Chase Center · at Warriors · Conference game
Closing line
GS -4.5✓ MEM covered by 7.5
GS -4.5✓ MEM covered by 7.5Closing total236.5Under by 17.5
 MEM | This season | GS |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 0-1 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MEM 115–119 GS · ✗ GS (62%) lost
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MEM | 33 | 27 | 24 | 27 | 111 |
| GS | 34 | 22 | 34 | 18 | 108 |
1st half: MEM 60, GS 56 (MEM by 4). The model had GS by 2.3 and a total of 117.2 (actual 116).
Team stats
| MEM | GS | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-86 47% | Field goals | 34-83 41% |
| 15-39 38% | 3-pointers | 14-41 34% |
| 16-22 73% | Free throws | 26-29 90% |
| 47 18 off | Rebounds | 41 18 off |
| 27 | Assists | 23 |
| 7 | Steals | 12 |
| 7 | Blocks | 6 |
| 27 | Turnovers | 19 |
| 29 | Fouls | 26 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 3 |
Players
| MEM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cameron Boozer F | 37 | 25 | 13 | 6 | +12 |
| Ty Jerome G | 32 | 28 | 2 | 5 | +10 |
| Jaylen Wells F | 25 | 17 | 4 | 3 | +12 |
| Zach Edey C | 22 | 8 | 10 | 3 | +25 |
| GG Jackson F | 15 | 2 | 4 | 1 | +5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jerami Grant F | 26 | 6 | 0 | 3 | -7 |
| Quinten Post C | 20 | 2 | 1 | 1 | -15 |
| Scotty Pippen Jr. G | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | -6 |
| Cam Spencer G | 17 | 11 | 2 | 1 | -7 |
| Isaiah Stewart C | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | -16 |
| Kris Murray F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2 |
Did not play: Walter Clayton Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Karim Lopez (COACH'S DECISION), Micah Peavy (COACH'S DECISION), Taylor Hendricks (COACH'S DECISION), Jahmai Mashack (COACH'S DECISION), Olivier-Maxence Prosper (COACH'S DECISION)
| GS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 37 | 18 | 13 | 6 | -9 |
| Brandin Podziemski G | 33 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| Draymond Green F | 31 | 5 | 5 | 6 | -5 |
| Stephen Curry G | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | -4 |
| Graham Ike F | 12 | 10 | 2 | 1 | -16 |
| Bench | |||||
| De'Anthony Melton G | 20 | 10 | 1 | 0 | -17 |
| Gui Santos F | 20 | 5 | 4 | 2 | +14 |
| Al Horford C | 19 | 3 | 5 | 0 | -2 |
| Georges Niang F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +5 |
| Gary Payton II G | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +6 |
| Brandon Williams G | 9 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +8 |
| Will Richard G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +5 |
Did not play: Malevy Leons (COACH'S DECISION), LJ Cryer (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGS -4.5
ModelGS -4.3
Model edgeMEM +0.2
W MEM covered
Total
Market236.5
Model234.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
W Under
Projected score
MEM 115 · GS 119.4
MEM 111 · GS 108
Win probability
GS 62%
1st half
Spread
GS -2.3
MEM -4.0
Total
117.2
116 points
Projected score
MEM 57.4 · GS 59.8
MEM 60 · GS 56
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGS -3.5
1 → GS
CloseGS -4.5
1 pt toward GS
Total
Open235.5
▲ 1
Close236.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MEM +136 · GS -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GS -3.5 · closed GS -4.5 · moved 1 toward GSmodel GS -4.5 matches the line
model GS -4.5 = line ✓
Opened 235.5 · closed 236.5 · moved 1 upmodel 234.5
model 234.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEMlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% |
| GSlast 1 | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 25 since 2021-22
MEM 9–16 GSGS leads · 25 games since 2021-22 · GS has won the last 6 meetings · MEM 15-10 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2025-26 | GS 133 @ MEM 112 | MEM +3.5 | GS W |
| Feb 9, 2025-26 | MEM 113 @ GS 114 | GS -9.5 | MEM W |
| Oct 27, 2025-26 | MEM 118 @ GS 131 | GS -8.5 | GS W |
| Apr 15, 2024-25 | MEM 116 @ GS 121 | GS -6.5 | MEM W |
| Apr 1, 2024-25 | GS 134 @ MEM 125 | MEM +3.5 | GS W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grizzlies
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +18.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −14.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | vs UTAH | W 123-103 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 240.5 | U 226 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +18.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
over 0under 1avg −14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Warriors
1 game played
Straight up
0-1
0% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −15.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −1.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21 | @ LAL | L 105-127 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 233.5 | U 232 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−15.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −15.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@LAL
LALL 105-127
−1.5
over 0under 1avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grizzlies
1-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Jazz123–103
2 days since their last game.
Warriors
0-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Lakers105–127
2 days since their last game.