Gainbridge Fieldhouse · at Pacers
Closing line
IND -7.5✓ DAL covered by 23.5
IND -7.5✓ DAL covered by 23.5Closing total241.5Under by 15.5
 DAL | This season | IND |
|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | Record | 1-0 |
| 0-1 | ATS | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DAL 118–120 IND · ✗ IND (55%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL | 44 | 33 | 21 | 23 | 121 |
| IND | 27 | 16 | 33 | 29 | 105 |
1st half: DAL 77, IND 43 (DAL by 34). The model had IND by 0.9 and a total of 118.6 (actual 120).
Team stats
| DAL | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 44-88 50% | Field goals | 39-87 45% |
| 14-34 41% | 3-pointers | 7-32 22% |
| 19-23 83% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 46 11 off | Rebounds | 41 12 off |
| 28 | Assists | 27 |
| 10 | Steals | 6 |
| 11 | Blocks | 6 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 27 | Fouls | 20 |
| 54 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| DAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Max Christie G | 38 | 16 | 4 | 4 | -2 |
| P.J. Washington F | 33 | 20 | 13 | 0 | -4 |
| Kyrie Irving G | 25 | 24 | 1 | 3 | +8 |
| Cooper Flagg F | 17 | 14 | 5 | 6 | +34 |
| Daniel Gafford F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 5 | +2 |
| Bench | |||||
| Naji Marshall F | 33 | 15 | 4 | 6 | +1 |
| Zaccharie Risacher F | 32 | 11 | 6 | 1 | +14 |
| Marcus Sasser G | 27 | 6 | 2 | 3 | -6 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 17 | 8 | 6 | 0 | +21 |
| Moussa Cisse C | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
| Walter Clayton Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +3 |
| Tobi Lawal F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
| Sergio de Larrea F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 |
Did not play: Dwight Powell (COACH'S DECISION)
| IND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton G | 32 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 0 |
| Andrew Nembhard G | 32 | 16 | 2 | 5 | -6 |
| Pascal Siakam F | 29 | 23 | 3 | 3 | -4 |
| Ivica Zubac C | 24 | 9 | 11 | 2 | -23 |
| Jarace Walker F | 17 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -13 |
| Bench | |||||
| Obi Toppin F | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | -9 |
| Aaron Nesmith G | 20 | 9 | 4 | 1 | -11 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. G | 20 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -16 |
| Quenton Jackson G | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | +6 |
| Jalen Slawson F | 16 | 4 | 5 | 2 | +7 |
| Jay Huff C | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 |
| Kobe Brown G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| Larry Nance Jr. F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIND -7.5
ModelIND -1.8
Model edgeDAL +5.7
W DAL covered
Total
Market241.5
Model237.4
Model edgeUnder 4.1
W Under
Projected score
DAL 117.8 · IND 119.6
DAL 121 · IND 105
Win probability
IND 55%
1st half
Spread
IND -0.9
DAL -34.0
Total
118.6
120 points
Projected score
DAL 58.9 · IND 59.8
DAL 77 · IND 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIND -5.5
2 → IND
CloseIND -7.5
2 pts toward IND
Total
Open234.5
▲ 7
Close241.5
Up 7 since the open
Moneyline
DAL +215 · IND -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IND -5.5 · closed IND -7.5 · moved 2 toward INDmodel IND -2
model IND -2
Opened 234.5 · closed 241.5 · moved 7 upmodel 237.5
model 237.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DALlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
| INDlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DAL 4–6 INDIND leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · DAL has won the last 2 meetings · DAL 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2025-26 | DAL 134 @ IND 130 | IND +1.5 | DAL W |
| Oct 29, 2025-26 | IND 105 @ DAL 107 | DAL -5.5 | IND W |
| Mar 19, 2024-25 | DAL 131 @ IND 135 | IND -10.5 | DAL W |
| Nov 4, 2024-25 | IND 134 @ DAL 127 | DAL -4.5 | IND W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | IND 137 @ DAL 120 | DAL -5.5 | IND W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mavericks
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ HOU | L 110-128 | +9.5 | L −8.5 | 230.5 | O 238 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
−8.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@HOU
HOUL 110-128
+7.5
over 1under 0avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacers
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ NO | W 123-120 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 238.5 | O 243 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@NO
NOW 123-120
+0.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@NO
NOW 123-120
+4.5
over 1under 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mavericks
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Rockets110–128
2 days since their last game.
Pacers
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Pelicans123–120
2 days since their last game.