Scotiabank Arena · at Raptors · Conference game
Closing line
TOR -5.5✓ TOR covered by 24.5
TOR -5.5✓ TOR covered by 24.5Closing total224.5Over by 3.5
 ORL | This season | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 0-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ORL 109–115 TOR · ✓ TOR (68%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORL | 25 | 28 | 23 | 23 | 99 |
| TOR | 32 | 37 | 34 | 26 | 129 |
1st half: ORL 53, TOR 69 (TOR by 16). The model had TOR by 3.5 and a total of 112.3 (actual 122).
Team stats
| ORL | TOR | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-80 41% | Field goals | 44-88 50% |
| 10-35 29% | 3-pointers | 15-35 43% |
| 23-29 79% | Free throws | 26-31 84% |
| 34 9 off | Rebounds | 45 8 off |
| 22 | Assists | 33 |
| 8 | Steals | 15 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 26 | Fouls | 27 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 23 |
Players
| ORL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Desmond Bane G | 34 | 13 | 5 | 4 | -12 |
| Franz Wagner F | 34 | 15 | 4 | 5 | -15 |
| Wendell Carter Jr. C | 26 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -9 |
| Anthony Black G | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | -25 |
| Jase Richardson G | 14 | 10 | 1 | 1 | -5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Tristan da Silva F | 31 | 20 | 3 | 1 | -16 |
| Jevon Carter G | 22 | 6 | 0 | 3 | -10 |
| Jamal Cain F | 16 | 9 | 1 | 0 | -22 |
| Nikola Vucevic C | 16 | 5 | 4 | 2 | -19 |
| Goga Bitadze C | 11 | 6 | 0 | 1 | -9 |
| Alex Morales G | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | -4 |
| Colin Castleton C | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | -4 |
| TOR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RJ Barrett F | 32 | 25 | 9 | 6 | +15 |
| Scottie Barnes F | 31 | 28 | 6 | 4 | +30 |
| Immanuel Quickley G | 29 | 16 | 3 | 7 | +26 |
| Ja'Kobe Walter G | 28 | 14 | 5 | 2 | +13 |
| Jakob Poeltl C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +11 |
| Bench | |||||
| Jamal Shead G | 23 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +8 |
| Jamison Battle F | 20 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +15 |
| Trayce Jackson-Davis F | 20 | 6 | 11 | 2 | +10 |
| Allen Graves F | 18 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +11 |
| Collin Murray-Boyles F | 15 | 10 | 2 | 1 | +3 |
| Jaden Bradley G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 |
| Alijah Martin G | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +3 |
| Kyle Anderson F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1 |
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTOR -5.5
ModelTOR -6.4
Model edgeTOR +0.9
W TOR covered
Total
Market224.5
Model224.0
Model edgeUnder 0.5
L Over
Projected score
ORL 108.8 · TOR 115.2
ORL 99 · TOR 129
Win probability
TOR 68%
1st half
Spread
TOR -3.5
TOR -16.0
Total
112.3
122 points
Projected score
ORL 54.4 · TOR 57.9
ORL 53 · TOR 69
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTOR -4.5
1 → TOR
CloseTOR -5.5
1 pt toward TOR
Total
Open223.5
▲ 1
Close224.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
ORL +160 · TOR -192
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TOR -4.5 · closed TOR -5.5 · moved 1 toward TORmodel TOR -6.5
model TOR -6.5
Opened 223.5 · closed 224.5 · moved 1 upmodel 224
model 224
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORLlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| TORlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 17 since 2021-22
ORL 8–9 TORTOR leads · 17 games since 2021-22 · ORL 9-8 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025-26 | ORL 87 @ TOR 139 | TOR -1.5 | TOR W |
| Jan 30, 2025-26 | TOR 120 @ ORL 130 | ORL -2.5 | ORL W |
| Dec 29, 2025-26 | ORL 106 @ TOR 107 | TOR +1.5 | TOR W |
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | TOR 114 @ ORL 113 | ORL -6.5 | TOR W |
| Mar 2, 2024-25 | TOR 104 @ ORL 102 | ORL -6.5 | TOR W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Magic
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
ATL
ATLL 125-132
−9.5
23
vs
MIN
MINL 93-115
−23.5
25
@
NY
NYW 111-102
+15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsATL
ATLL 125-132
+23.5
23
vsMIN
MINL 93-115
−26.5
25
@NY
NYW 111-102
−11.5
over 1under 2avg −4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Raptors
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −16.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
CHI
CHIW 135-92
+32.5
23
@
WSH
WSHW 112-102
+0.5
25
@MIN
MINL 94-117
−19.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsCHI
CHIW 135-92
−10.5
23
@WSH
WSHW 112-102
−22.5
25
@MIN
MINL 94-117
−17.5
over 0under 3avg −16.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Magic
1-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Knicks111–102
- Lvs Timberwolves93–115
- Lvs Hawks125–132
3 days since their last game.
Raptors
2-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Timberwolves94–117
- W@ Wizards112–102
- Wvs Bulls135–92
3 days since their last game.