Kia Center · at Magic
Closing line
ORL -1.5✓ MIN covered by 23.5
ORL -1.5✓ MIN covered by 23.5Closing total234.5Under by 26.5
 MIN | This season | ORL |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MIN 115–115 ORL · ✓ MIN (51%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MIN | 26 | 31 | 29 | 29 | 115 |
| ORL | 20 | 25 | 15 | 33 | 93 |
1st half: MIN 57, ORL 45 (MIN by 12). The model had MIN by 0.4 and a total of 115.3 (actual 102).
Team stats
| MIN | ORL | |
|---|---|---|
| 42-98 43% | Field goals | 37-84 44% |
| 14-37 38% | 3-pointers | 8-39 21% |
| 17-30 57% | Free throws | 11-19 58% |
| 61 22 off | Rebounds | 43 8 off |
| 33 | Assists | 23 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 16 |
| 19 | Fouls | 26 |
| 46 | Points in paint | 54 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| MIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards G | 33 | 15 | 4 | 4 | +19 |
| Rudy Gobert C | 30 | 14 | 9 | 1 | +9 |
| Jaden McDaniels F | 30 | 15 | 6 | 4 | +12 |
| Jonathan Kuminga F | 27 | 11 | 8 | 5 | +9 |
| LaMelo Ball G | 23 | 12 | 5 | 5 | +17 |
| Bench | |||||
| Ayo Dosunmu G | 27 | 14 | 7 | 9 | +15 |
| Terrence Shannon Jr. G | 22 | 13 | 4 | 1 | +11 |
| Trey Lyles F | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | +10 |
| Joan Beringer F | 15 | 9 | 9 | 0 | +12 |
| Bones Hyland G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | -4 |
| Jaylen Clark G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| Cody Williams F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
| Isaiah Evans F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2 |
| ORL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Suggs G | 34 | 14 | 6 | 6 | -7 |
| Franz Wagner F | 33 | 18 | 6 | 5 | -18 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. C | 29 | 20 | 9 | 1 | -6 |
| Desmond Bane G | 27 | 5 | 2 | 0 | -2 |
| Paolo Banchero F | 26 | 14 | 6 | 5 | -11 |
| Bench | |||||
| Tristan da Silva F | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | -19 |
| Jase Richardson G | 14 | 6 | 1 | 3 | -18 |
| Jevon Carter G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -4 |
| Goga Bitadze C | 12 | 4 | 3 | 0 | -6 |
| Jamal Cain F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -9 |
| Alex Morales G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Colin Castleton C | 4 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Nikola Vucevic C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -10 |
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketORL -1.5
ModelMIN -0.5
Model edgeMIN +2.0
W MIN covered
Total
Market234.5
Model230.3
Model edgeUnder 4.2
W Under
Projected score
MIN 115.4 · ORL 114.9
MIN 115 · ORL 93
Win probability
MIN 51%
1st half
Spread
MIN -0.4
MIN -12.0
Total
115.3
102 points
Projected score
MIN 57.8 · ORL 57.4
MIN 57 · ORL 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMIN -1.5
3 → ORL
CloseORL -1.5
3 pts toward ORL
Total
Open237.5
▼ 3
Close234.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MIN +102 · ORL -122
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MIN -1.5 · closed ORL -1.5 · moved 3 toward ORLmodel MIN -0.5
model MIN -0.5
Opened 237.5 · closed 234.5 · moved 3 downmodel 230.5
model 230.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MINlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| ORLlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MIN 4–6 ORLORL leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ORL has won the last 2 meetings · MIN 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2025-26 | MIN 120 @ ORL 132 | ORL -11.5 | ORL W |
| Mar 7, 2025-26 | ORL 119 @ MIN 92 | MIN -6.5 | ORL W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | ORL 111 @ MIN 118 | MIN -10.5 | ORL W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | MIN 104 @ ORL 89 | ORL +5.5 | MIN W |
| Feb 2, 2023-24 | ORL 108 @ MIN 106 | MIN -6.5 | ORL W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Timberwolves
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +26.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ MIA | W 131-106 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 240.5 | U 237 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@MIA
MIAW 131-106
+26.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +26.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MIA
MIAW 131-106
−3.5
over 0under 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Magic
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +23.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | vs ATL | L 125-132 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 233.5 | O 257 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsATL
ATLL 125-132
−9.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsATL
ATLL 125-132
+23.5
over 1under 0avg +23.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Timberwolves
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Heat131–106
2 days since their last game.
Magic
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Hawks125–132
2 days since their last game.