Spectrum Center · at Hornets · Conference game
Closing line
ATL -2.5✓ ATL covered by 44.5
ATL -2.5✓ ATL covered by 44.5Closing total226.5Under by 17.5
| ATL | This season | CHA |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ATL 113–117 CHA · ✗ CHA (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATL | 33 | 35 | 29 | 31 | 128 |
| CHA | 20 | 23 | 19 | 19 | 81 |
1st half: ATL 68, CHA 43 (ATL by 25). The model had CHA by 2.2 and a total of 114.8 (actual 111).
Team stats
| ATL | CHA | |
|---|---|---|
| 48-95 51% | Field goals | 30-87 34% |
| 18-45 40% | 3-pointers | 11-51 22% |
| 14-22 64% | Free throws | 10-12 83% |
| 48 12 off | Rebounds | 48 19 off |
| 37 | Assists | 21 |
| 17 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 27 |
| 21 | Fouls | 18 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| ATL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Johnson F | 29 | 19 | 7 | 8 | +26 |
| Nickeil Alexander-Walker G | 27 | 14 | 3 | 5 | +43 |
| Dyson Daniels G | 23 | 11 | 9 | 4 | +32 |
| CJ McCollum G | 22 | 13 | 1 | 2 | +27 |
| Onyeka Okongwu F | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | +27 |
| Bench | |||||
| Kingston Flemings G | 25 | 5 | 6 | 8 | +15 |
| Aaron Wiggins G | 22 | 19 | 1 | 1 | +8 |
| Luguentz Dort G | 19 | 9 | 5 | 2 | +8 |
| Jock Landale C | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | +12 |
| Corey Kispert F | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | +13 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | +8 |
| Asa Newell F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +8 |
| Dorian Finney-Smith F | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +8 |
| CHA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naz Reid C | 25 | 17 | 6 | 2 | -28 |
| Sion James G | 24 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -13 |
| Brandon Miller F | 23 | 6 | 2 | 0 | -37 |
| Moussa Diabate F | 21 | 5 | 8 | 1 | -27 |
| Dennis Schroder G | 20 | 4 | 4 | 3 | -22 |
| Bench | |||||
| Tidjane Salaun F | 23 | 11 | 5 | 1 | -19 |
| Grayson Allen G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 3 | -16 |
| Ryan Kalkbrenner C | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | -13 |
| Royce O'Neale F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | -17 |
| Christian Anderson G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | -6 |
| Hannes Steinbach F | 12 | 6 | 5 | 0 | -12 |
| Liam McNeeley G | 12 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -12 |
| PJ Hall C | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -13 |
Did not play: Michael Ajayi (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketATL -2.5
ModelCHA -4.1
Model edgeCHA +6.6
L ATL covered
Total
Market226.5
Model229.2
Model edgeOver 2.7
L Under
Projected score
ATL 112.5 · CHA 116.6
ATL 128 · CHA 81
Win probability
CHA 61%
1st half
Spread
CHA -2.2
ATL -25.0
Total
114.8
111 points
Projected score
ATL 56.3 · CHA 58.5
ATL 68 · CHA 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenATL -2.5
no move
CloseATL -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open226.5
no move
Close226.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ATL -142 · CHA +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ATL -2.5 · unchangedmodel CHA -4
model CHA -4
Opened 226.5 · unchangedmodel 229
model 229
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ATLlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| CHAlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 21 since 2021-22
ATL 10–11 CHACHA leads · 21 games since 2021-22 · CHA has won the last 3 meetings · ATL 7-14 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | ATL 107 @ CHA 110 | CHA -2.5 | CHA W |
| Feb 7, 2025-26 | CHA 126 @ ATL 119 | ATL +1.5 | CHA W |
| Dec 18, 2025-26 | ATL 126 @ CHA 133 | CHA +4.5 | CHA W |
| Nov 23, 2025-26 | CHA 110 @ ATL 113 | ATL -8.5 | CHA W |
| Mar 18, 2024-25 | ATL 134 @ CHA 102 | CHA +7.5 | ATL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hawks
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +23.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ ORL | W 132-125 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 233.5 | O 257 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@ORL
ORLW 132-125
+9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@ORL
ORLW 132-125
+23.5
over 1under 0avg +23.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hornets
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ BKN | W 110-103 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 220.5 | U 213 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@BKN
BKNW 110-103
−7.5
over 0under 1avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hawks
1-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Magic132–125
2 days since their last game.
Hornets
1-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–103
2 days since their last game.