Barclays Center · at Nets · Conference game
Closing line
IND -5.5✓ IND covered by 21.5
IND -5.5✓ IND covered by 21.5Closing total231.5Over by 13.5
| IND | This season | BKN |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 0-2 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 1-1 | O/U | 1-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IND 116–113 BKN · ✓ IND (58%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IND | 24 | 41 | 37 | 34 | 136 |
| BKN | 26 | 30 | 24 | 29 | 109 |
1st half: IND 65, BKN 56 (IND by 9). The model had IND by 1.8 and a total of 115.0 (actual 121).
Team stats
| IND | BKN | |
|---|---|---|
| 49-85 58% | Field goals | 35-86 41% |
| 21-43 49% | 3-pointers | 13-39 33% |
| 17-22 77% | Free throws | 26-37 70% |
| 40 4 off | Rebounds | 40 10 off |
| 34 | Assists | 25 |
| 7 | Steals | 13 |
| 4 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 24 | Fouls | 25 |
| 56 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 25 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| IND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyrese Haliburton G | 31 | 24 | 4 | 10 | +29 |
| Andrew Nembhard G | 30 | 14 | 1 | 3 | +14 |
| Pascal Siakam F | 26 | 21 | 7 | 6 | +13 |
| Aaron Nesmith G | 19 | 13 | 1 | 2 | +13 |
| Ivica Zubac C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +6 |
| Bench | |||||
| Larry Nance Jr. F | 22 | 6 | 6 | 1 | +5 |
| Jay Huff C | 21 | 14 | 2 | 3 | +14 |
| Obi Toppin F | 20 | 16 | 6 | 2 | +12 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. G | 20 | 14 | 2 | 2 | +3 |
| Jarace Walker F | 19 | 6 | 7 | 1 | +24 |
| Quenton Jackson G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +2 |
| Jalen Slawson F | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| BKN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julius Randle F | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | -15 |
| Keon Ellis G | 23 | 9 | 1 | 3 | -17 |
| Michael Porter Jr. F | 21 | 10 | 0 | 0 | -15 |
| Egor Demin G | 19 | 3 | 0 | 1 | -20 |
| Day'Ron Sharpe C | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | -13 |
| Bench | |||||
| Nolan Traore G | 25 | 17 | 2 | 5 | -2 |
| Josh Minott F | 21 | 15 | 8 | 2 | -8 |
| Chaney Johnson F | 21 | 4 | 5 | 0 | -8 |
| Noah Clowney F | 20 | 9 | 5 | 1 | -12 |
| Moritz Wagner C | 15 | 13 | 3 | 1 | -11 |
| Danny Wolf F | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | -1 |
| Drake Powell G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -7 |
| Joshua Jefferson F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 |
| Ben Saraf G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | -3 |
Did not play: Terance Mann (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIND -5.5
ModelIND -2.9
Model edgeBKN +2.6
L IND covered
Total
Market231.5
Model229.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
L Over
Projected score
IND 116.3 · BKN 113.4
IND 136 · BKN 109
Win probability
IND 58%
1st half
Spread
IND -1.8
IND -9.0
Total
115.0
121 points
Projected score
IND 58.4 · BKN 56.6
IND 65 · BKN 56
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIND -6.5
1 → BKN
CloseIND -5.5
1 pt toward BKN
Total
Open232.5
▼ 1
Close231.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
IND -218 · BKN +180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IND -6.5 · closed IND -5.5 · moved 1 toward BKNmodel IND -3
model IND -3
Opened 232.5 · closed 231.5 · moved 1 downmodel 229.5
model 229.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| INDlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
| BKNlast 2 | 0-2 0% | 1-1 50% | 1-1 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
IND 9–8 BKNIND leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · IND has won the last 2 meetings · IND 11-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2025-26 | IND 123 @ BKN 94 | BKN +3.5 | IND W |
| Feb 11, 2025-26 | IND 115 @ BKN 110 | BKN -6.5 | IND W |
| Nov 5, 2025-26 | BKN 112 @ IND 103 | IND -6.5 | BKN W |
| Mar 22, 2024-25 | BKN 103 @ IND 108 | IND -13.5 | BKN W |
| Mar 20, 2024-25 | BKN 99 @ IND 105 | IND -7.5 | BKN W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pacers
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg −11.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg −5.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
NO
NOW 123-120
+0.5
23
vs
DAL
DALL 105-121
−23.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@NO
NOW 123-120
+4.5
23
vsDAL
DALL 105-121
−15.5
over 1under 1avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nets
2 games played
Straight up
0-2
0% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-1
50% overs · avg +5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHA
CHAL 103-110
−5.5
24
@
CLE
CLEL 121-125
+7.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHA
CHAL 103-110
−7.5
24
@CLE
CLEL 121-125
+17.5
over 1under 1avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pacers
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Mavericks105–121
- W@ Pelicans123–120
2 days since their last game.
Nets
0-2 overall · 0-2 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Cavaliers121–125
- Lvs Hornets103–110
1 day since their last game.