Golden 1 Center · at Kings · Conference game
Closing line
POR -9.5✓ SAC covered by 1.5
POR -9.5✓ SAC covered by 1.5Closing total231.5Over by 16.5
| POR | This season | SAC |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: POR 119–109 SAC · ✓ POR (77%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR | 27 | 32 | 44 | 25 | 128 |
| SAC | 33 | 31 | 26 | 30 | 120 |
1st half: POR 59, SAC 64 (SAC by 5). The model had POR by 6.1 and a total of 114.0 (actual 123).
Team stats
| POR | SAC | |
|---|---|---|
| 46-96 48% | Field goals | 42-91 46% |
| 14-48 29% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 22-30 73% | Free throws | 28-30 93% |
| 45 13 off | Rebounds | 42 10 off |
| 30 | Assists | 21 |
| 8 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 23 |
| 58 | Points in paint | 60 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| POR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deni Avdija F | 38 | 26 | 6 | 6 | +12 |
| Damian Lillard G | 33 | 19 | 5 | 2 | +19 |
| Ja Morant G | 27 | 12 | 3 | 7 | +7 |
| Toumani Camara F | 27 | 19 | 3 | 1 | -3 |
| Donovan Clingan C | 21 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +8 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jrue Holiday G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 8 | -1 |
| Sidy Cissoko G | 26 | 15 | 7 | 1 | +7 |
| Scoot Henderson G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 2 | -1 |
| Robert Williams III C | 18 | 13 | 6 | 0 | -4 |
| Vit Krejci G | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -4 |
Did not play: John Tonje (COACH'S DECISION), Yang Hansen (COACH'S DECISION), Micah Potter
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Domantas Sabonis F | 39 | 27 | 19 | 10 | -3 |
| Zach LaVine G | 39 | 22 | 5 | 1 | -2 |
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 37 | 33 | 2 | 4 | -2 |
| Keegan Murray F | 26 | 12 | 2 | 1 | -3 |
| De'Andre Hunter F | 25 | 4 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| Bench | |||||
| Precious Achiuwa F | 26 | 14 | 6 | 1 | -14 |
| Daeqwon Plowden G | 20 | 3 | 0 | 0 | -4 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 14 | 5 | 0 | 1 | -6 |
| Malik Monk G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -6 |
| Nique Clifford G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 |
Did not play: Alex Karaban (COACH'S DECISION), Jonathan Mogbo (COACH'S DECISION), Leaky Black (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPOR -9.5
ModelPOR -10.5
Model edgePOR +1.0
L SAC covered
Total
Market231.5
Model227.6
Model edgeUnder 3.9
L Over
Projected score
POR 119 · SAC 108.5
POR 128 · SAC 120
Win probability
POR 77%
1st half
Spread
POR -6.1
SAC -5.0
Total
114.0
123 points
Projected score
POR 60 · SAC 54
POR 59 · SAC 64
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPOR -6.5
3 → POR
ClosePOR -9.5
3 pts toward POR
Total
Open232.5
▼ 1
Close231.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
POR -470 · SAC +360
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened POR -6.5 · closed POR -9.5 · moved 3 toward PORmodel POR -10.5
model POR -10.5
Opened 232.5 · closed 231.5 · moved 1 downmodel 227.5
model 227.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PORlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| SAClast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
POR 9–9 SACSeries tied · 18 games since 2021-22 · POR has won the last 4 meetings · POR 8-10 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2025-26 | SAC 110 @ POR 122 | POR -18.5 | SAC W |
| Jan 18, 2025-26 | POR 117 @ SAC 110 | SAC +1.5 | POR W |
| Dec 20, 2025-26 | POR 98 @ SAC 93 | SAC +4.5 | POR W |
| Dec 18, 2025-26 | SAC 133 @ POR 134 | POR -8.5 | SAC W |
| Mar 27, 2024-25 | POR 107 @ SAC 128 | SAC -5.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Trail Blazers
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +37.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −25.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | vs PHX | W 124-83 | -3.5 | W +37.5 | 232.5 | U 207 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
+37.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +37.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsPHX
PHXW 124-83
−25.5
over 0under 1avg −25.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kings
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −19.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −9.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ LAC | L 96-121 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 226.5 | U 217 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@LAC
LACL 96-121
−19.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −19.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAC
LACL 96-121
−9.5
over 0under 1avg −9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Trail Blazers
1-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Suns124–83
2 days since their last game.
Kings
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Clippers96–121
2 days since their last game.