Gainbridge Fieldhouse · at Pacers · Conference game
Closing line
PHI -7.5✓ IND covered by 2.5
PHI -7.5✓ IND covered by 2.5Closing total234.5Under by 11.5
| PHI | This season | IND |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | Record | 2-2 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 2-2 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PHI 115–113 IND · ✓ PHI (57%) won
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Box score
Score by quarter
| Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PHI | 25 | 37 | 13 | 39 | 114 |
| IND | 25 | 27 | 36 | 21 | 109 |
1st half: PHI 62, IND 52 (PHI by 10). The model had PHI by 1.6 and a total of 114.2 (actual 114).
Team stats
| PHI | IND | |
|---|---|---|
| 40-87 46% | Field goals | 36-87 41% |
| 13-36 36% | 3-pointers | 9-36 25% |
| 21-24 88% | Free throws | 28-35 80% |
| 45 10 off | Rebounds | 47 13 off |
| 23 | Assists | 30 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 16 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 30 | Fouls | 22 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| PHI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joel Embiid C | 39 | 21 | 11 | 2 | -4 |
| Tyrese Maxey G | 36 | 27 | 5 | 4 | +6 |
| Jaylen Brown G | 34 | 20 | 10 | 2 | +3 |
| LeBron James F | 33 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +3 |
| VJ Edgecombe G | 29 | 8 | 7 | 2 | -5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Anfernee Simons G | 27 | 20 | 3 | 1 | +14 |
| Kentavious Caldwell-Pope G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 |
| Dean Wade F | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 |
| Adem Bona C | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Did not play: Justin Edwards (COACH'S DECISION), Labaron Philon Jr. (COACH'S DECISION), Rayan Rupert (COACH'S DECISION)
| IND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Nembhard G | 35 | 18 | 3 | 14 | 0 |
| Pascal Siakam F | 34 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| Kelly Oubre Jr. G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 1 | -2 |
| Aaron Nesmith G | 27 | 18 | 2 | 1 | +1 |
| Jay Huff C | 16 | 3 | 6 | 2 | +5 |
| Bench | |||||
| Larry Nance Jr. F | 23 | 5 | 5 | 0 | -12 |
| Obi Toppin F | 22 | 13 | 6 | 0 | -7 |
| Jarace Walker F | 22 | 7 | 8 | 1 | -9 |
| Quenton Jackson G | 14 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -7 |
| Jalen Slawson F | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +8 |
| Braden Smith G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 |
Did not play: Kobe Brown (COACH'S DECISION), Ivica Zubac (COACH'S DECISION)
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPHI -7.5
ModelPHI -2.6
Model edgeIND +4.9
W IND covered
Total
Market234.5
Model227.9
Model edgeUnder 6.6
W Under
Projected score
PHI 115.2 · IND 112.6
PHI 114 · IND 109
Win probability
PHI 57%
1st half
Spread
PHI -1.6
PHI -10.0
Total
114.2
114 points
Projected score
PHI 57.9 · IND 56.3
PHI 62 · IND 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPHI -1.5
6 → PHI
ClosePHI -7.5
6 pts toward PHI
Total
Open237.5
▼ 3
Close234.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
PHI -278 · IND +225
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PHI -1.5 · closed PHI -7.5 · moved 6 toward PHImodel PHI -2.5
model PHI -2.5
Opened 237.5 · closed 234.5 · moved 3 downmodel 228
model 228
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PHIlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 2-2 50% | 1-3 25% |
| INDlast 4 | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% | 2-2 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 18 since 2021-22
PHI 12–6 INDPHI leads · 18 games since 2021-22 · PHI has won the last 4 meetings · PHI 8-10 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2025-26 | PHI 105 @ IND 94 | IND +14.5 | IND W |
| Feb 24, 2025-26 | PHI 135 @ IND 114 | IND +10.5 | PHI W |
| Jan 19, 2025-26 | IND 104 @ PHI 113 | PHI -6.5 | PHI W |
| Dec 12, 2025-26 | IND 105 @ PHI 115 | PHI -5.5 | PHI W |
| Mar 14, 2024-25 | IND 112 @ PHI 100 | PHI +12.5 | PHI W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
76ers
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −16 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
@
NY
NYW 106-100
+10.5
22
vs
CLE
CLEW 114-106
+5.5
24
vs
MIL
MILW 127-116
−1.5
25
vs
DET
DETL 93-106
−11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
@NY
NYW 106-100
−25.5
22
vsCLE
CLEW 114-106
−17.5
24
vsMIL
MILW 127-116
+8.5
25
vsDET
DETL 93-106
−29.5
over 1under 3avg −16 ptslonger = bigger margin
Pacers
4 games played
Straight up
2-2
50% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-2
50% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
NO
NOW 123-120
+0.5
23
vs
DAL
DALL 105-121
−23.5
25
@
BKN
BKNW 136-109
+21.5
26
@MIL
MILL 102-110
−11.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@NO
NOW 123-120
+4.5
23
vsDAL
DALL 105-121
−15.5
25
@BKN
BKNW 136-109
+13.5
26
@MIL
MILL 102-110
−27.5
over 2under 2avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
76ers
3-1 overall · 3-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Pistons93–106
- Wvs Bucks127–116
- Wvs Cavaliers114–106
- W@ Knicks106–100
3 days since their last game.
Pacers
2-2 overall · 1-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ Bucks102–110
- W@ Nets136–109
- Lvs Mavericks105–121
- W@ Pelicans123–120
2 days since their last game.