
| NY | BOS | |
|---|---|---|
| 36-80 45% | Field goals | 40-87 46% |
| 16-40 40% | 3-pointers | 15-39 38% |
| 15-21 71% | Free throws | 12-16 75% |
| 44 12 off | Rebounds | 37 10 off |
| 27 | Assists | 25 |
| 6 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 18 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 23 | Fouls | 22 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| NY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Brunson G | 37 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +6 |
| Karl-Anthony Towns C | 37 | 22 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
| Josh Hart G | 36 | 10 | 12 | 5 | +4 |
| OG Anunoby F | 34 | 20 | 10 | 8 | -11 |
| Mikal Bridges G | 22 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -12 |
| Bench | |||||
| Miles McBride G | 30 | 20 | 2 | 1 | -5 |
| Landry Shamet G | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | +7 |
| Jose Alvarado G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -10 |
| Andre Drummond C | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -8 |
| Jordan Clarkson G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
| James Wiseman C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
Did not play: Tyler Kolek (COACH'S DECISION), Pacome Dadiet, Mohamed Diawara (COACH'S DECISION)
| BOS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum F | 37 | 36 | 9 | 7 | +1 |
| Paul George F | 34 | 15 | 7 | 2 | +1 |
| Derrick White G | 33 | 12 | 4 | 6 | -4 |
| Mitchell Robinson C | 22 | 4 | 4 | 2 | -2 |
| Jordan Walsh G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 0 | +1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Payton Pritchard G | 30 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +8 |
| Sam Hauser F | 23 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +8 |
| Neemias Queta C | 22 | 15 | 6 | 1 | -1 |
| Baylor Scheierman G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +4 |
| Luka Garza C | 4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | +6 |
| Hugo Gonzalez G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Did not play: Ron Harper Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Mike Conley (COACH'S DECISION), Chris Cenac Jr. (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBOS -2.5
ModelBOS -2.9
Model edgeBOS +0.4
W BOS covered
Total
Market220.5
Model216.7
Model edgeUnder 3.8
W Under
Projected score
NY 106.9 · BOS 109.8
NY 103 · BOS 107
Win probability
BOS 58%
1st half
Spread
BOS -1.5
BOS -1.0
Total
109.0
99 points
Projected score
NY 53.7 · BOS 55.2
NY 49 · BOS 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBOS -2.5
no move
CloseBOS -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open223.5
▼ 3
Close220.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
NY +124 · BOS -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BOS -2.5 · unchangedmodel BOS -3
model BOS -3
Opened 223.5 · closed 220.5 · moved 3 downmodel 216.5
model 216.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | |
| 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 27 since 2021-22
NY 13–14 BOSBOS leads · 27 games since 2021-22 · NY has won the last 2 meetings · NY 15-12 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025-26 | BOS 106 @ NY 112 | NY -3.5 | NY W |
| Feb 8, 2025-26 | NY 111 @ BOS 89 | BOS -3.5 | NY W |
| Dec 2, 2025-26 | NY 117 @ BOS 123 | BOS +1.5 | BOS W |
| Oct 24, 2025-26 | BOS 95 @ NY 105 | NY -4.5 | NY W |
| May 16, 2024-25 | BOS 81 @ NY 119 | NY -2.5 | NY W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Knicks
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −10.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −25.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | vs | L 100-106 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 231.5 | U 206 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
PHI
L 100-106
−10.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vs
PHI
L 100-106
−25.5
over 0under 1avg −25.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Celtics
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +13.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20 | @ | L 113-121 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 220.5 | O 234 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
DET
L 113-121
−9.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@
DET
L 113-121
+13.5
over 1under 0avg +13.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Knicks
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs 76ers100–106
3 days since their last game.
Celtics
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Pistons113–121
3 days since their last game.