Fiserv Forum · at Bucks · Conference game
Closing line
MIL -1.5✓ CHI covered by 8.5
MIL -1.5✓ CHI covered by 8.5Closing total241.5Over by 15.5
 CHI | This season | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CHI 116–120 MIL · ✗ MIL (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI | 17 | 44 | 41 | 30 | 132 |
| MIL | 32 | 30 | 42 | 21 | 125 |
1st half: CHI 61, MIL 62 (MIL by 1). The model had MIL by 1.7 and a total of 117.9 (actual 123).
Team stats
| CHI | MIL | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-98 47% | Field goals | 46-92 50% |
| 12-45 27% | 3-pointers | 19-46 41% |
| 28-30 93% | Free throws | 14-26 54% |
| 44 13 off | Rebounds | 44 11 off |
| 29 | Assists | 29 |
| 10 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 6 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 20 | Fouls | 26 |
| 62 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| CHI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Norman Powell G | 33 | 25 | 4 | 1 | -1 |
| Caleb Wilson F | 33 | 21 | 6 | 1 | -3 |
| Josh Giddey G | 25 | 6 | 4 | 9 | -15 |
| Jalen Smith F | 24 | 14 | 13 | 1 | +4 |
| Matas Buzelis F | 17 | 7 | 5 | 3 | -10 |
| Bench | |||||
| Isaac Okoro F | 28 | 12 | 3 | 1 | +11 |
| Leonard Miller F | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | +3 |
| Tre Jones G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 8 | +24 |
| Noa Essengue F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +14 |
| Buddy Hield G | 15 | 13 | 2 | 2 | +8 |
Did not play: Patrick Williams (COACH'S DECISION), Dailyn Swain (COACH'S DECISION), Jaylin Sellers (COACH'S DECISION), Zach Collins (COACH'S DECISION), Tobe Awaka (COACH'S DECISION)
| MIL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaime Jaquez Jr. F | 35 | 19 | 11 | 5 | +4 |
| Ryan Rollins G | 34 | 11 | 7 | 6 | -1 |
| Tyler Herro G | 32 | 34 | 5 | 4 | +1 |
| Myles Turner C | 30 | 12 | 3 | 1 | -13 |
| Kyle Kuzma F | 30 | 14 | 9 | 4 | +1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Kasparas Jakucionis G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 5 | -4 |
| AJ Green G | 17 | 11 | 1 | 0 | -17 |
| Ousmane Dieng F | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | -10 |
| Kel'el Ware C | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | +10 |
| Brayden Burries G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 |
Did not play: Kevin Porter Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Jericho Sims (COACH'S DECISION), Gary Trent Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Nate Ament (COACH'S DECISION), Caris LeVert (COACH'S DECISION), Bogoljub Markovic (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMIL -1.5
ModelMIL -3.2
Model edgeMIL +1.7
L CHI covered
Total
Market241.5
Model235.9
Model edgeUnder 5.6
L Over
Projected score
CHI 116.4 · MIL 119.6
CHI 132 · MIL 125
Win probability
MIL 59%
1st half
Spread
MIL -1.7
MIL -1.0
Total
117.9
123 points
Projected score
CHI 58.1 · MIL 59.8
CHI 61 · MIL 62
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIL -1.5
no move
CloseMIL -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open239.5
▲ 2
Close241.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CHI -102 · MIL -118
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIL -1.5 · unchangedmodel MIL -3
model MIL -3
Opened 239.5 · closed 241.5 · moved 2 upmodel 236
model 236
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CHIlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
| MILlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 25 since 2021-22
CHI 7–18 MILMIL leads · 25 games since 2021-22 · CHI 11-14 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2025-26 | MIL 97 @ CHI 120 | CHI +2.5 | CHI W |
| Feb 3, 2025-26 | CHI 115 @ MIL 131 | MIL +1.5 | MIL W |
| Dec 27, 2025-26 | MIL 112 @ CHI 103 | CHI -2.5 | MIL W |
| Nov 7, 2025-26 | CHI 110 @ MIL 126 | MIL -4.5 | MIL W |
| Dec 28, 2024-25 | MIL 111 @ CHI 116 | CHI +1.5 | CHI W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bulls
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −32.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −10.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ TOR | L 92-135 | +10.5 | L −32.5 | 237.5 | U 227 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@TOR
TORL 92-135
−32.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −32.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@TOR
TORL 92-135
−10.5
over 0under 1avg −10.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Bucks
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −7.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ WSH | L 116-128 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 239.5 | O 244 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@WSH
WSHL 116-128
−7.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@WSH
WSHL 116-128
+4.5
over 1under 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bulls
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Raptors92–135
2 days since their last game.
Bucks
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Wizards116–128
2 days since their last game.